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B Composite 73.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$77,500

210 S Cedar · Marion, KS 66861-1328
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 121 Days on market
Built 1910 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1910

Tags

LUXURY VINYL FLOORINGPRIVATE HAND-PUMP WELLSMALL-TOWN KANSAS CHARM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#163 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion-Florence (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 169 in KS (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Marion Elem (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #131 of 684 statewide, top 23%, 244 students, 46% FRL); Marion Middle (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #49 of 219 statewide, top 24%, 127 students, 47% FRL); Marion High (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #198 of 327 statewide, top 66%, 142 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($536 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Marion County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $78k implies a 675% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
12.51%
Cash-on-cash
22.22%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$34,917
Equity at exit
$34,847
10-year hold
IRR
28.9%
Equity multiple
5.08×
Total profit
$88,428
Equity at exit
$53,704

Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66861-1328

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$406
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $592/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$402

Break-even live

Break-even rent $618
Max offer price $77,500
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,375
Closing costs
$2,325
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-03-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-22
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-18
    historical
  4. 2026-02-13
    status Active
  5. 2026-01-28
    status Pending
  6. 2025-12-27
    price $77,500
  7. 2025-12-27
    status Active
  8. 2025-12-02
    historical
  9. 2025-12-02
    status Active
  10. 2025-11-20
    status Pending
  11. 2025-10-25
    status Active
  12. 2025-10-25
    price $87,500
  13. 2025-10-07
    status Pending
  14. 2025-09-17
    listed $92,500 Active
  15. 1993-09-01
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$592 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,093 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$500/yr (+$42/mo · 84.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,518
− Mortgage interest
−$4,341
− Property taxes
−$592
− Insurance
−$388
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,081
− Management
−$1,081
− Depreciation
−$2,255
Taxable income
$3,779
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$907
After-tax cash flow
$3,915/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion-Florence
NCES district ID
2009240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$41,826
Composite
33.67/100
National rank
#5390
State rank
#37 of 169 in KS

Livability — Marion

Score
70/100
State rank
#163
US rank
#7701

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, KS

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,315 people
By 2030
10,852 · -4.1%
By 2040
9,989 · -11.7%
By 2050
9,375 · -17.1%
By 2075
8,969 · -20.7%
By 2100
9,019 · -20.3%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+675.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-29 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-22 Relisted SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Listing Removed SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Relisted SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-28 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-27 Price Changed $77,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-27 Relisted SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-02 Listing Removed SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-02 Relisted SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-20 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-25 Relisted SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-25 Price Changed $87,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-07 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-17 Listed $92,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $592 · +18.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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