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1235 Rordon Ave
B- Composite 67.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$575,000

1235 Rordon Ave · Naples, FL 34103
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 941 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1967 7,840 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1235 Rordon is where life moves a little slower, the Gulf breeze feels a little sweeter, and every day starts with the possibility of a beach sunset. Just minutes from Naples’ white-sand shoreline, Coastland Center, Baker Park, and 5th Ave’s favorite haunts, this centrally located home puts you in the heart of everything locals love. This classic 3-bedroom Naples bungalow sits on a generous oversized lot, offering the kind of backyard space people dream about but rarely find this close to the water. The large, fully fenced backyard is ideal for those with trade vehicles—such as trucks, vans, or work trailers—who need secure space behind the gate. Lush landscaping and

Key facts

  • Centrally located
  • Oversized lot
  • Lush landscaping

Tags

CENTRALLY LOCATEDOVERSIZED LOTBACKYARD SPACELUSH LANDSCAPINGFRUIT TREESNO HOA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $575k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $575k).
  • Recommended offer: $523k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lake Park Elementary School (math 76% / reading 77%, grade A, #185 of 2,144 statewide, top 9%, 502 students, 39% FRL); Gulfview Middle School (math 78% / reading 68%, grade A, #44 of 571 statewide, top 8%, 582 students, 40% FRL); Naples High School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,719 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 55% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.6%/yr); 480 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,664/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($117k/yr) (locally 311% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $161k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($523k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $305k; list at $575k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $523,250 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.85%
Cash-on-cash
12.70%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$50,433
Equity at exit
$85,734
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$343,355
Equity at exit
$49,715

Cash invested: $161,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34103

Rents YoY
14.6%
Active inventory
480
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,664 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,015
Tax from tax record
$306 /mo · $3,668/yr
Insurance
$240
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,400
Net cashflow
$1,704

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,507
Max offer price $575,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,030 -5% $1,867 +0% $1,704 +5% $1,541 +10% $1,379
Rent -10% $1,178 -5% $1,441 +0% $1,704 +5% $1,967 +10% $2,231
Rate -1.0pp $1,994 -0.5pp $1,850 base $1,704 +0.5pp $1,555 +1.0pp $1,404

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$143,750
Closing costs
$17,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
45 High Point Cir S #303 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1015 $5,500 $5.42 25d 1 0.22mi
820 Ketch Dr #3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $5,500 $5.00 25d 1 0.43mi
820 Ketch Dr #2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $5,700 $5.18 25d 1 0.43mi
3030 Binnacle Dr #201 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1092 $5,000 $4.58 25d 1 0.45mi
788 Park Shore Dr Naples, FL 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 931 $5,500 $5.90 15d 3 0.75mi
333 Harbour Dr #211 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 975 $5,500 $5.64 15d 1 0.94mi
3200 Gulf Shore Blvd N #105 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1116 $8,500 $7.62 25d 1 1.13mi
600 Neapolitan Way Naples, FL 1.0–2.0 2.0 832 $5,200 $6.25 25d 2 1.29mi
1950 Gulf Shore Blvd N Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1060 $7,250 $6.84 25d 2 1.30mi
1910 Gulf Shore Blvd N Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1290 $9,200 $7.13 25d 2 1.33mi
4523 Fluvia Ave Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 1050 $5,500 $5.24 25d 1 1.37mi
4525 Fluvia Ave Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 1050 $5,500 $5.24 25d 1 1.37mi
2011 Gulf Shore Blvd N #45 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $8,500 $7.73 25d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-02-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-12
    price $575,000
  3. 2026-01-01
    price $600,000
  4. 2025-12-10
    price $635,000
  5. 2025-11-14
    listed $650,000 Active
  6. 2025-08-30
    historical
  7. 2025-04-23
    price $645,000
  8. 2025-03-30
    price $650,000
  9. 2025-03-20
    price $675,000
  10. 2025-03-05
    price $700,000
  11. 2025-02-18
    price $725,000
  12. 2025-02-05
    price $739,000
  13. 2024-12-23
    price $770,000
  14. 2024-11-05
    listed $779,900 Active
  15. 2024-10-03
    historical
  16. 2024-07-12
    listed $799,000 Active
  17. 2019-01-30
    soldstatus $305,000
  18. 1997-04-07
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,668 · $306/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,772 · $398/mo
Expected delta
+$1,105/yr (+$92/mo · 30.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$79,971
− Mortgage interest
−$32,209
− Property taxes
−$3,668
− Insurance
−$2,875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,398
− Management
−$6,398
− Depreciation
−$16,727
Taxable income
$11,697
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,807
After-tax cash flow
$17,643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Naples

Score
80/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#1903

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Naples, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
City population
344,941
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
11,299
Household income
$116,875
Rent vs Own
14.1% rent · 85.9% own
Severe rent burden
311.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -327.53%
Current HPI
315.1396
Rent YoY
▲ 14.55%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+858.3% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-26 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $575,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Price Changed $600,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $635,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $650,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-08-30 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-04-23 Price Changed $645,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-03-30 Price Changed $650,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-03-20 Price Changed $675,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-03-05 Price Changed $700,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-02-18 Price Changed $725,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Price Changed $739,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-12-23 Price Changed $770,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-11-05 Listed $779,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-10-03 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Listed $799,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2019-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $305,000 Public Records
  • 1997-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,668 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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