124 Tucson Rd SW · Palm Bay, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cozy 3-bedroom, 2-bath home has been thoughtfully renovated and feels warm and inviting from the moment you walk in. The kitchen and bathrooms have both been updated with a clean, modern look, while still keeping a comfortable, lived-in feel. The big-ticket items have already been taken care of, with the AC replaced in 2018 and the roof in 2019. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced yard with a separate dog run--great for anyone with pets or who just wants a little extra outdoor space. The home sits on a quiet street, but still close to major roads, shopping, restaurants, and schools, so getting around is easy. No HOA here, just a solid, updated home in a convenient location.
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Renovated
- Separate dog run
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property zoned RS2; Universal property ID available
- Financial info: No lease restrictions
- HOA & community: No HOA/association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces west
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.23-acre lot (approx. 80 x 125)
- Exterior features: Patio; Dog run; Chain link fencing; Shed(s); Landscaped and paved lot; Public maintained asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Water filtration system; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open living/dining layout; Solid surface counters; Inside utility/additional room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($116/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (17.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Jupiter Elementary School (math 41% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,437 of 2,144 statewide, top 68%, 732 students, 68% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Heritage High School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 2,007 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 43% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 1030 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; list at $250k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.17%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-43,422
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-51,004
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32908
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 1030
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,064 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,466/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $151 | -5% $80 | +0% $10 | +5% $-61 | +10% $-132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-153 | -5% $-72 | +0% $10 | +5% $91 | +10% $173 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $136 | -0.5pp $73 | base $10 | +0.5pp $-55 | +1.0pp $-121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171 Okeefe St SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,855 | $1.44 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 320 Algiers Ave SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,825 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 726 Scotten Ave SW Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,970 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 154 Daffodil Dr SW Palm Bay, FL | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1384 | $1,649 | $1.19 | 16d | 6 | 0.70mi |
| 487 Wiltshire Ave SW Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 154 Anderson Ave NE Unit 154 Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 511 Trumpet St SW Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $2,200 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 857 Buchanan Ave SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1257 | $1,950 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 914 Caligula Ave SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,841 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 461 Ellington Ave SE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,595 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 431 Brantley St SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,050 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 741 Frisco St SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,950 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 931 Commerce Rd SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2127 Jupiter Blvd SW Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,885 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 751 Winchell St SW Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,960 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 743 Andrew St SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $1,895 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1072 Genesee Ave SE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,855 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 741 Fairhaven St NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,900 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 347 Americana Blvd NE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 124 Evergreen St NE Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1283 | $1,855 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $250,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-22status Pending
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
This cozy 3-bedroom, 2-bath home has been thoughtfully renovated and feels warm and inviting from the moment you walk in. The kitchen and bathrooms have both been updated with a clean, modern look, while still keeping a comfortable, lived-in feel. The big-ticket items have already been taken care of, with the AC replaced in 2018 and the roof in 2019. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced yard with a separate dog run--great for anyone with pets or who just wants a little extra outdoor space. The home sits on a quiet street, but still close to major roads, shopping, restaurants, and schools, so getting around is easy. No HOA here, just a solid, updated home in a convenient location.
-
2026-05-22status Pending 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
This cozy 3-bedroom, 2-bath home has been thoughtfully renovated and feels warm and inviting from the moment you walk in. The kitchen and bathrooms have both been updated with a clean, modern look, while still keeping a comfortable, lived-in feel. The big-ticket items have already been taken care of, with the AC replaced in 2018 and the roof in 2019. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced yard with a separate dog run--great for anyone with pets or who just wants a little extra outdoor space. The home sits on a quiet street, but still close to major roads, shopping, restaurants, and schools, so getting around is easy. No HOA here, just a solid, updated home in a convenient location.
-
2026-03-25$250,000 Active
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
This cozy 3-bedroom, 2-bath home has been thoughtfully renovated and feels warm and inviting from the moment you walk in. The kitchen and bathrooms have both been updated with a clean, modern look, while still keeping a comfortable, lived-in feel. The big-ticket items have already been taken care of, with the AC replaced in 2018 and the roof in 2019. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced yard with a separate dog run--great for anyone with pets or who just wants a little extra outdoor space. The home sits on a quiet street, but still close to major roads, shopping, restaurants, and schools, so getting around is easy. No HOA here, just a solid, updated home in a convenient location.
-
2026-03-25$250,000 Active 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
This cozy 3-bedroom, 2-bath home has been thoughtfully renovated and feels warm and inviting from the moment you walk in. The kitchen and bathrooms have both been updated with a clean, modern look, while still keeping a comfortable, lived-in feel. The big-ticket items have already been taken care of, with the AC replaced in 2018 and the roof in 2019. Outside, you'll find a fully fenced yard with a separate dog run--great for anyone with pets or who just wants a little extra outdoor space. The home sits on a quiet street, but still close to major roads, shopping, restaurants, and schools, so getting around is easy. No HOA here, just a solid, updated home in a convenient location.
-
2025-12-23soldstatus $128,000
-
2014-12-12soldstatus $72,500
-
2014-11-26soldstatus $72,500 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
CUTE STARTER HOME!!! HOME HAS BEEN WELL MAINTAINED AND IS IN MOVE IN CONDITION. HOME FEATURES A STORAGE SHED, HURRICANE SHUTTERS, AND HAS VERY NICE LANDSCAPING. YOU DON'T WANT TO MISS OUT ON THIS ONE!!!
-
2014-07-31$69,500 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
CUTE STARTER HOME!!! HOME HAS BEEN WELL MAINTAINED AND IS IN MOVE IN CONDITION. HOME FEATURES A STORAGE SHED, HURRICANE SHUTTERS, AND HAS VERY NICE LANDSCAPING. YOU DON'T WANT TO MISS OUT ON THIS ONE!!!
-
2013-02-23historical
-
2012-10-05$54,900
-
2012-10-05historical
-
2012-10-05$64,900
-
2000-09-05soldstatus $59,000
-
1999-06-25soldstatus $4,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,466 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,466 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,765
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$2,466
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,981
- − Management
- −$1,981
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$4,190
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,006
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,121/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Bay
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #366
- US rank
- #6458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Bay, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 132,211
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,535
- Household income
- $79,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 112.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 20% Two or more races 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 6% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Estonian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.22%
- Current HPI
- 330.0399
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.29%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+5455.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-22 Pending — SCMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $250,000 SCMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 2014-11-26 Sold (MLS) $72,500 SCMLS
- 2014-07-31 Listed $69,500 SCMLS
- 2013-02-23 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2012-10-05 Listed $64,900 SCMLS
- 2012-10-05 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2012-10-05 Listed $54,900 SCMLS
- 2000-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $4,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,466 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…