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3551 NE 169th St #104 🌊 Lakefront
B+ Composite 76.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

3551 NE 169th St #104 · North Miami Beach, FL 33160
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 812 sqft · Condo public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1969 $566/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in a private guard-gated waterfront community, this well-maintained first-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers comfort, convenience, and incredible value. Enjoy the ease of parking directly in front of your unit and relax on your private screened-in patio overlooking the water—perfect for morning coffee or evening unwinding. In great condition and priced to sell, this is a fantastic opportunity to move right in or update to your personal style over time. Located in a desirable 55+ community (at least one owner must be 55+), residents enjoy amenities including a pool, gym, and community meeting room. Ideally situated near Aventura Mall, Aventura Hospital, beaches, shopping,

Key facts

  • Private guard gated
  • Near aventura mall
  • Waterfront community

Tags

PRIVATE GUARD GATEDWATERFRONT COMMUNITYSCREENED IN PATIOCOMMUNITY MEETING ROOMNEAR AVENTURA MALLNEAR AVENTURA HOSPITAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions or possible restrictions (conditional)
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include boat dock, clubhouse, fitness center, laundry, and pool; Association fee covers amenities, laundry, structure maintenance, parking, and pool(s); Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; One assigned space
  • Security: Complex fenced; Security guard; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Water and sewer available; Electric service (standard)
  • Home design: Attached property; 4-story building; Entry on level 1; Effective year built
  • Construction: Block construction
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony; Courtyard; Association pool; Canal-front waterfront; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor entry; Elevator; Bedroom on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $672 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,589/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $790 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $150k implies a 369% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,750 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  9. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  10. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.39%
Cap rate
15.08%
Cash-on-cash
31.38%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$35,615
Equity at exit
$47,549
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$84,464
Equity at exit
$60,449

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33160

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
1870
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,589 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$322 /mo · $3,864/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$566
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$754
Net cashflow
$672

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,739
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $757 -5% $714 +0% $672 +5% $629 +10% $587
Rent -10% $388 -5% $530 +0% $672 +5% $814 +10% $955
Rate -1.0pp $747 -0.5pp $710 base $672 +0.5pp $633 +1.0pp $593

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$566 · $6,792/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $170,000 Active
  15. 2024-07-11
    historical
  16. 2024-04-19
    price $229,000
  17. 2024-01-04
    price $234,900
  18. 2023-12-06
    price $237,900
  19. 2023-11-14
    price $239,900
  20. 2023-07-11
    listed $274,900 Active
  21. 1998-12-07
    soldstatus $32,000
  22. 1991-06-06
    soldstatus $34,000
  23. 1989-10-16
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,864 · $322/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,864 · $322/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,072
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$3,864
− Insurance
−$5,868
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,446
− Management
−$3,446
− HOA
−$6,792
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$6,890
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,654
After-tax cash flow
$6,409/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Miami Beach

Score
82/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#1177

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Miami Beach, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
90,324
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
43,718
Household income
$67,040
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
3106.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.53%
Current HPI
284.9293
Rent YoY
▲ 0.94%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+431.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $170,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-07-11 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2024-04-19 Price Changed $229,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-01-04 Price Changed $234,900 MARMLS
  • 2023-12-06 Price Changed $237,900 MARMLS
  • 2023-11-14 Price Changed $239,900 MARMLS
  • 2023-07-11 Listed $274,900 MARMLS
  • 1998-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 1991-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
  • 1989-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,864 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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