216 Main St W · Mayville, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Steps from downtown
- 9,104 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes listed (2024) — $339.96
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage with 20 x 13 dimensions
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Oil fuel
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Approximately 1,200 above-grade finished area; Main level finished area about 800; Foundation area recorded as 800
- Exterior features: Wood exterior; Lot approximately 0.209 acres (about 145 x 45)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Boiler heating; No central air / no cooling
- Interior features: Main floor full bathroom; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#2 in ND, #959 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- May-Port Cg 14 (rural): math 42% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #19 of 53 in ND (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Peter Boe Jr Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #39 of 236 statewide, top 21%, 262 students, 21% FRL); May-Port Cg Middle School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #24 of 35 statewide, top 71%, 114 students, 18% FRL); May-Port Cg High School (math 24% / reading 64%, grade F, #33 of 144 statewide, top 32%, 132 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Traill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Traill County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $25k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 109.85%
- DSCR
- 5.89
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,800
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 6th Ave SE | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,205 (+0%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $166 | 53 |
| 411 5th Ave SE | 0.48mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+4%) | 24mo | $48,000 | $38 | 46 |
| 132 3rd Ave SE | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,324 (+10%) | 18mo | $209,500 | $158 | 46 |
| 215 5th Ave NE | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 | 1,050 (-12%) | 14mo | $79,900 | $76 | 44 |
| 562 4th St SE | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-13%) | 18mo | $108,200 | $104 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.25×
- Total profit
- $36,775
- Equity at exit
- $3,727
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.09×
- Total profit
- $84,636
- Equity at exit
- $2,161
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58257
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,030 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $641
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $658 | -5% $649 | +0% $641 | +5% $632 | +10% $623 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $559 | -5% $600 | +0% $641 | +5% $681 | +10% $722 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $653 | -0.5pp $647 | base $641 | +0.5pp $634 | +1.0pp $628 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $24,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $24,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $24,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $24,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $24,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $24,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14price $24,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $28,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $28,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $28,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $28,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $28,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $28,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $28,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $28,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $28,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $28,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$28,500 Active
-
2026-05-19historical
-
2026-05-12price $28,999
-
2026-04-22price $32,250
-
2026-03-31status Active
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-03-03price $34,999
-
2026-01-08price $37,999
-
2025-11-30price $38,499
-
2025-11-17$39,999 Active
-
2025-07-03historical
-
2025-01-06$37,000 Active
-
2024-12-05soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,357
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$989
- − Management
- −$989
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $7,753
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,861
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,829/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- May-Port Cg 14
- NCES district ID
- 3800041
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,978
- Composite
- 39.53/100
- National rank
- #3944
- State rank
- #19 of 53 in ND
Livability — Mayville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #959
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mayville, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,275
Population outlook (Traill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,107 people
- By 2030
- 8,099 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 8,151 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 8,384 · +3.4%
- By 2075
- 9,868 · +21.7%
- By 2100
- 12,181 · +50.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 34% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Traill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.3% · R 65.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.8pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.7 2008: D+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.93%
- Current HPI
- 130.6558
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+137.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $28,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $28,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $32,250 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $34,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $37,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-30 Price Changed $38,499 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Listed $39,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-03 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-06 Listed $37,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,617 · -68.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…