2118 S 9th St · Springfield, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Prime downtown location meets turnkey comfort in this efficient home! Just steps from the heart of the city, this property is move-in ready or perfect for investors looking to add instant value. Recent upgrades include a brand-new furnace and central air conditioning system, plus added insulation for maximum efficiency and lower utility bills. The plumbing, toilet, and water heater have all been replaced, new flooring has been installed throughout, and the entire home has been freshly painted with a clean, modern finish. Quiet, dead end street! Call your favorite Realtor and schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Recent upgrades
- Turnkey comfort
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water and septic system
- Home design: Single-family residence; One or more additional/upper/lower levels (multiple levels including main, upper, lower, basement, additional level)
- Construction: Built in 1952; Shingle roof; No basement
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot; Other lot features
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (main level)
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms; Luxury vinyl plank in living room; Vinyl in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($936 rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.9% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#122 in IL, #2,138 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Springfield SD 186 (urban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #438 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harvard Park Elem School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,927 of 2,056 statewide, top 100%, 346 students, 0% FRL); Jefferson Middle School (math 3% / reading 8%, grade F, #635 of 665 statewide, top 95%, 539 students, 0% FRL); Springfield Southeast High Sch (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 1,261 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.2%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 225 units permitted in Sangamon County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sangamon County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $65k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.89%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $12,682
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.14×
- Total profit
- $57,130
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62703
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Rents YoY
- 12.2%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $936 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,021/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $287
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $323 | -5% $305 | +0% $287 | +5% $268 | +10% $250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $213 | -5% $250 | +0% $287 | +5% $324 | +10% $361 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $319 | -0.5pp $303 | base $287 | +0.5pp $270 | +1.0pp $253 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 909 S 8th St Unit 4 Springfield, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $800 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1500 S Lowell Ave Springfield, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $775 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1301 S Whittier Ave Springfield, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 506 | $750 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1004 S College St Springfield, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 417 E Cook St Springfield, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $875 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 417 E Cook St Unit A Springfield, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $850 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 619 S 5th St Springfield, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2271 E Laurel St Apt 2277 Springfield, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,145 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2277 E Laurel St Springfield, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,145 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 616 New St Springfield, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $850 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-13status $65,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 608-char remark
-
2026-06-07$65,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,021 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,248 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$227/yr (+$19/mo · 22.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,235
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,021
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$899
- − Management
- −$899
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $2,559
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$614
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield SD 186
- NCES district ID
- 1737080
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,744
- Composite
- 16.89/100
- National rank
- #9142
- State rank
- #438 of 620 in IL
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #2138
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, IL
- County
- Sangamon County · 115,414 people
- City population
- 59,955
- Metro
- Springfield, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,922
- Household income
- $45,009
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1626.0
Population outlook (Sangamon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,317 people
- By 2030
- 196,127 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 188,664 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 179,624 · -9.4%
- By 2075
- 155,027 · -21.8%
- By 2100
- 122,588 · -38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 35% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sangamon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.6% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+9.4 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.69%
- Current HPI
- 147.0877
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.19%
- Metro
- Springfield, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+97.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-19 Sold (MLS) $22,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-23 Listed $33,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,021 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…