4758 Boutwell Rd · Laurel Hill, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.5/10.0
$127,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your next great investment in a peaceful country setting with prime HWY 85 frontage - offering visibility for a cottage business or home based venture. Generously sized rooms filled with natural light and a spacious kitchen is ready to be reimagined. The home boasts solid YELLOW HEART PINE construction. The subfloor is tongue and groove yellow heart pine as well - a rare and durable feature that speaks to the quality and longevity of the structure. With strong bones and untapped potential, this property is ready for someone with vision to restore, renovate or repurpose. Whether you're an investor looking for a project or a buyer dreaming of creating something special, this AS-IS offering presents a unique opportunity. Bring your ideas and make an offer!!
Key facts
- Untapped potential
- Hwy 85 frontage
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $689 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.5% in Laurel Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#759 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $882 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.17%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $242,552
- List price
- $127,500
- Delta
- -47.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $23,187
- Equity at exit
- $19,011
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $76,504
- Equity at exit
- $11,024
Cash invested: $35,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32567
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,822 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$669
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $340/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $689
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,875
- Closing costs
- $3,825
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,500 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $127,500 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $127,500 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $127,500 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $127,500 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $127,500 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $127,500 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $127,500 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $127,500 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $127,500 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $127,500 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $127,500 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $127,500 Active 87 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $127,500 Active 86 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $127,500 Active 85 DOM
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2026-03-04$127,500 Active 776-char remark
Show marketing remark (776 chars)
Welcome to your next great investment in a peaceful country setting with prime HWY 85 frontage - offering visibility for a cottage business or home based venture. Generously sized rooms filled with natural light and a spacious kitchen is ready to be reimagined. The home boasts solid YELLOW HEART PINE construction. The subfloor is tongue and groove yellow heart pine as well - a rare and durable feature that speaks to the quality and longevity of the structure. With strong bones and untapped potential, this property is ready for someone with vision to restore, renovate or repurpose. Whether you're an investor looking for a project or a buyer dreaming of creating something special, this AS-IS offering presents a unique opportunity. Bring your ideas and make an offer!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $340 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,058 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- +$718/yr (+$60/mo · 210.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,142
- − Property taxes
- −$340
- − Insurance
- −$638
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,749
- − Management
- −$1,749
- − Depreciation
- −$3,709
- Taxable income
- $6,537
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,569
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,702/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Laurel Hill
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #759
- US rank
- #16757
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,820
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Romanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.00%
- Current HPI
- 236.47
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $127,500 ECAR
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $340 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…