210 S Cedar · Marion, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$77,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#163 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion-Florence (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 169 in KS (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marion Elem (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #131 of 684 statewide, top 23%, 244 students, 46% FRL); Marion Middle (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #49 of 219 statewide, top 24%, 127 students, 47% FRL); Marion High (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #198 of 327 statewide, top 66%, 142 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($536 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $78k implies a 675% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.22%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $34,917
- Equity at exit
- $34,847
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.08×
- Total profit
- $88,428
- Equity at exit
- $53,704
Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66861-1328
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$406
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $592/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,375
- Closing costs
- $2,325
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-03-29status Pending
-
2026-03-22status Active
-
2026-03-18historical
-
2026-02-13status Active
-
2026-01-28status Pending
-
2025-12-27price $77,500
-
2025-12-27status Active
-
2025-12-02historical
-
2025-12-02status Active
-
2025-11-20status Pending
-
2025-10-25status Active
-
2025-10-25price $87,500
-
2025-10-07status Pending
-
2025-09-17$92,500 Active
-
1993-09-01soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $592 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,093 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$500/yr (+$42/mo · 84.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,341
- − Property taxes
- −$592
- − Insurance
- −$388
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,081
- − Management
- −$1,081
- − Depreciation
- −$2,255
- Taxable income
- $3,779
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$907
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,915/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion-Florence
- NCES district ID
- 2009240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,826
- Composite
- 33.67/100
- National rank
- #5390
- State rank
- #37 of 169 in KS
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #7701
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, KS
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,315 people
- By 2030
- 10,852 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 9,989 · -11.7%
- By 2050
- 9,375 · -17.1%
- By 2075
- 8,969 · -20.7%
- By 2100
- 9,019 · -20.3%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+675.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-22 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-28 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-27 Price Changed $77,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-27 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-02 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-02 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-20 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-25 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-25 Price Changed $87,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-07 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-17 Listed $92,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $592 · +18.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…