Duplex
14135 Mansfield St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Duplex available for sale. Each unit has 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The units share a common basement. Wood flooring throughout. Brick exterior.
Key facts
- Wood flooring
- Brick exterior
- Common basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential income property (multi-family); Two-story
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Built above grade with finished living area
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Pets allowed; Residential zoning
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $522/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,414/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 18 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.82%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $102,396
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14144 Montrose St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 2,146 (-4%) | 7mo | $54,000 | $25 | 76 |
| 14633 Forrer St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 2,185 (-2%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $30 | 74 |
| 14209 Asbury Park | 0.19mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,321 (+4%) | 11mo | $177,827 | $77 | 70 |
| 14720 Winthrop St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,143 (-4%) | 3mo | $87,000 | $41 | 67 |
| 14101 Montrose St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,094 (-6%) | 13mo | $76,000 | $36 | 63 |
| 13944 Winthrop St | 0.34mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,268 (+2%) | 15mo | $80,000 | $35 | 63 |
| 14335 Prevost St | 0.19mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,928 (-13%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $65 | 61 |
| 14615 Winthrop St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 2,434 (+9%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $27 | 56 |
| 14313 Coyle St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 2,120 (-5%) | 14mo | $144,000 | $68 | 52 |
| 14697 Winthrop St | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,379 (+7%) | 16mo | $110,000 | $46 | 47 |
| 14868 Forrer St | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 | 2,047 (-8%) | 14mo | $152,000 | $74 | 44 |
| 12737 Saint Marys St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,954 (-12%) | 12mo | $124,500 | $64 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $52,737
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 42.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.56×
- Total profit
- $159,610
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,414 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$507
- Net cashflow
- $1,044
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,130 | -5% $1,087 | +0% $1,044 | +5% $1,001 | +10% $958 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $853 | -5% $949 | +0% $1,044 | +5% $1,139 | +10% $1,235 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,107 | -0.5pp $1,076 | base $1,044 | +0.5pp $1,012 | +1.0pp $979 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,414 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,207 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,207 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,414 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14669 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2359 | $1,950 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 14800 Woodmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,525 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,373 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 12778 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1597 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 16210 Ferguson St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17$124,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16$124,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15$124,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 145-char remark
-
2026-06-13$124,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,874
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,317
- − Management
- −$2,317
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $11,205
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,689
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+1112.6% since first listed45 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-11 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-11 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-25 Rental Removed $1,000 REALSOURCE
- 2024-04-17 Listed for Rent $1,000 REALSOURCE
- 2024-04-17 Rental Removed $1,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-02-26 Listed for Rent $1,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-18 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-18 Sold (MLS) $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-03-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-14 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-14 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2022-01-19 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-19 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2022-01-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-22 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-22 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-08-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-06-27 Price Changed $61,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-26 Price Changed $61,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-06-10 Listed $67,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-06-10 Listed $67,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-03-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-13 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2019-10-28 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-28 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-10-03 Price Changed $55,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-03 Price Changed $55,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-08-02 Listed $65,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-08-02 Listed $65,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2015-11-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-11-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-11-13 Listed $17,700 REALCOMP
- 2015-11-13 Listed $17,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-02-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2012-02-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-08-22 Listed $10,300 REALCOMP
- 2011-08-22 Listed $10,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $6,858 · +38.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…