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11658 Penrod St
C- Composite 54.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,000

11658 Penrod St · Detroit, MI 48228
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 905 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1947 5,227 sqft lot $107/sqft · 40% above area Est $69k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

National Real Estate Management Group is excited to announce your next investment opportunity. Welcome to this charming brick bungalow featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Outside you will find a covered front porch and fenced-in back yard. This property provides convenient access to major roadways, and is located near parks, schools, shopping and dining. It also offers a 1-car detached garage for added convenience. A great addition to any investment portfolio. At National Real Estate Management Group, our listings come with built-in property management for seamless, turnkey investments. Our full-service approach covers everything from construction completion to tenant placement and ongoing management. Services include comprehensive property management, tenant screening, financial reporting, legal compliance, and streamlined communication.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Near schools
  • Near dining

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHFENCED-IN BACK YARDNEAR PARKSNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,280/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $72k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $91,180 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
9.72%
Cash-on-cash
12.23%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,205
List price
$97,000
Delta
40.16%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9917 Rutland St 0.50mi 3/1.0 900 (-1%) 9mo $100,000 $111 68
12203 Grandmont Ave 0.58mi 3/1.5 861 (-5%) 1mo $95,000 $110 62
12124 Asbury Park 0.71mi 3/1.5 919 (+2%) 2mo $130,000 $141 60
9352 Rutland St 0.73mi 3/1.0 915 (+1%) 6mo $15,000 $16 59
11689 Minock St 0.65mi 3/1.0 950 (+5%) 6mo $82,000 $86 56
9934 Warwick St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,018 (+12%) 2mo $70,000 $69 54
11700 Auburn St 0.68mi 3/1.5 964 (+6%) 3mo $55,000 $57 53
9976 Warwick St 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,024 (+13%) 4mo $129,900 $127 50
11329 Minock St 0.68mi 3/1.0 816 (-10%) 4mo $50,000 $61 49
9965 Asbury Park 0.73mi 3/1.0 824 (-9%) 6mo $60,000 $73 47
11358 Asbury Park Park 0.70mi 3/1.0 987 (+9%) 10mo $58,000 $59 44
11720 Minock St 0.62mi 3/1.5 771 (-15%) 5mo $95,000 $123 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-1,777
Equity at exit
$14,463
10-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$6,903
Equity at exit
$8,387

Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
369
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,280 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$509
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,219/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $929
Max offer price $97,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $332 -5% $304 +0% $277 +5% $249 +10% $222
Rent -10% $176 -5% $226 +0% $277 +5% $327 +10% $378
Rate -1.0pp $326 -0.5pp $302 base $277 +0.5pp $252 +1.0pp $226

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,250
Closing costs
$2,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1124 $1,400 $1.25 18d 1 0.09mi
11704 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1046 $1,300 $1.24 25d 1 0.15mi
18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,117 $1.62 0d 15 0.54mi
12875 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 735 $1,200 $1.63 6d 1 0.70mi
12941 Penrod St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 45d 1 0.76mi
12944 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 6d 1 0.76mi
12711 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 19d 1 0.77mi
12950 Glastonbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 25d 1 0.79mi
13514 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 19d 1 0.84mi
9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 6d 1 0.85mi
19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 950 $1,500 $1.58 45d 1 0.85mi
12840 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 0.86mi
9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 787 $1,250 $1.59 45d 1 0.88mi
13591 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 45d 1 0.88mi
19050 W Davison St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1118 $1,400 $1.25 45d 1 0.89mi
13600 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 848 $1,100 $1.30 6d 1 0.90mi
12084 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 0.90mi
8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,100 $1.18 19d 1 0.99mi
12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,373 $1.57 23d 1 1.03mi
9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 25d 1 1.07mi
11652 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,386 $1.39 45d 1 1.08mi
9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 963 $1,200 $1.25 18d 1 1.09mi
9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 45d 1 1.12mi
11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 14d 1 1.14mi
19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 45d 1 1.19mi
11393 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 18d 1 1.20mi
13500 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,200 $1.41 45d 1 1.22mi
9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 947 $1,450 $1.53 18d 1 1.22mi
8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 867 $1,150 $1.33 45d 1 1.24mi
20522 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 45d 1 1.24mi
20529 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 45d 1 1.25mi
11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,400 $1.31 18d 1 1.25mi
9401 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 45d 1 1.25mi
20550 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 45d 1 1.26mi
20541 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 45d 1 1.26mi
20545 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 45d 1 1.26mi
9410 Patton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 45d 1 1.27mi
20547 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 45d 1 1.27mi
9404 Patton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 45d 1 1.28mi
20619 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 45d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $97,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $97,000 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $97,000 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $97,000 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $97,000 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $97,000 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $97,000 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $97,000 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $97,000 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $97,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $97,000 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $97,000 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $97,000 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-03-23
    listed $97,000 Active 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (856 chars)

    National Real Estate Management Group is excited to announce your next investment opportunity. Welcome to this charming brick bungalow featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Outside you will find a covered front porch and fenced-in back yard. This property provides convenient access to major roadways, and is located near parks, schools, shopping and dining. It also offers a 1-car detached garage for added convenience. A great addition to any investment portfolio. At National Real Estate Management Group, our listings come with built-in property management for seamless, turnkey investments. Our full-service approach covers everything from construction completion to tenant placement and ongoing management. Services include comprehensive property management, tenant screening, financial reporting, legal compliance, and streamlined communication.

  15. 2026-03-23
    listed $97,000 Active 856-char remark
    Show marketing remark (856 chars)

    National Real Estate Management Group is excited to announce your next investment opportunity. Welcome to this charming brick bungalow featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Outside you will find a covered front porch and fenced-in back yard. This property provides convenient access to major roadways, and is located near parks, schools, shopping and dining. It also offers a 1-car detached garage for added convenience. A great addition to any investment portfolio. At National Real Estate Management Group, our listings come with built-in property management for seamless, turnkey investments. Our full-service approach covers everything from construction completion to tenant placement and ongoing management. Services include comprehensive property management, tenant screening, financial reporting, legal compliance, and streamlined communication.

  16. 2021-07-26
    soldstatus $72,000
  17. 2021-01-26
    soldstatus $64,000
  18. 2020-09-23
    soldstatus $34,000 Sold
  19. 2020-08-28
    status Pending
  20. 2020-08-28
    status Pending
  21. 2020-08-19
    price $45,000
  22. 2020-08-19
    price $45,000
  23. 2020-07-21
    listed $50,000 Active
  24. 2020-07-21
    listed $50,000 Active
  25. 2013-05-13
    historical
  26. 2013-05-13
    historical
  27. 2013-01-05
    listed $15,000
  28. 2013-01-05
    listed $15,000
  29. 2008-02-06
    soldstatus $8,500
  30. 2008-02-06
    soldstatus $8,500
  31. 2007-12-20
    historical
  32. 2007-11-13
    listed $14,900
  33. 2007-10-31
    listed $14,900
  34. 2005-11-14
    soldstatus $104,000
  35. 1995-06-26
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,219 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,219 · $185/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,355
− Mortgage interest
−$5,434
− Property taxes
−$2,219
− Insurance
−$485
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,228
− Management
−$1,228
− Depreciation
−$2,822
Taxable income
$1,939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$465
After-tax cash flow
$2,857/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+385.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $97,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $97,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 2020-09-23 Sold (MLS) $34,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-19 Price Changed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-19 Price Changed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-07-21 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-07-21 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-05-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-05-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-01-05 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-01-05 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-02-06 Sold (MLS) $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-02-06 Sold (MLS) $8,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-12-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-11-13 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-10-31 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
  • 1995-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,219 · -10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…