208 Chandler St · Elizabethtown, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this adorable, cozy home located next to the American Legion Water Park. The covered back patio is a wonderful setting for this quiet neighborhood. Enjoy relaxing around the firepit and large patio are in the backyard. The storage building is equipped with electricity and air conditioning.
Key facts
- Firepit
- Large patio
- Covered back patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family ranch-style home; One story; Built in 1952
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Concrete block foundation
- Exterior features: See remarks
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Electricity connected
- Interior features: Two total rooms; No basement; No fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry; 1 HVAC unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.5% in Elizabethtown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#131 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Elizabethtown Independent (urban): math 26% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #66 of 165 in KY (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Morningside Elementary School (math 21% / reading 38%, grade F, #393 of 676 statewide, top 63%, 452 students, 50% FRL); Talton K Stone Middle School (math 26% / reading 51%, grade F, #68 of 217 statewide, top 32%, 545 students, 42% FRL); Elizabethtown High School (math 35% / reading 45%, grade F, #39 of 254 statewide, top 15%, 824 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 548 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 946 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (464 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hardin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $110k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.11%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,704
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Chandler St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-3%) | 8mo | $131,500 | $183 | 87 |
| 533 Lee Rd | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+1%) | 8mo | $172,500 | $230 | 67 |
| 512 Village Dr | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+1%) | 4mo | $153,000 | $204 | 64 |
| 513 Diecks Dr | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+1%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $160 | 64 |
| 518 Village Dr | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+1%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $220 | 61 |
| 528 Diecks Dr | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+1%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $200 | 58 |
| 520 Village Dr | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+1%) | 14mo | $162,500 | $217 | 56 |
| 532 Village Dr | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+3%) | 19mo | $197,000 | $257 | 48 |
| 221 Mantle Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (+12%) | 2mo | $185,500 | $223 | 46 |
| 506 Diecks Dr | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 846 (+14%) | 8mo | $153,000 | $181 | 43 |
| 218 N Mantle Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (+12%) | 10mo | $179,900 | $216 | 38 |
| 233 Henry St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 665 (-11%) | 18mo | $96,000 | $144 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-4,217
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $14,845
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42701
- Home prices YoY
- -29.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 548
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,147 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $907/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $208
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $270 | -5% $239 | +0% $208 | +5% $177 | +10% $146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $118 | -5% $163 | +0% $208 | +5% $253 | +10% $299 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $264 | -0.5pp $236 | base $208 | +0.5pp $180 | +1.0pp $151 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900 David Ct Elizabethtown, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 780 | $985 | $1.26 | 45d | 15 | 0.45mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-05-03status Pending 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Don't miss this adorable, cozy home located next to the American Legion Water Park. The covered back patio is a wonderful setting for this quiet neighborhood. Enjoy relaxing around the firepit and large patio are in the backyard. The storage building is equipped with electricity and air conditioning.
-
2026-04-27$110,000 Active 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Don't miss this adorable, cozy home located next to the American Legion Water Park. The covered back patio is a wonderful setting for this quiet neighborhood. Enjoy relaxing around the firepit and large patio are in the backyard. The storage building is equipped with electricity and air conditioning.
-
2026-04-27$110,000 Active
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Don't miss this adorable, cozy home located next to the American Legion Water Park. The covered back patio is a wonderful setting for this quiet neighborhood. Enjoy relaxing around the firepit and large patio are in the backyard. The storage building is equipped with electricity and air conditioning.
-
2021-07-13soldstatus $69,000
-
2021-07-12soldstatus $68,000 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Great Starter, Retirement or Investment Property. .. Newer Heat/Ac pump, remodeled open/expanded up the bedroom All appliances to stay (Washer, Dryer, Stove, Dishwasher and Refrigerator) House features a loft which the owner uses as another bedroom. close to the city park, golf course, pool. Back yard feature a covered porch to enjoy your mornings. Shed with has its own electric box, air, phone jack, usb cable.
-
2021-05-26$72,000 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
Great Starter, Retirement or Investment Property. .. Newer Heat/Ac pump, remodeled open/expanded up the bedroom All appliances to stay (Washer, Dryer, Stove, Dishwasher and Refrigerator) House features a loft which the owner uses as another bedroom. close to the city park, golf course, pool. Back yard feature a covered porch to enjoy your mornings. Shed with has its own electric box, air, phone jack, usb cable.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $907 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $946 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$39/yr (+$3/mo · 4.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$907
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,102
- − Management
- −$1,102
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $747
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$179
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elizabethtown Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101650
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,400
- Composite
- 29.39/100
- National rank
- #6526
- State rank
- #66 of 165 in KY
Livability — Elizabethtown
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #6198
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elizabethtown, KY
- County
- Hardin County · 77,611 people
- City population
- 53,987
- Metro
- Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,987
- Household income
- $69,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1663.0
Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,573 people
- By 2030
- 103,563 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 97,077 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 88,367 · -16.3%
- By 2075
- 65,405 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 42,245 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hardin
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+30.2 2012: R+20.8 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.94%
- Current HPI
- 228.7091
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.32%
- Metro
- Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+52.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-03 Pending — HKARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $110,000 HKARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $110,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2021-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-12 Sold (MLS) $68,000 HKARMLS
- 2021-05-26 Listed $72,000 HKARMLS
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $907 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…