5354 Brookhollow Dr · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home! This spacious 1,409 sq. ft. ranch in the established Brookhollow neighborhood offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths on a sprawling . 34 acre lot. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior featuring beautiful wood flooring and a cozy living room with a classic wood-burning fireplace. The functional layout includes a bright kitchen/breakfast room combo and a formal dining area perfect for hosting. Enjoy the convenience of a detached 2-car garage and a large, private backyard.
Key facts
- Wood flooring
- Private backyard
- Formal dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community park
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Garage door opener; Concrete driveway, paved
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available
- Home design: Single family house; One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation and slab; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Private yard; Patio (slab); Back yard chain link fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Refrigerator; Natural gas available in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Bedroom on main level; Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Aluminum window frames; Masonry fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Hinds County School District (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #70 of 130 in MS (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Gary Road Elementary (672 students, 100% FRL); Byram Middle School (math 29% / reading 29%, grade F, #90 of 179 statewide, top 52%, 772 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.34%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,784
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 740 Gresham Cv | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-2%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $122 | 82 |
| 2128 Thousand Oaks Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (-1%) | 15mo | $93,500 | $68 | 74 |
| 1143 Oak Glen Pl | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,421 (+3%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $49 | 72 |
| 1124 Oak Glen Pl | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,401 (+1%) | 11mo | $142,000 | $101 | 72 |
| 5384 Brookhollow Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,535 (+11%) | 17mo | $178,000 | $116 | 63 |
| 1540 Cedar Pine Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,477 (+7%) | 10mo | $53,000 | $36 | 63 |
| 148 Thousand Oaks Cir | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-11%) | 12mo | $175,500 | $142 | 62 |
| 5233 Brookhollow Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+2%) | 22mo | $49,700 | $35 | 58 |
| 454 Hillandale Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (+11%) | 22mo | $179,900 | $117 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,526
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $22,323
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39212
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,289 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,186/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2107 Thousand Oaks Dr Unit A Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1182 | $950 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4954 Hanging Oak Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,215 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$109,900 Active
-
2022-08-18soldstatus
-
2021-10-08historical
-
2021-10-08historical
-
2021-10-02historical
-
2021-10-02historical
-
2012-08-18$81,500
-
2009-11-18$80,000
-
2009-05-15$83,300
-
2008-09-08$87,000
-
1978-06-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,186 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,186 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,186
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,237
- − Management
- −$1,237
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $902
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$217
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hinds County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801860
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,335
- Composite
- 24.02/100
- National rank
- #7771
- State rank
- #70 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,659
- Household income
- $50,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1314.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.01%
- Current HPI
- 174.4025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+26.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $109,900 MLSU
- 2022-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-10-08 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-08 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2012-08-18 Listed $81,500 MLSU
- 2009-11-18 Listed $80,000 MLSU
- 2009-05-15 Listed $83,300 MLSU
- 2008-09-08 Listed $87,000 MLSU
- 1978-06-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+42.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,186 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…