1475 Green Acres #105 · Eugene, OR
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Open floor plan, corner lot, newer roof, heat pump/AC, washer/dryer stay; 1981 Fuqua-Parkway Manufactured Home, plate #X175801; amenities: club house, pool, planned social activities, close to shopping, busline, valley Rvr Cntr
Key facts
- Rv storage
- Garage
- Built 1981
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property for resale; Not in a senior community
- Financial info: Land lease expires June 30, 2026
- HOA & community: Land lease in place (monthly lot rent); Lot rent: monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Carport and driveway (total 1 parking space)
- Security: Security details not specified
- Utilities: Electric fuel; Public water; Public sewer; Cable internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Residential property, detached; Single-story (one level); Built in 1981; Main living area approximately 864
- Construction: Composition roof; Skirting foundation
- Exterior features: Plywood exterior; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified); Hot water: electric
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom
- Flooring: Flooring details not specified
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Heat pump / mini-split cooling
- Interior features: Accessible, one-level layout; Aluminum window frames with double-pane windows; Crawl space basement with exterior entry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility details not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
- Cap rate 36.0% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
- Eugene SD 4J (urban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #10 of 58 in OR (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Gilham Elementary School (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C, #79 of 412 statewide, top 21%, 584 students, 36% FRL); Cal Young Middle School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade D-, #38 of 128 statewide, top 31%, 494 students, 48% FRL); Sheldon High School (math 70% / reading 70%, grade B, #14 of 143 statewide, top 10%, 1,525 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $48k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 106.01%
- DSCR
- 5.72
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $39,744
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #52 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+4%) | 12mo | $26,000 | $29 | 84 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #168 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 770 (-11%) | 3mo | $28,000 | $36 | 79 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #66 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (-7%) | 7mo | $10,000 | $13 | 78 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #10 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (-7%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $81 | 78 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #141 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+11%) | 1mo | $44,000 | $46 | 77 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #175 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (+9%) | 14mo | $40,000 | $43 | 74 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #146 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-11%) | 11mo | $32,000 | $42 | 73 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #80 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (+5%) | 22mo | $57,000 | $63 | 72 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #39 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (+8%) | 19mo | $34,500 | $37 | 71 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #19 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+11%) | 13mo | $62,000 | $65 | 67 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #108 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 738 (-15%) | 8mo | $52,500 | $71 | 65 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #120 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 738 (-15%) | 21mo | $52,000 | $70 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.88×
- Total profit
- $65,541
- Equity at exit
- $7,157
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.69×
- Total profit
- $157,070
- Equity at exit
- $4,150
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97408
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,900 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $505/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $1,121
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,148 | -5% $1,134 | +0% $1,121 | +5% $1,107 | +10% $1,094 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $971 | -5% $1,046 | +0% $1,121 | +5% $1,196 | +10% $1,271 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,145 | -0.5pp $1,133 | base $1,121 | +0.5pp $1,108 | +1.0pp $1,096 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2300 Norkenzie Rd Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,445 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3328 Lake Glenn Dr Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1877 Brewer Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1102 | $1,649 | $1.50 | 14d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 3950 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $1,564 | $2.46 | 14d | 5 | 0.69mi |
| 1440 John Day Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1050 | $2,349 | $2.24 | 14d | 38 | 0.75mi |
| 2356 Crescent Ave Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,595 | $1.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3610 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $2,299 | $2.87 | 14d | 15 | 0.76mi |
| 3570 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,999 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1844 Happy Ln Eugene, OR | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,692 | $1.63 | 14d | 5 | 0.95mi |
| 1367 Umpqua Ave Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,675 | $3.15 | 14d | 46 | 0.97mi |
| 2948 Matt Dr Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2459 Lakeview Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $1,790 | $1.85 | 14d | 24 | 1.05mi |
| 1150 Darlene Ln Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 924 | $2,285 | $2.47 | 14d | 16 | 1.15mi |
| 2847 Tennyson Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $2,178 | $2.41 | 14d | 8 | 1.15mi |
| 1800 Cal Young Rd Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,830 | $2.06 | 14d | 9 | 1.23mi |
| 1740 Adkins St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 14d | 8 | 1.41mi |
| 2555 Willakenzie Rd Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,579 | $2.16 | 14d | 12 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 484-char remark
-
2026-06-18$48,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $505 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $505 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,802
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$505
- − Insurance
- −$1,038
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $13,526
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,246
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,204/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eugene SD 4J
- NCES district ID
- 4104740
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,688
- Composite
- 42.15/100
- National rank
- #3302
- State rank
- #10 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eugene
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eugene, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 215,212
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,420
- Household income
- $104,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 402.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.97%
- Current HPI
- 286.5805
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+269.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $48,000 RMLS
- 2004-10-22 Sold (MLS) $12,000 RMLS
- 2004-10-19 Delisted — RMLS
- 2004-06-18 Listed $13,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $505 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…