🏷️ Likely Rental
W210N11678 Pinecrest Ln · Germantown, WI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
THIS IS A MANUFACTURED HOME! MONTHLY LOT RENTAL IS $825 PER MONTH AND INCLUDES GARBAGE PICK UP AND MAINTENANCE OF ROADS. WATER/SEWER $25-$35/MONTH AND PERSONAL PROPERTY TAX IS $77.89, MAKING YOUR TOTAL PAYMENT $927.89 MONTHLY WILL NEED SPECIAL FINANCING! Charming and well-maintained 1,456 sq. ft. Marshfield manufactured home located in Brookside Mobile Home Park in Germantown. This spacious double-wide offers 2 large bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a versatile den featuring a cozy fireplace perfect for a home office, reading room, or additional living space. Must see today! Enjoy peace of mind with a new furnace and central air installed in 2023 and a new 30-gallon water heater in 2025. A
Key facts
- New furnace
- Versatile den
- Manufactured home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Inclusions: gas stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, freezer, washer, dryer, shed, lawn mower, snow blower, pressure washer; Exclusions: seller's personal items
- HOA & community: HOA fee reported annually
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
- Home design: Single-family home; One-story; Vinyl exterior; Located in Brookside Meadows subdivision; Zoned residential
- Construction: No finished below-grade space; Finished above-grade living space reported
- Exterior features: Deck; Storage building (shed)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Freezer
- Bedrooms: Main-level master bedroom (13 x 15); Main-level bedroom 2 (11 x 13)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with whirlpool
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Cable/satellite available
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($208/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.2% in Germantown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#229 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Germantown School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #52 of 342 in WI (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 453 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (105 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 46% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.87%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $294,112
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N115W21106 Brookside Cir | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+10%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $78 | 71 |
| N113W20494 Edgewood Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,546 (+6%) | 20mo | $312,000 | $202 | 42 |
| W202N12135 Patricia Ln | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,600 (+10%) | 19mo | $337,500 | $211 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-12,135
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-6,975
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53022
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,810 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$825
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $17
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $76 | -5% $47 | +0% $17 | +5% $-12 | +10% $-41 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-126 | -5% $-54 | +0% $17 | +5% $89 | +10% $160 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $60 | -0.5pp $39 | base $17 | +0.5pp $-5 | +1.0pp $-27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $825 · $9,900/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $85,000 Pending 7 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-07$85,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,718
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,737
- − Management
- −$1,737
- − HOA
- −$9,900
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable loss
- −$591
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$142
- After-tax cash flow
- $350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
A fair-condition manufactured home with cosmetic updates needed, including painting and landscaping, to improve its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — Some wear visible on walls and cabinets
- Minor Landscaping — Some landscaping appears unkempt
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating the interior — Fresh paint and updated decor can significantly improve the home's appeal and value
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Some wear visible on walls and cabinets | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Some landscaping appears unkempt | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating the interior — Fresh paint and updated decor can significantly improve the home's appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Germantown School District
- NCES district ID
- 5505160
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,496
- Composite
- 43.66/100
- National rank
- #2961
- State rank
- #52 of 342 in WI
Livability — Germantown
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #6122
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Germantown, WI
- County
- Washington County · 47,863 people
- City population
- 20,046
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,046
- Household income
- $100,890
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 384.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,678 people
- By 2030
- 138,441 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 137,047 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 130,918 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 115,447 · -16.1%
- By 2100
- 93,069 · -32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Asian 7% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.3) · D 31.3% · R 67.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -36.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.3 2020: R+38.1 2016: R+40.5 2012: R+40.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.24%
- Current HPI
- 169.5534
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $85,000 SCWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…