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2005 Louise Ave
C- Composite 51.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,000

2005 Louise Ave · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,226 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 1978 8,712 sqft lot $93/sqft · 31% above area Est $87k · 31% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom plus a large bonus room single-family home located on a quiet street in Cahokia with approximately 1130 sq ft of livable space. This move-in ready home features fresh renovations throughout, including brand-new flooring in bonus room and laundry room, modern light fixtures, and a fresh coat of paint throughout. The large bonus room offers flexible space perfect for a family room, rec room, or home office. The home also offers generous outdoor space, with both a large front yard and a spacious backyard ideal for entertaining. Additional updates include a new hot water tank (March 2025) and a furnace that’s just 6 years old. This move-in ready home is a great opportunity for new homeowners or investors looking to generate additional income —schedule your showing today! Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all MLS data. Home is being sold "As Is". Buyer responsible for city occupancy. Seller to provide a 1-year home warranty if requested by the buyer.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1978
  • Listed 127 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 13.6% in Cahokia Heights — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,397/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $788 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $114k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.62%
Cash-on-cash
11.87%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,318
List price
$114,000
Delta
30.56%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1700 Theodore Ln 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,216 (-1%) 6mo $50,000 $41 68
1624 Doris Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+4%) 2mo $105,000 $83 62
2 Leonard Dr 0.37mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,286 (+5%) 7mo $110,000 $86 62
1735 Parklane Dr 0.51mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,248 (+2%) 6mo $110,000 $88 60
1710 Parklane Dr 0.65mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,225 (-0%) 5mo $110,000 $90 56
1620 Doris Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,282 (+5%) 2mo $105,000 $82 56
1427 Williams St 0.53mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (+6%) 2mo $59,500 $46 54
1426 Williams St 0.54mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (+6%) 6mo $110,000 $85 50
109 Dorcas Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,316 (+7%) 6mo $45,000 $34 50
1711 Parklane Dr 0.63mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,315 (+7%) 1mo $110,000 $84 49
1614 Parklane Dr 0.70mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (-6%) 5mo $110,000 $95 44
28 Fox Meadow Ln 0.63mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,056 (-14%) 2mo $180,000 $170 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,652
Equity at exit
$16,998
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$27,411
Equity at exit
$9,857

Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,397 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$598
Tax est. 1.5%
$142 /mo · $1,710/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$316

Break-even live

Break-even rent $997
Max offer price $114,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,500
Closing costs
$3,420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 4d 1 0.11mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 21d 1 0.26mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 2d 1 0.44mi
102 Melvin Dr Unit 34 Sauget, IL 4.0 1.0 1352 $1,700 $1.26 7d 1 0.55mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 1d 1 0.56mi
1420 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 43d 1 0.57mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 21d 1 0.58mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 43d 1 0.62mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 43d 1 0.64mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 43d 1 0.65mi
1710 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1225 $1,395 $1.14 43d 1 0.66mi
2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $885 $0.96 43d 1 0.69mi
1614 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1152 $1,400 $1.22 23d 1 0.71mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 23d 1 0.72mi
13 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 12d 1 0.77mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 14d 1 0.79mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 16d 1 0.79mi
1312 Saint Raphael St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,500 $1.17 43d 1 0.80mi
32 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,675 $1.23 16d 1 0.83mi
70 W Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 43d 1 0.87mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 14d 1 0.90mi
2231 Loren St Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 44d 1 0.92mi
302 Saint Leonard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1155 $1,300 $1.13 43d 1 0.97mi
13 Marilyn Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 995 $1,150 $1.16 43d 1 1.05mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 23d 1 1.13mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 2d 1 1.18mi
8 Louise Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,275 $1.11 17d 1 1.19mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 16d 1 1.23mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 21d 1 1.24mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 23d 1 1.25mi
6 Delores Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,300 $1.50 12d 1 1.25mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 21d 1 1.27mi
21 Agnes Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,050 $1.22 21d 1 1.29mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 2d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,000 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,000 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,000 Active 122 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,000 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,000 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,000 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $114,000 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,000 Active 113 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,000 Active 112 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,000 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,000 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-02-11
    listed $114,000 Active 1039-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom plus a large bonus room single-family home located on a quiet street in Cahokia with approximately 1130 sq ft of livable space. This move-in ready home features fresh renovations throughout, including brand-new flooring in bonus room and laundry room, modern light fixtures, and a fresh coat of paint throughout. The large bonus room offers flexible space perfect for a family room, rec room, or home office. The home also offers generous outdoor space, with both a large front yard and a spacious backyard ideal for entertaining. Additional updates include a new hot water tank (March 2025) and a furnace that’s just 6 years old. This move-in ready home is a great opportunity for new homeowners or investors looking to generate additional income —schedule your showing today! Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all MLS data. Home is being sold "As Is". Buyer responsible for city occupancy. Seller to provide a 1-year home warranty if requested by the buyer.

  16. 2025-08-03
    listed $119,000 Active
  17. 2003-03-26
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,762
− Mortgage interest
−$6,386
− Property taxes
−$1,710
− Insurance
−$570
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,341
− Management
−$1,341
− Depreciation
−$3,316
Taxable income
$2,098
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$503
After-tax cash flow
$3,284/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+107.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $114,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-03 Listed $119,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-19.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $46 · -97.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…