34052 Doheny Park Rd · Dana Point, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * Affordable Place to Call Home! * * This property is conveniently located close to Doheny Beach and Dana Point Harbor, as well as shopping options like Costco and Smart and Final. The home features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, complete with a cathedral ceiling and drywall walls. The large kitchen offers plenty of counter space, and there's a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer. The master bedroom is spacious, with a large walk-in closet and an ensuite bathroom. You'll also enjoy ample covered parking and a generous outdoor space that is fully fenced, including a large custom shed. This is a fantastic family-friendly park! Call today to schedule your private showing! Go to space #97 on Victoria/sepulveda side of park community.
Key facts
- Covered parking
- Laundry room
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $260k).
- Recommended offer: $229k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 1.4% in Dana Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#398 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Capistrano Unified (suburban): math 50% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #64 of 517 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 35 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($141k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.30%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $404,357
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- -35.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34052 Doheny Park Rd #114 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+9%) | 17mo | $220,000 | $183 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $86,472
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 37.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.35×
- Total profit
- $316,414
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92624
- Rents YoY
- 11.0%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,369 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,898/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$917
- Net cashflow
- $1,655
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,835 | -5% $1,745 | +0% $1,655 | +5% $1,566 | +10% $1,476 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,310 | -5% $1,483 | +0% $1,655 | +5% $1,828 | +10% $2,001 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,786 | -0.5pp $1,721 | base $1,655 | +0.5pp $1,588 | +1.0pp $1,520 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26305 Via California Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,475 | $2.98 | 8d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 26451 Camino De Vis San Juan Capistrano, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $3,805 | $4.51 | 2d | 6 | 0.41mi |
| 34421 Via Espinoza Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,800 | $3.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 34516 Via Verde Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $5,500 | $3.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 34516 Via Verde Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $5,500 | $3.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 876 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $4,400 | $4.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 26142 Via California Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $3,600 | $2.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 33852 Del Obispo St Dana Point, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 726 | $3,450 | $4.75 | 45d | 5 | 0.48mi |
| 33852 Del Obispo St Dana Point, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 781 | $3,495 | $4.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 33852 Del Obispo St Dana Point, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 751 | $3,450 | $4.59 | 44d | 4 | 0.48mi |
| 33852 Del Obispo St Dana Point, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 724 | $3,495 | $4.83 | 22d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 34465 Via Espinoza Unit A Capistrano Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,700 | $2.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 765 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $4,995 | $3.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 34576 Via Verde Unit A Dana Point, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,880 | $3.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 34411 Via San Juan Unit B Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $4,000 | $3.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 34262 Via Velez Unit B Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $4,500 | $5.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 34288 Camino El Molino Unit B Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $3,700 | $2.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 34288 Camino El Molino Capistrano Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $4,200 | $3.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 34596 Calle Rosita Unit B Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,450 | $3.45 | 19d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 25091 La Cresta Dr Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,295 | $3.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 33852 Copper Lantern St Unit E Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,400 | $3.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 33901 Copper Lantern St Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $4,700 | $4.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 33871 Copper Lantern St Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $5,500 | $5.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 33871 Copper Lantern St Unit B Dana Point, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $4,000 | $4.43 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 33936 Alcazar Dr Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,450 | $3.14 | 8d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 34051 Alcazar Dr Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $8,500 | $7.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 33922 Malaga Dr Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $5,450 | $6.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 33965 Malaga Dr Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $5,000 | $5.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 33032 Driftwood Ct San Juan Capistrano, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $5,199 | $3.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 34458 Camino El Molino Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,900 | $4.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 34538 Calle Naranja Capistrano Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $5,795 | $3.86 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 33816 Silver Lantern St Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $3,500 | $2.59 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 33742 Silver Lantern St Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,795 | $2.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 32951 Avenida del Rosal San Juan Capistrano, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $5,200 | $4.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 26920 Calle Dolores Unit B Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $5,675 | $3.78 | 8d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 726 Calle Camisa San Clemente, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $6,000 | $4.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 24643 Santa Clara Ave Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $5,000 | $3.98 | 4d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 33431 Nottingham Way Unit A Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,750 | $3.39 | 8d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 33802 Street of the Violet Lantern Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $4,500 | $5.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 34002 El Encanto Ave Unit A Dana Point, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $259,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2025-11-22$259,900 Active 751-char remark
Show marketing remark (751 chars)
* * Affordable Place to Call Home! * * This property is conveniently located close to Doheny Beach and Dana Point Harbor, as well as shopping options like Costco and Smart and Final. The home features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, complete with a cathedral ceiling and drywall walls. The large kitchen offers plenty of counter space, and there's a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer. The master bedroom is spacious, with a large walk-in closet and an ensuite bathroom. You'll also enjoy ample covered parking and a generous outdoor space that is fully fenced, including a large custom shed. This is a fantastic family-friendly park! Call today to schedule your private showing! Go to space #97 on Victoria/sepulveda side of park community.
-
2021-11-26historical
-
2021-04-08$69,900 Active
-
2013-03-14historical
-
2013-01-23$12,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,428
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$3,898
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,194
- − Management
- −$4,194
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable income
- $16,722
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It has a good curb appeal and is located in a convenient location. There are some minor repairs and maintenance items that could be done to improve its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Deck — The deck appears to have some minor wear and tear.
- Minor Outdoor furniture — The outdoor furniture appears to be in good condition with no visible damage.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and make it look more attractive to potential buyers.
- Rental Replace the outdoor furniture — Replacing the outdoor furniture can make the space more inviting and comfortable for tenants, potentially increasing rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Deck · The deck appears to have some minor wear and tear. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Outdoor furniture · The outdoor furniture appears to be in good condition with no visible damage. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and make it look more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Replace the outdoor furniture — Replacing the outdoor furniture can make the space more inviting and comfortable for tenants, potentially increasing rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Capistrano Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0607440
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $99,673
- Composite
- 56.56/100
- National rank
- #1147
- State rank
- #64 of 517 in CA
Livability — Dana Point
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #398
- US rank
- #13526
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dana Point, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 32,790
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,211
- Household income
- $140,666
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 206.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -588.47%
- Current HPI
- 438.4939
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.03%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+1914.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-22 Listed $259,900 CRMLS
- 2021-11-26 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2021-04-08 Listed $69,900 CRMLS
- 2013-03-14 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2013-01-23 Listed $12,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2023): $33 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…