503 Sayler St · Underwood, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$199,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
With a little TLC this Ranch Style home in Underwood, North Dakota would make a wonderful place to live. The house features a large living room, two bathrooms, dining room, two bedrooms on the main floor and additional non-egress bedroom in the basement. The yard is large and there is a nice sized attached garage. This is a HUD Home, Sold As-Is Case # 401-137985 www. HUDHomeStore. gov
Key facts
- Ranch style home
- 0.26 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Garage door opener; Heated garage; Workshop and storage space in garage; Driveway; Parking pad; RV access/parking; Inside entrance to home from garage
- Security: Smoke detectors; Security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; Cable available
- Home design: Residential single-family home
- Construction: Masonite exterior; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built area includes finished space above and below grade
- Exterior features: Patio; Rectangular lot; Publicly maintained road frontage on a city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Central vacuum; Window treatments; Finished basement with storage space; Total of 12 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-300 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (26.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (43.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (43.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#78 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Underwood 8 (rural): math 40% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #63 of 169 in ND (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in McLean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
- McLean County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.44%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 14.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,288
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Sayler St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,221 (+4%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $138 | 81 |
| 501 Summit St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+2%) | 14mo | $99,900 | $83 | 72 |
| 411 Mckinley Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,312 (+12%) | 14mo | $79,900 | $61 | 51 |
| 600 2nd St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,256 (+7%) | 19mo | $190,000 | $151 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-16,734
- Equity at exit
- $66,960
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-3,583
- Equity at exit
- $87,978
Cash invested: $55,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58576
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 14.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,125 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $689/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $-300
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-187 | -5% $-244 | +0% $-300 | +5% $-357 | +10% $-414 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-389 | -5% $-345 | +0% $-300 | +5% $-256 | +10% $-212 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-200 | -0.5pp $-250 | base $-300 | +0.5pp $-352 | +1.0pp $-405 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,998
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,990 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,990 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,990 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,990 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,990 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $199,990 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,990 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,990 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,990 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,990 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,990 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$199,990 Active
-
2026-03-16price $207,500
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2023-05-31soldstatus 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
With a little TLC this Ranch Style home in Underwood, North Dakota would make a wonderful place to live. The house features a large living room, two bathrooms, dining room, two bedrooms on the main floor and additional non-egress bedroom in the basement. The yard is large and there is a nice sized attached garage. This is a HUD Home, Sold As-Is Case # 401-137985 www. HUDHomeStore. gov
-
2023-04-06$117,000 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
With a little TLC this Ranch Style home in Underwood, North Dakota would make a wonderful place to live. The house features a large living room, two bathrooms, dining room, two bedrooms on the main floor and additional non-egress bedroom in the basement. The yard is large and there is a nice sized attached garage. This is a HUD Home, Sold As-Is Case # 401-137985 www. HUDHomeStore. gov
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2023-03-20soldstatus
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2014-10-31soldstatus
-
2014-02-26$164,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $689 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,960 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,271/yr (+$106/mo · 184.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$689
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,080
- − Management
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$7,366
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,768
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Underwood 8
- NCES district ID
- 3818660
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,442
- Composite
- 43.22/100
- National rank
- #6568
- State rank
- #63 of 169 in ND
Livability — Underwood
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #7630
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Underwood, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,005
Population outlook (McLean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,405 people
- By 2030
- 12,337 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 14,426 · +26.5%
- By 2050
- 16,850 · +47.7%
- By 2075
- 24,191 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 30,714 · +169.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 15% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McLean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.1) · D 20.2% · R 78.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.0pp · 2024: -58.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.1 2020: R+53.6 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.87%
- Current HPI
- 172.7268
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+21.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $199,990 GNMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $207,500 GNMLS
- 2023-05-31 Sold (MLS) — MMLS
- 2023-04-06 Listed $117,000 MMLS
- 2023-03-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-10-31 Sold (MLS) — GNMLS
- 2014-02-26 Listed $164,500 GNMLS
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $689 · -59.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…