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1676 Sweet Sapling Ct
F Composite 34.46
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,990

1676 Sweet Sapling Ct · Four Corners, FL 33837
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,674 sqft · Land · 71 Days on market
Built 2026 2,194 sqft lot $150/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tile on the 1st Floor, 42 inch Espresso Cabinets, Granite countertop, All Stainless appliance, with top loaded washer & Dryer, Cable and internet included.

Key facts

  • $150 HOA
  • Garage
  • Built 2026

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Home warranty included
  • Financial info: Other annual assessment: $2,040; Total monthly fees: $150; Total annual fees: $1,800; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA: Ryan Homes; Monthly HOA fee $150 (includes cable TV, internet, grounds maintenance); Community amenities: Park, Playground; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car, 10 x 21)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Public utilities
  • Home design: Townhouse (attached); Two levels; New construction; Facing south
  • Construction: Block, stucco, and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Builder: Ryan Homes (Model: MAYPORT); Projected completion: 2026-04-30
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Sliding doors; Sidewalk; Paved lot/road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Solid surface counters; Stone counters; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); ENERGY STAR qualified windows; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry on upper level; Inside utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-195 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (10.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (14.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $239k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Loughman Oaks Elementary School (math 36% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,670 of 2,144 statewide, top 78%, 1,052 students, 37% FRL); Davenport High School (2,333 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 60% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 1382 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $239,267 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.98%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.9%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-64,657
Equity at exit
$41,747
10-year hold
IRR
-34.9%
Equity multiple
-0.26×
Total profit
$-98,850
Equity at exit
$24,208

Cash invested: $78,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33837

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Rents YoY
-2.7%
Active inventory
1382
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,393 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax est. 1.5%
$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$150
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$502
Net cashflow
$-195

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,639
Max offer price $251,811
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,998
Closing costs
$8,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
616 Daring Dr Davenport, FL 4.0 2.0 2090 $2,500 $1.20 23d 1 0.44mi
652 Daring Dr Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 2109 $2,150 $1.02 23d 1 0.52mi
506 Hatteras Rd Davenport, FL 4.0 3.0 2120 $2,890 $1.36 3d 1 0.59mi
700 Daring Dr Davenport, FL 4.0 2.0 1853 $2,350 $1.27 23d 1 0.63mi
316 Heroic Rd Davenport, FL 4.0 3.0 2080 $3,000 $1.44 14d 1 0.64mi
1731 Oceania Ave Davenport, FL 4.0 2.5 2110 $2,560 $1.21 14d 1 0.77mi
1337 Cascade Dr Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 1506 $2,025 $1.34 14d 1 0.78mi
1824 Brisbane Pl Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 1596 $2,200 $1.38 19d 1 0.82mi
1011 John Jacob Rd Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 1555 $2,200 $1.41 23d 1 0.89mi
2788 Pierr St Davenport, FL 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,150 $1.26 14d 1 0.89mi
2821 Pierr St Davenport, FL 3.0 2.5 1873 $2,000 $1.07 23d 1 0.89mi
2172 Desert Rose Dr Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 1545 $2,250 $1.46 23d 1 0.89mi
1126 James Paul Rd Davenport, FL 4.0 2.5 2041 $2,200 $1.08 14d 1 0.91mi
1106 James Paul Rd Davenport, FL 4.0 2.0 1897 $2,550 $1.34 23d 1 0.91mi
852 Daring Dr Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 1555 $1,990 $1.28 23d 1 0.96mi
865 Daring Dr Davenport, FL 4.0 2.5 1890 $2,650 $1.40 23d 1 0.99mi
507 Lily Ln Davenport, FL 4.0 2.0 1952 $2,300 $1.18 19d 1 1.11mi
148 Heavenwood Ct Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 1327 $1,881 $1.42 3d 1 1.12mi
3141 Laurent Loop Davenport, FL 3.0 2.5 1888 $1,950 $1.03 3d 1 1.19mi
3133 Laurent Loop Davenport, FL 3.0 2.5 1834 $2,000 $1.09 23d 1 1.20mi
3255 Laurent Loop Davenport, FL 3.0 2.5 1873 $2,225 $1.19 19d 1 1.22mi
3302 Laurent Loop Davenport, FL 3.0 2.5 1840 $2,230 $1.21 3d 1 1.23mi
2837 Pierr St Davenport, FL 3.0 2.5 1738 $2,100 $1.21 3d 1 1.25mi
1320 Oak Crest St Davenport, FL 4.0 2.0 1850 $2,211 $1.20 14d 1 1.29mi
4052 Oaktree Dr Davenport, FL 4.0 3.0 2172 $2,850 $1.31 14d 1 1.37mi
820 Briargrove Ave Davenport, FL 4.0 2.0 1564 $2,249 $1.44 3d 1 1.38mi
129 Victory Ave Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,350 $1.47 23d 1 1.41mi
245 Foggy Creek Rd Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,150 $1.49 23d 1 1.46mi
309 Vizcay Way Davenport, FL 3.0 2.0 1759 $2,435 $1.38 14d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$150 · $1,800/yr
Likely covers
internetcable

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $279,990 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $279,990 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $279,990 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $279,990 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $279,990 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $279,990 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $279,990 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,990 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,990 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $279,990 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,990 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,990 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,990 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,990 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $279,990
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Tile on the 1st Floor, 42 inch Espresso Cabinets, Granite countertop, All Stainless appliance, with top loaded washer & Dryer, Cable and internet included.

  16. 2026-05-19
    price $279,990 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Tile on the 1st Floor, 42 inch Espresso Cabinets, Granite countertop, All Stainless appliance, with top loaded washer & Dryer, Cable and internet included.

  17. 2026-04-23
    status Active 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Tile on the 1st Floor, 42 inch Espresso Cabinets, Granite countertop, All Stainless appliance, with top loaded washer & Dryer, Cable and internet included.

  18. 2026-04-23
    price $289,990 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Tile on the 1st Floor, 42 inch Espresso Cabinets, Granite countertop, All Stainless appliance, with top loaded washer & Dryer, Cable and internet included.

  19. 2026-04-17
    historical 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Tile on the 1st Floor, 42 inch Espresso Cabinets, Granite countertop, All Stainless appliance, with top loaded washer & Dryer, Cable and internet included.

  20. 2026-04-08
    listed $293,990 Active 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Tile on the 1st Floor, 42 inch Espresso Cabinets, Granite countertop, All Stainless appliance, with top loaded washer & Dryer, Cable and internet included.

  21. 2026-04-08
    listed $289,990 Active
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Tile on the 1st Floor, 42 inch Espresso Cabinets, Granite countertop, All Stainless appliance, with top loaded washer & Dryer, Cable and internet included.

  22. 2026-01-14
    soldstatus $1,330,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,712
− Mortgage interest
−$15,684
− Property taxes
−$4,200
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,297
− Management
−$2,297
− HOA
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$8,145
Taxable loss
−$7,111
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,707
After-tax cash flow
$-630/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Four Corners

Score
69/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#8218

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Polk County · 740,051 people
City population
27,422
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Population (ZIP)
47,389
Household income
$81,276
Rent vs Own
18.5% rent · 81.5% own
Severe rent burden
424.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 42% White 36% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 5% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 35% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -131.62%
Current HPI
256.8165
Rent YoY
▼ -2.73%
Metro
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-78.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $279,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $279,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-23 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $289,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-17 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $293,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $289,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $1,330,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…