417 W Ave V · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Enjoy a picture window, a spacious backyard with alley access, a newly installed sewer line, and original hardwood floors that can easily be refinished to restore their classic beauty. With a responsable offer seller is willing to add mini-split and install new roof.
Key facts
- Alley access
- Spacious backyard
- 6,011 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.73%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $90,584
- List price
- $97,000
- Delta
- 7.08%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2113 S Hill St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+2%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $121 | 79 |
| 124 Ave U | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (+3%) | 7mo | $35,000 | $42 | 78 |
| 2319 Ben Ficklin Rd | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+4%) | 22mo | $89,500 | $107 | 67 |
| 313 W Ave Ave W | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+14%) | 17mo | $85,000 | $93 | 57 |
| 917 Texas Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+12%) | 18mo | $96,000 | $107 | 53 |
| 610 Ave L | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (+8%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $122 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,647
- Equity at exit
- $14,463
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $44,063
- Equity at exit
- $8,387
Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76903
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,165 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$509
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,354/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,250
- Closing costs
- $2,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4225 S Jackson St San Angelo, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1000 | $609 | $0.61 | 20d | 12 | 0.96mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-03 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1007 | $1,425 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-02 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 837 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-04 San Angelo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 694 | $1,000 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-26 San Angelo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $875 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4190 Ben Ficklin Rd Unit 84 San Angelo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $850 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 24 Rhine Loop San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $850 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1818 S Lincoln St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 555 | $1,199 | $2.16 | 20d | 19 | 1.32mi |
| 209 West Avenue C Unit A San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-10status $97,000 Pending 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $97,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $97,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $97,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $97,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $97,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $97,000 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Enjoy a picture window, a spacious backyard with alley access, a newly installed sewer line, and original hardwood floors that can easily be refinished to restore their classic beauty. With a responsable offer seller is willing to add mini-split and install new roof.
-
2026-02-26$90,000 Active 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Enjoy a picture window, a spacious backyard with alley access, a newly installed sewer line, and original hardwood floors that can easily be refinished to restore their classic beauty. With a responsable offer seller is willing to add mini-split and install new roof.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,354 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,354 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,979
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,434
- − Property taxes
- −$2,354
- − Insurance
- −$485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,118
- − Management
- −$1,118
- − Depreciation
- −$2,822
- Taxable income
- $648
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$155
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,944/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,947
- Household income
- $49,498
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1255.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 56% White 36% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 33%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.90%
- Current HPI
- 217.0406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.46%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+7.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $97,000 SAAR TX
- 2026-02-26 Listed $90,000 SAAR TX
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,354 · +104.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…