3419 Georgia St · Pine Bluff, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity in Pine Bluff! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,000 sqft of living space and strong potential for investors seeking an affordable addition to their rental portfolio or a value-add opportunity. (Agents View Remarks)
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1995
- Listed 57 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $427 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($814 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 9.0% in Pine Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Pine Bluff School District (urban): math 6% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #236 of 238 in AR (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.94%
- DSCR
- 3.71
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $56,442
- List price
- $30,000
- Delta
- -46.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 W 35 | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-2%) | 11mo | $36,000 | $36 | 70 |
| 14 Bonnie Park Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 975 (-5%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $41 | 62 |
| 3720 S Main St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,087 (+6%) | 23mo | $62,700 | $58 | 59 |
| 13 E Bonnie Park Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,066 (+4%) | 17mo | $72,000 | $68 | 51 |
| 512 W 29th Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,084 (+6%) | 3mo | $29,999 | $28 | 49 |
| 7 Bonnie Park Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+12%) | 7mo | $89,900 | $78 | 46 |
| 305 W 26th Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,118 (+9%) | 17mo | $42,000 | $38 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $22,325
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- 64.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.49×
- Total profit
- $54,496
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71601
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $814 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $558/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$171
- Net cashflow
- $427
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $444 | -5% $435 | +0% $427 | +5% $418 | +10% $410 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $362 | -5% $394 | +0% $427 | +5% $459 | +10% $491 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $442 | -0.5pp $434 | base $427 | +0.5pp $419 | +1.0pp $411 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 W 33rd Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 871 | $760 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4321 S Olive St Pine Bluff, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $785 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4511 S Main St Pine Bluff, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $750 | $0.97 | 44d | 8 | 0.69mi |
| 3008 S Elm St Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2404 S Walnut St Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $700 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2810 S Poplar St Unit 8 Pine Bluff, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $759 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1901 W 40th Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $765 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 304 W Harding Ave Unit 3 Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $715 | $0.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1907 W 28th Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 947 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2100 W 40th Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $650 | $0.91 | 44d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 2001 W 28th Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $750 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $30,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $30,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $30,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $30,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $30,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $30,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $30,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $30,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $30,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $30,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $30,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $30,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $30,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $30,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $30,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $30,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$30,000 New Listing 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Great investment opportunity in Pine Bluff! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,000 sqft of living space and strong potential for investors seeking an affordable addition to their rental portfolio or a value-add opportunity. (Agents View Remarks)
-
2023-12-11historical
-
2023-12-09price $46,000
-
2023-12-08$79,000 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $558 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $558 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,765
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$558
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$781
- − Management
- −$781
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $4,942
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,186
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,933/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pine Bluff School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500026
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,374
- Composite
- 5.86/100
- National rank
- #10014
- State rank
- #236 of 238 in AR
Livability — Pine Bluff
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #25645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Bluff, AR
- City population
- 29,578
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,981
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,110 people
- By 2030
- 58,519 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 49,740 · -21.2%
- By 2050
- 42,331 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 29,591 · -53.1%
- By 2100
- 21,047 · -66.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% White 13% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.51%
- Current HPI
- 160.3064
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-62.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $30,000 CARMLS
- 2023-12-11 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2023-12-09 Price Changed $46,000 CARMLS
- 2023-12-08 Listed $79,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $558 · +31.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…