109 Sherman · Newton, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Huge basement
- Enormous shop
- Wet bar
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 4-car garage; RV access/parking
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family onsite built; One level
- Construction: Composition roof; Full daylight foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Outbuilding
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Finished basement; Main-floor laundry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-332 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $106k (35.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (32.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (35.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#282 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Newton (town): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #141 of 169 in KS (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Slate Creek Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #507 of 684 statewide, top 78%, 267 students, 55% FRL); Chisholm Middle School (math 14% / reading 25%, grade F, #152 of 219 statewide, top 72%, 489 students, 58% FRL); Newton Sr High (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #232 of 327 statewide, top 71%, 956 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+18.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 148 units permitted in Harvey County in 2024 (13 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.61%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-41,892
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-36,563
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67114
- Rents YoY
- 18.1%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,117 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,356/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $-332
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-238 | -5% $-285 | +0% $-332 | +5% $-378 | +10% $-425 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-420 | -5% $-376 | +0% $-332 | +5% $-287 | +10% $-243 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-248 | -0.5pp $-290 | base $-332 | +0.5pp $-374 | +1.0pp $-418 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Allison St Newton, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 504 E 10th St Newton, KS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,100 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-10status $165,000 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30$165,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,356 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,356 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,399
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$3,356
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,072
- − Management
- −$1,072
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$6,968
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,672
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,307/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newton
- NCES district ID
- 2009960
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,297
- Composite
- 20.51/100
- National rank
- #8569
- State rank
- #141 of 169 in KS
Livability — Newton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #282
- US rank
- #12628
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newton, KS
- County
- Harvey County · 20,919 people
- City population
- 20,919
- Metro
- Wichita, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,919
- Household income
- $70,018
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 612.0
Population outlook (Harvey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,226 people
- By 2030
- 35,287 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 35,124 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 34,665 · -1.6%
- By 2075
- 33,716 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 30,163 · -14.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Native American 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harvey
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.6% · R 59.6% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.2pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+19.7 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+17.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.55%
- Current HPI
- 187.6572
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 18.05%
- Metro
- Wichita, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $165,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,356 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…