1009 Bethel Ave · Hampton, VA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.94%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath rancher featuring an open-concept layout great for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen showcases beautiful wood cabinetry, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy a spacious backyard for outdoor gatherings or relaxation. Ideally situated near I-64, Peninsula Town Center, and Huntington Ingalls for ultimate convenience.
Key facts
- Near i-64
- Spacious backyard
- Wood cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (3.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (3.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $165k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.77%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $207,170
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -20.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Rip Rap Rd | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-0%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $250 | 84 |
| 26 Bernard Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (+5%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $95 | 72 |
| 19 Huffman Dr | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-0%) | 12mo | $228,000 | $285 | 68 |
| 107 Cherry Acres Dr | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 780 (-3%) | 10mo | $189,500 | $243 | 64 |
| 402 Heffelfinger St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 751 (-6%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $213 | 61 |
| 1127 Rowe St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 920 (+15%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $245 | 59 |
| 35 Clayton Dr | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 891 (+11%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $264 | 56 |
| 1304 Quash St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 894 (+12%) | 11mo | $197,500 | $221 | 54 |
| 14 Crestwood Cir | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 738 (-8%) | 10mo | $147,500 | $200 | 53 |
| 8 Knox Pl | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+8%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $255 | 52 |
| 36 Crestwood Cir | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (+12%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $278 | 49 |
| 10 Dotson Dr | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+12%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $156 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-14,583
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $15,055
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23669
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,585 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,617/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $221 | -5% $175 | +0% $128 | +5% $81 | +10% $35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3 | -5% $65 | +0% $128 | +5% $191 | +10% $253 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $211 | -0.5pp $170 | base $128 | +0.5pp $85 | +1.0pp $42 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Rip Rap Rd Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 19 Bernard Ave Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $995 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 100 Spanish Trl Hampton, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 812 | $1,450 | $1.79 | 2d | 12 | 0.38mi |
| 28 Monroe Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,600 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 234 Washington St Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 11d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 24 Cavalier Rd Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,850 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 105 Roland Dr Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,250 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 323 Roane Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,495 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 232 W Gilbert St Hampton, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,371 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 450 Cedar Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2 Abbott Dr Hampton, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1187 | $2,891 | $2.43 | 2d | 18 | 1.01mi |
| 901 W Queen St Hampton, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1096 | $1,600 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 109 Peachtree Ln Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,795 | $1.82 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1115 E Pembroke Ave Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,275 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 212 Pine Grove Ave Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 600 Freeman Dr Hampton, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,008 | $2.25 | 3d | 8 | 1.40mi |
| 603 La Salle Ave Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,000 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 13 Beverly St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,800 | $1.71 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-14status Under Contract 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath rancher featuring an open-concept layout great for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen showcases beautiful wood cabinetry, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy a spacious backyard for outdoor gatherings or relaxation. Ideally situated near I-64, Peninsula Town Center, and Huntington Ingalls for ultimate convenience.
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath rancher featuring an open-concept layout great for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen showcases beautiful wood cabinetry, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy a spacious backyard for outdoor gatherings or relaxation. Ideally situated near I-64, Peninsula Town Center, and Huntington Ingalls for ultimate convenience.
-
2026-04-22price $165,000 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath rancher featuring an open-concept layout great for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen showcases beautiful wood cabinetry, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy a spacious backyard for outdoor gatherings or relaxation. Ideally situated near I-64, Peninsula Town Center, and Huntington Ingalls for ultimate convenience.
-
2026-04-22price $155,000 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath rancher featuring an open-concept layout great for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen showcases beautiful wood cabinetry, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy a spacious backyard for outdoor gatherings or relaxation. Ideally situated near I-64, Peninsula Town Center, and Huntington Ingalls for ultimate convenience.
-
2026-04-09$165,000 Active 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath rancher featuring an open-concept layout great for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen showcases beautiful wood cabinetry, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy a spacious backyard for outdoor gatherings or relaxation. Ideally situated near I-64, Peninsula Town Center, and Huntington Ingalls for ultimate convenience.
-
2019-10-17soldstatus $71,000
-
2019-10-04status Under Contract
-
2019-10-04status Active Under Contract
-
2019-09-30historical
-
2019-09-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2019-09-19price $82,900
-
2019-09-14price $84,900
-
2019-08-06price $89,900
-
2019-07-25price $94,900
-
2019-07-19price $99,900
-
2019-07-15price $105,000
-
2019-06-28$109,900 Active
-
1992-12-01soldstatus $51,051
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,617 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,617 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 94% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,617
- − Insurance
- −$1,492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,522
- − Management
- −$1,522
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$1,172
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$281
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hampton City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101800
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,089
- Composite
- 55.19/100
- National rank
- #1272
- State rank
- #40 of 131 in VA
Livability — Hampton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #4302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hampton, VA
- County
- Hampton City · 132,421 people
- City population
- 132,421
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,884
- Household income
- $71,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2130.0
Population outlook (Hampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,055 people
- By 2030
- 131,753 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 125,017 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 116,825 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 97,033 · -27.6%
- By 2100
- 76,188 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 39% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hampton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.9) · D 69.2% · R 29.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.0pp no change · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.9 2020: D+42.2 2016: D+37.8 2012: D+45.4 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.40%
- Current HPI
- 276.4636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.44%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+223.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $165,000 REINMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $155,000 REINMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $165,000 REINMLS
- 2019-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2019-10-04 Pending — REINMLS
- 2019-10-04 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2019-09-30 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2019-09-24 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2019-09-19 Price Changed $82,900 REINMLS
- 2019-09-14 Price Changed $84,900 REINMLS
- 2019-08-06 Price Changed $89,900 REINMLS
- 2019-07-25 Price Changed $94,900 REINMLS
- 2019-07-19 Price Changed $99,900 REINMLS
- 2019-07-15 Price Changed $105,000 REINMLS
- 2019-06-28 Listed $109,900 REINMLS
- 1992-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $51,051 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,617 · +24.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…