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1684 W 28th
B- Composite 67.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

1684 W 28th · San Bernardino, CA 92407
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 968 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1954 9,750 sqft lot Est $467k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor’s Opportunity – Full of Potential! Welcome to this property brimming with possibilities. The main home offers 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, along with a generous front yard, spacious backyard, and a covered patio—perfect for entertaining or future expansion. An additional unit (1 bedroom, 1 bathroom, permits unknown) provides potential for extra income or multi-generational living. Conveniently located near schools, shopping centers, and hospitals, this home combines comfort with accessibility. Don’t miss this chance to own a versatile property with incredible potential in the heart of San Bernardino!

Key facts

  • 9,750 sq ft lot
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Single-unit property; No common walls
  • HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community; Land lease

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: House; Single-story total reported, entry at main level; No accessory dwelling unit
  • Construction: Year built source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Paved lot; No pool

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Interior features: Two levels; Main-level entry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups for gas and electric dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.5% in San Bernardino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#661 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
  • San Bernardino City Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #959 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $275k implies a 596% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $275,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.69%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$466,576
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2677 N Pennsylvania Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 (-1) 932 (-4%) 1mo $420,000 $451 74
1648 W 23rd 0.37mi 3/2.5 (-1) 915 (-6%) 3mo $510,000 $557 65
1747 Porter St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (-1) 918 (-5%) 21mo $415,000 $452 59
1926 Nolan St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 944 (-2%) 9mo $455,000 $482 56
1656 W 23rd St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 897 (-7%) 7mo $420,000 $468 56
1768 W 27th St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (-1) 908 (-6%) 21mo $397,000 $437 55
1420 W 30th St 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 978 (+1%) 10mo $475,000 $486 55
1941 Nolan St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 960 (-1%) 7mo $435,000 $453 54
3155 Glenview Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 914 (-6%) 20mo $455,000 $498 40
1542 W 20th St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,038 (+7%) 22mo $500,000 $482 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$255
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$61,122
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92407

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,959 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,135/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$621
Net cashflow
$686

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,090
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1444 N Pennsylvania Ave San Bernardino, CA 5.0 3.0 960 $3,500 $3.65 20d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    remarks 614-char remark
  2. 2026-06-13
    listed $275,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,135 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,090 · $174/mo
Expected delta
+$955/yr (+$80/mo · 84.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 31 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,505
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$1,135
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,840
− Management
−$2,840
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable income
$3,910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$938
After-tax cash flow
$7,295/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Bernardino City Unified
NCES district ID
0634170
Math proficiency
27% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,758
Composite
30.8/100
National rank
#11385
State rank
#959 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Bernardino

Score
59/100
State rank
#661
US rank
#20479

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Bernardino, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
255,614
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
71,711
Household income
$94,032
Rent vs Own
39.7% rent · 60.3% own
Severe rent burden
2040.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 65% Two or more races 17% White 17% Black 10% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 56%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 44% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -254.51%
Current HPI
449.2624
Rent YoY
▲ 3.41%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+596.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-06-13 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $275,000 CRMLS
  • 1981-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,135 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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