299 Little River Trl · Eatonton, GA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 47.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CUTIE COTTAGE LAKE RETREAT! This one is neat as a pin! Looking for an affordable home that gets you almost a stone's throw from Lake Sinclair! YOU BETTER RUN! This 2 bedroom 1 bath is ready to be enjoyed. All new electrical and plumbing, fresh paint, brand new septic, renovated bathroom and updated kitchen. Central heat and air. Level large backyard. Washer/dryer hookups and encapsulated crawl space, attic fan. Spacious back deck. Plenty of space to park your boat. Less than one mile to Twin Bridges Marina boat ramp. 10x10 parking pad. Concrete block foundation in place. GATEWAY TO LAKE LIFE! Seller may consider owner financing.
Key facts
- Spacious back deck
- New plumbing
- Renovated bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.7% in Eatonton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#76 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Putnam County (rural): math 33% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #86 of 174 in GA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Putnam County Primary School (756 students, 81% FRL); Putnam County Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #229 of 470 statewide, top 49%, 681 students, 81% FRL); Putnam County High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #238 of 424 statewide, top 57%, 919 students, 81% FRL).
- Market conditions: 524 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Putnam County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $7k; list at $145k implies a 1971% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 47% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.76%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $333,160
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -56.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,469
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $20,794
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31024
- Active inventory
- 524
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,729 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $398 | -5% $348 | +0% $298 | +5% $248 | +10% $197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $161 | -5% $229 | +0% $298 | +5% $366 | +10% $434 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $335 | base $298 | +0.5pp $260 | +1.0pp $222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $145,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $145,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $145,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $145,000 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
CUTIE COTTAGE LAKE RETREAT! This one is neat as a pin! Looking for an affordable home that gets you almost a stone's throw from Lake Sinclair! YOU BETTER RUN! This 2 bedroom 1 bath is ready to be enjoyed. All new electrical and plumbing, fresh paint, brand new septic, renovated bathroom and updated kitchen. Central heat and air. Level large backyard. Washer/dryer hookups and encapsulated crawl space, attic fan. Spacious back deck. Plenty of space to park your boat. Less than one mile to Twin Bridges Marina boat ramp. 10x10 parking pad. Concrete block foundation in place. GATEWAY TO LAKE LIFE! Seller may consider owner financing.
-
2026-05-07price $145,000 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
CUTIE COTTAGE LAKE RETREAT! This one is neat as a pin! Looking for an affordable home that gets you almost a stone's throw from Lake Sinclair! YOU BETTER RUN! This 2 bedroom 1 bath is ready to be enjoyed. All new electrical and plumbing, fresh paint, brand new septic, renovated bathroom and updated kitchen. Central heat and air. Level large backyard. Washer/dryer hookups and encapsulated crawl space, attic fan. Spacious back deck. Plenty of space to park your boat. Less than one mile to Twin Bridges Marina boat ramp. 10x10 parking pad. Concrete block foundation in place. GATEWAY TO LAKE LIFE! Seller may consider owner financing.
-
2026-02-25$149,000 Active 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
CUTIE COTTAGE LAKE RETREAT! This one is neat as a pin! Looking for an affordable home that gets you almost a stone's throw from Lake Sinclair! YOU BETTER RUN! This 2 bedroom 1 bath is ready to be enjoyed. All new electrical and plumbing, fresh paint, brand new septic, renovated bathroom and updated kitchen. Central heat and air. Level large backyard. Washer/dryer hookups and encapsulated crawl space, attic fan. Spacious back deck. Plenty of space to park your boat. Less than one mile to Twin Bridges Marina boat ramp. 10x10 parking pad. Concrete block foundation in place. GATEWAY TO LAKE LIFE! Seller may consider owner financing.
-
2026-02-24$149,000 New 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
CUTIE COTTAGE LAKE RETREAT! This one is neat as a pin! Looking for an affordable home that gets you almost a stone's throw from Lake Sinclair! YOU BETTER RUN! This 2 bedroom 1 bath is ready to be enjoyed. All new electrical and plumbing, fresh paint, brand new septic, renovated bathroom and updated kitchen. Central heat and air. Level large backyard. Washer/dryer hookups and encapsulated crawl space, attic fan. Spacious back deck. Plenty of space to park your boat. Less than one mile to Twin Bridges Marina boat ramp. 10x10 parking pad. Concrete block foundation in place. GATEWAY TO LAKE LIFE! Seller may consider owner financing.
-
2026-02-20historical
-
2025-09-05status Back On Market
-
2025-08-07status Under Contract
-
2025-08-07status Under Contract
-
2025-08-07historical
-
2025-07-18$189,000 New
-
2025-07-18$189,000 New
-
2024-03-11$8,500
-
2024-03-01soldstatus $7,000
-
2024-03-01soldstatus $7,000 Sold
-
2024-02-05status Under Contract
-
2023-09-11status Back On Market
-
2023-08-21status Under Contract
-
2023-05-16$8,500 Active
-
2023-02-06$8,500 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 47% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,753
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$1,522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,660
- − Management
- −$1,660
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $1,394
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$335
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,238/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Putnam County
- NCES district ID
- 1304260
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,038
- Composite
- 26.9/100
- National rank
- #7088
- State rank
- #86 of 174 in GA
Livability — Eatonton
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #6665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Putnam County · 21,601 people
- City population
- 21,601
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,601
- Household income
- $65,971
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 696.0
Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,747 people
- By 2030
- 20,163 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 18,680 · -10.0%
- By 2050
- 17,117 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 13,269 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 9,234 · -55.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Putnam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.7% · R 71.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.9pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.9 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+35.8 2008: R+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.84%
- Current HPI
- 269.8265
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+1605.9% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $145,000 LCBR
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $145,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $149,000 LCBR
- 2026-02-24 Listed $149,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-09-05 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-08-07 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-08-07 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-08-07 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-07-18 Listed $189,000 GAMLS
- 2025-07-18 Listed $189,000 GAMLS
- 2024-03-11 Listed $8,500 LCBR
- 2024-03-01 Sold (MLS) $7,000 GAMLS
- 2024-03-01 Sold (MLS) $7,000 LCBR
- 2024-02-05 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-09-11 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2023-08-21 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-05-16 Listed $8,500 LCBR
- 2023-02-06 Listed $8,500 GAMLS
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $82 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…