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4745 Duffield Rd
C Composite 58.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

4745 Duffield Rd · Waldorf, MD 20695
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,016 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1967 0.73 ac lot $161/sqft · 27% below area Est $447k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to White Plains Village Subdivision. This spacious home features a large family room, formal dining area, and a kitchen equipped with a wall oven. The main level bedrooms are generously sized, while the lower level offers a private in-law suite complete with its own family room, full kitchen, bedroom, and full bath—ideal for guests or multi-generational living. The suite enjoys its own entrance, providing both privacy and easy accessibility. Situated on a sizable lot, the property is perfect for future expansion, whether you envision building an addition, creating a backyard oasis, or adding outdoor entertaining spaces. Recent updates include a new roof, HVAC system and fresh

Key facts

  • Private in-law suite
  • Large family room
  • Full kitchen

Tags

LARGE FAMILY ROOMFORMAL DINING AREAPRIVATE IN-LAW SUITEFULL KITCHENOWN ENTRANCESIZABLE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (2 spaces); Two total garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electric service available; Private well water; Private septic tank
  • Home design: Detached property
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Concrete perimeter foundation; Shingle roof; Building not winterized; Year built (assessor)
  • Exterior features: No tidal water; Above-grade and below-grade structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Wall oven; Stove
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the lower level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; One full bathroom on the lower level; Three full bathrooms total
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s); Oil-fired heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling; Hot water provided by natural gas
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Traditional floor plan; Formal separate dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Master bathroom; Tub with shower; Walk-in shower; Fully finished basement; Has fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $325k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.8% in Waldorf — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#141 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Charles County Public Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #14 of 24 in MD (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Dr. Gustavus Brown Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #699 of 860 statewide, top 84%, 413 students, 73% FRL); Milton M. Somers Middle School (math 15% / reading 36%, grade F, #97 of 225 statewide, top 46%, 666 students, 39% FRL); St. Charles High School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #148 of 222 statewide, top 67%, 1,569 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 28% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 245 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,542 units permitted in Charles County in 2024 (516 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charles County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $95k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $325k implies a 374% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $325,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.01%
Cash-on-cash
6.11%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$447,079
List price
$325,000
Delta
-27.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10526 Willetts Crossing Rd 0.19mi 4/2.5 2,222 (+10%) 7mo $507,900 $229 66
10155 Dogwood Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,008 (-0%) 5mo $383,000 $191 65
4785 Ford Ct 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,016 (0%) 4mo $445,000 $221 64
10225 Dogwood Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,914 (-5%) 8mo $430,500 $225 60
10205 Ford Ter 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,848 (-8%) 1mo $370,000 $200 55
5100 Crisfield Manor Ct 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,860 (-8%) 7mo $545,000 $293 52
10185 Marshall Corner Rd 0.51mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,240 (+11%) 4mo $515,000 $230 45
10170 Dogwood Dr 0.54mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,876 (-7%) 15mo $405,000 $216 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-23,127
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$17,907
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20695

Home prices YoY
-5.3%
Active inventory
245
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,335 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$331 /mo · $3,976/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$700
Net cashflow
$464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,748
Max offer price $325,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $648 -5% $556 +0% $464 +5% $372 +10% $280
Rent -10% $200 -5% $332 +0% $464 +5% $595 +10% $727
Rate -1.0pp $627 -0.5pp $546 base $464 +0.5pp $379 +1.0pp $294

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10605 Willetts Crossing Rd White Plains, MD 4.0 1.0 1514 $2,390 $1.58 46d 1 0.41mi
4151 Skipton Pl White Plains, MD 3.0 2.5 2544 $3,200 $1.26 46d 1 0.81mi
5527 Aberdeen Pl White Plains, MD 3.0 4.0 1880 $3,000 $1.60 1d 1 1.17mi
5527 Aberdeen Pl White Plains, MD 3.0 4.0 1880 $3,000 $1.60 15d 1 1.17mi
10930 W Point Pl White Plains, MD 4.0 3.5 2171 $2,979 $1.37 46d 1 1.18mi
10626 Roundstone Ln White Plains, MD 3.0 3.5 2736 $3,800 $1.39 46d 1 1.21mi
10893 Drummond Pl White Plains, MD 3.0 2.5 2192 $3,250 $1.48 24d 1 1.26mi
10933 Drummond Pl Unit 10933 White Plains, MD 3.0 3.0 2300 $3,500 $1.52 7d 1 1.28mi
10939 Drummond Pl White Plains, MD 3.0 2.5 2192 $3,500 $1.60 26d 1 1.29mi
10763 Esprit Pl White Plains, MD 4.0 3.5 2016 $2,800 $1.39 46d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $325,000 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-05-18
    historical Active Under Contract 1033-char remark
  3. 2026-05-09
    status Active 1033-char remark
  4. 2026-05-09
    historical Active Under Contract 1033-char remark
  5. 2026-05-06
    price $325,000 1033-char remark
  6. 2026-05-04
    listed $420,000 Active 1033-char remark
  7. 1990-02-26
    soldstatus $68,500
  8. 1983-08-31
    soldstatus $68,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,976 · $331/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,976 · $331/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,022
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$3,976
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,202
− Management
−$3,202
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable income
$358
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$86
After-tax cash flow
$5,478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charles County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400270
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$90,389
Composite
22.54/100
National rank
#8087
State rank
#14 of 24 in MD

Livability — Waldorf

Score
72/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#6083

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waldorf, MD
County
Charles County · 103,527 people
City population
103,527
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
16,407
Household income
$141,959
Rent vs Own
12.8% rent · 87.2% own
Severe rent burden
311.0

Population outlook (Charles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
176,616 people
By 2030
186,471 · +5.6%
By 2040
206,472 · +16.9%
By 2050
224,883 · +27.3%
By 2075
272,101 · +54.1%
By 2100
303,564 · +71.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 61% White 23% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charles

2024 margin
Solid D (+40.7) · D 69.2% · R 28.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+15.2pp toward D · 2008: 25.5pp · 2024: 40.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+40.7 2020: D+40.9 2016: D+30.2 2012: D+31.3 2008: D+25.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.63%
Current HPI
226.972
Rent YoY
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+374.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $420,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1990-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
  • 1983-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,976 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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