419 Grandview St · West Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity! This block home has 2br/1ba and is situated on a .22 acre lot.
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Quiet street
- New hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with open parking for 3 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Circuit breaker electric with copper wiring; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story, detached property; Resale home; Slab foundation; Block construction
- Construction: Block construction; Slab foundation; Shingle roof; One level
- Exterior features: Partial backyard fencing; Back yard access; Shingle roof; Paved road frontage; County-maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Updated kitchen (painted cabinets, new sink) — updated 6 to 10 years ago; White appliances: refrigerator, microwave, dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11.9' x 10.9')
- Flooring: Tile; Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom, recently updated (lighting, vanity, toilet, shower hardware) — updated 6 to 10 years ago
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Double-pane windows; Blinds
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (9.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $135k (9.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $150k implies a 1203% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.77%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,564
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3305 W La Rua St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 921 (+7%) | 9mo | $55,000 | $60 | 75 |
| 15 Gloucester Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (+5%) | 15mo | $148,500 | $165 | 58 |
| 3715 W Brainerd St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-7%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $163 | 52 |
| 1220 N Kirk St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 868 (+1%) | 22mo | $165,000 | $190 | 50 |
| 118 Alice St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 828 (-4%) | 14mo | $40,000 | $48 | 49 |
| 4011 W Jackson St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 754 (-12%) | 4mo | $72,500 | $96 | 48 |
| 1201 Grandview St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (+5%) | 16mo | $159,000 | $177 | 47 |
| 14 Alice St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+12%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $120 | 43 |
| 1207 Grandview St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 784 (-9%) | 16mo | $104,500 | $133 | 40 |
| 5 Gail Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 981 (+14%) | 20mo | $110,000 | $112 | 34 |
| 2916 W Lloyd St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 955 (+11%) | 16mo | $151,000 | $158 | 31 |
| 2701 W Brainerd St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-10%) | 22mo | $150,000 | $195 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-13,279
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $10,435
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32505
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,352 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,053/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $217 | -5% $174 | +0% $132 | +5% $89 | +10% $47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $25 | -5% $78 | +0% $132 | +5% $185 | +10% $239 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $207 | -0.5pp $170 | base $132 | +0.5pp $93 | +1.0pp $53 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1218 N Kirk St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3202 W Lee St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $995 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 406 N S St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,295 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3206 W Lee St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2303 W Brainerd St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1918 W Strong St Unit B Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $950 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2101 W Romana St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,250 | $2.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2101 W Romana St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,250 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1804 W Belmont St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $995 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 190 N Old Corry Field Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,174 | $1.28 | 14d | 3 | 1.12mi |
| 1717 W Cervantes St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $1,169 | $1.20 | 14d | 3 | 1.18mi |
| 4519 Martha Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5 Elegans Ave Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,195 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4600 Twin Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,499 | $1.79 | 14d | 29 | 1.45mi |
| 510 N G St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $850 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$149,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,053 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,244 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$191/yr (+$16/mo · 18.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,053
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$932
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$224
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,805/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Pensacola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #12275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,877
- Household income
- $44,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 205.45
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+581.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $149,900 PARMLS
- 2025-09-09 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2025-08-28 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2025-08-25 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2025-07-31 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2025-07-23 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $150,000 PARMLS
- 2011-05-20 Sold (MLS) $11,500 PARMLS
- 2011-03-09 Listed $6,000 PARMLS
- 2002-09-29 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2002-08-27 Listed $44,500 PARMLS
- 2002-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
- 2002-05-10 Sold (MLS) $23,500 PARMLS
- 2002-04-03 Listed $23,500 PARMLS
- 1999-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $43,800 Public Records
- 1987-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,053 · +20.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…