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17 E 39th St
C+ Composite 60.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$106,000

17 E 39th St · San Angelo, TX 76903
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 756 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1960 6,665 sqft lot Est $108k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

"This Property is part of a Bulk Listing with several other properties. "

Key facts

  • 6,665 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing broker: eXp Realty LLC; Listing agent: Vanessa Ramirez
  • Financial info: No financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA details provided

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Built area approximately 756
  • Exterior features: Paved, public-maintained city street frontage; Subdivision: Mather No. 2

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Fixer condition
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $106k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $106k).
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Goliad El (math 27% / reading 24%, grade F, #2,982 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 412 students, 81% FRL); Lincoln Middle (math 19% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 844 students, 78% FRL); Lake View H S (math 6% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,085 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 53% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.70%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$108,108
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17 E 39th St 0.00mi 3/2.0 756 (0%) 1mo $106,000 $140 100
167 E 42nd St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (+2%) 2mo $110,000 $143 71
3521 Hagelstein St 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 784 (+4%) 23mo $165,000 $210 55
56 E 32nd St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (+11%) 4mo $90,000 $107 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,253
Equity at exit
$15,805
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$51,050
Equity at exit
$9,165

Cash invested: $29,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76903

Rents YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
227
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$556
Tax from tax record
$182 /mo · $2,184/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$215

Break-even live

Break-even rent $990
Max offer price $106,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,500
Closing costs
$3,180
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3302 N Bryant Blvd San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.0 559 $975 $1.74 21d 1 0.87mi
3310 N Bryant Blvd San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 610 $750 $1.23 21d 1 0.87mi
2921 JFK Dr San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.5 924 $1,102 $1.19 21d 1 1.06mi
2917 JFK Dr San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.5 924 $1,102 $1.19 21d 1 1.07mi
510 E 28th St San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.5 924 $1,102 $1.19 21d 1 1.10mi
940 LBJ Dr San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.5 924 $1,102 $1.19 21d 1 1.13mi
939 LBJ Dr San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.5 924 $1,102 $1.19 21d 1 1.14mi
2417 Oaklawn Blvd San Angelo, TX 2.0 2.0 897 $1,550 $1.73 44d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $106,000 Active
  3. 2009-05-11
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,184 · $182/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,184 · $182/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,149
− Mortgage interest
−$5,938
− Property taxes
−$2,184
− Insurance
−$530
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,212
− Management
−$1,212
− Depreciation
−$3,084
Taxable income
$990
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$237
After-tax cash flow
$2,345/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Angelo ISD
NCES district ID
4838700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,501
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7427
State rank
#627 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Angelo, TX
County
Tom Green County · 113,188 people
City population
81,357
Metro
San Angelo, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,947
Household income
$49,498
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1255.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,110 people
By 2030
144,090 · +6.6%
By 2040
162,561 · +20.3%
By 2050
182,158 · +34.8%
By 2075
232,274 · +71.9%
By 2100
268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 36% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 33%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.90%
Current HPI
217.0406
Rent YoY
▲ 8.46%
Metro
San Angelo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending SAAR TX
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $106,000 SAAR TX
  • 2009-05-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,184 · -11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…