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503 Sayler St
F Composite 26.94
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$199,990

503 Sayler St · Underwood, ND 58576
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1976 0.26 ac lot Est $162k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

With a little TLC this Ranch Style home in Underwood, North Dakota would make a wonderful place to live. The house features a large living room, two bathrooms, dining room, two bedrooms on the main floor and additional non-egress bedroom in the basement. The yard is large and there is a nice sized attached garage. This is a HUD Home, Sold As-Is Case # 401-137985 www. HUDHomeStore. gov

Key facts

  • Ranch style home
  • 0.26 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

RANCH STYLE HOMEBRIGHT OPEN LIVING AREALARGE SECOND LIVING AREANEWLY INSTALLED BATHTUBTWO STALL INSULATED GARAGEAMPLE YEAR ROUND STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Garage door opener; Heated garage; Workshop and storage space in garage; Driveway; Parking pad; RV access/parking; Inside entrance to home from garage
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential single-family home
  • Construction: Masonite exterior; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built area includes finished space above and below grade
  • Exterior features: Patio; Rectangular lot; Publicly maintained road frontage on a city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Central vacuum; Window treatments; Finished basement with storage space; Total of 12 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-300 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (26.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (43.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (43.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#78 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Underwood 8 (rural): math 40% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #63 of 169 in ND (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in McLean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
  • McLean County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $112,533 (43.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.56%
Cap rate
4.49%
Cash-on-cash
-6.44%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
14.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$162,288
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 Sayler St 0.05mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,221 (+4%) 1mo $169,000 $138 81
501 Summit St 0.09mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+2%) 14mo $99,900 $83 72
411 Mckinley Ave 0.23mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,312 (+12%) 14mo $79,900 $61 51
600 2nd St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,256 (+7%) 19mo $190,000 $151 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-16,734
Equity at exit
$66,960
10-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-3,583
Equity at exit
$87,978

Cash invested: $55,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58576

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
14.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,125 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $689/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$-300

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,506
Max offer price $146,907
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-187 -5% $-244 +0% $-300 +5% $-357 +10% $-414
Rent -10% $-389 -5% $-345 +0% $-300 +5% $-256 +10% $-212
Rate -1.0pp $-200 -0.5pp $-250 base $-300 +0.5pp $-352 +1.0pp $-405

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,998
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,990 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,990 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,990 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,990 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,990 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,990 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,990 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,990 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,990 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,990 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,990 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,990 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,990 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,990 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $199,990 Active
  16. 2026-03-16
    price $207,500
  17. 2023-05-31
    soldstatus 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    With a little TLC this Ranch Style home in Underwood, North Dakota would make a wonderful place to live. The house features a large living room, two bathrooms, dining room, two bedrooms on the main floor and additional non-egress bedroom in the basement. The yard is large and there is a nice sized attached garage. This is a HUD Home, Sold As-Is Case # 401-137985 www. HUDHomeStore. gov

  18. 2023-04-06
    listed $117,000 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    With a little TLC this Ranch Style home in Underwood, North Dakota would make a wonderful place to live. The house features a large living room, two bathrooms, dining room, two bedrooms on the main floor and additional non-egress bedroom in the basement. The yard is large and there is a nice sized attached garage. This is a HUD Home, Sold As-Is Case # 401-137985 www. HUDHomeStore. gov

  19. 2023-03-20
    soldstatus
  20. 2014-10-31
    soldstatus
  21. 2014-02-26
    listed $164,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$689 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,960 · $163/mo
Expected delta
+$1,271/yr (+$106/mo · 184.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,504
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$689
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,080
− Management
−$1,080
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$7,366
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,768
After-tax cash flow
$-1,838/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Underwood 8
NCES district ID
3818660
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$54,442
Composite
43.22/100
National rank
#6568
State rank
#63 of 169 in ND

Livability — Underwood

Score
70/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#7630

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Underwood, ND
Population (ZIP)
1,005

Population outlook (McLean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,405 people
By 2030
12,337 · +8.2%
By 2040
14,426 · +26.5%
By 2050
16,850 · +47.7%
By 2075
24,191 · +112.1%
By 2100
30,714 · +169.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 15% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McLean

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.1) · D 20.2% · R 78.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-39.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.0pp · 2024: -58.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.1 2020: R+53.6 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.87%
Current HPI
172.7268
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $199,990 GNMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $207,500 GNMLS
  • 2023-05-31 Sold (MLS) MMLS
  • 2023-04-06 Listed $117,000 MMLS
  • 2023-03-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-10-31 Sold (MLS) GNMLS
  • 2014-02-26 Listed $164,500 GNMLS

Property tax history

-2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $689 · -59.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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