1684 W 28th · San Bernardino, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor’s Opportunity – Full of Potential! Welcome to this property brimming with possibilities. The main home offers 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, along with a generous front yard, spacious backyard, and a covered patio—perfect for entertaining or future expansion. An additional unit (1 bedroom, 1 bathroom, permits unknown) provides potential for extra income or multi-generational living. Conveniently located near schools, shopping centers, and hospitals, this home combines comfort with accessibility. Don’t miss this chance to own a versatile property with incredible potential in the heart of San Bernardino!
Key facts
- 9,750 sq ft lot
- Built 1954
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Single-unit property; No common walls
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community; Land lease
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: House; Single-story total reported, entry at main level; No accessory dwelling unit
- Construction: Year built source: Assessor
- Exterior features: Paved lot; No pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Interior features: Two levels; Main-level entry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups for gas and electric dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.5% in San Bernardino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#661 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
- San Bernardino City Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #959 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $275k implies a 596% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.69%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $466,576
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2677 N Pennsylvania Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 932 (-4%) | 1mo | $420,000 | $451 | 74 |
| 1648 W 23rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 915 (-6%) | 3mo | $510,000 | $557 | 65 |
| 1747 Porter St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 918 (-5%) | 21mo | $415,000 | $452 | 59 |
| 1926 Nolan St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 944 (-2%) | 9mo | $455,000 | $482 | 56 |
| 1656 W 23rd St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 897 (-7%) | 7mo | $420,000 | $468 | 56 |
| 1768 W 27th St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 908 (-6%) | 21mo | $397,000 | $437 | 55 |
| 1420 W 30th St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 978 (+1%) | 10mo | $475,000 | $486 | 55 |
| 1941 Nolan St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-1%) | 7mo | $435,000 | $453 | 54 |
| 3155 Glenview Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 914 (-6%) | 20mo | $455,000 | $498 | 40 |
| 1542 W 20th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,038 (+7%) | 22mo | $500,000 | $482 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $255
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $61,122
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92407
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,959 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,135/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $686
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1444 N Pennsylvania Ave San Bernardino, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 960 | $3,500 | $3.65 | 20d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-13remarks 614-char remark
-
2026-06-13$275,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,135 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,090 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- +$955/yr (+$80/mo · 84.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 31 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,505
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$1,135
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,840
- − Management
- −$2,840
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $3,910
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$938
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Bernardino City Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634170
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,758
- Composite
- 30.8/100
- National rank
- #11385
- State rank
- #959 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Bernardino
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #661
- US rank
- #20479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Bernardino, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 255,614
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,711
- Household income
- $94,032
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2040.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 65% Two or more races 17% White 17% Black 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 56%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 44% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -254.51%
- Current HPI
- 449.2624
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+596.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-06-13 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-09-23 Listed $275,000 CRMLS
- 1981-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,135 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…