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403 Bergen St
D Composite 44.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

403 Bergen St · Gloucester City, NJ 08030
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,224 sqft · Townhouse public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1950 1,306 sqft lot Est $223k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Public:Your monthly payments will be less than your rent! Best Deal in all of Gloucester City. Come see this renovated home on lovely Bergen Street. New kitchen with beautiful granite counters, new white cabinets and ceramic tile flooring. The original hardwood floors have been restored throughout the living room and dining area and throughout the upstairs. There's also new ceramic tile in the bathroom. Refrigerator, Washer & Dryer are all included. Brand new heater and central air-conditioning! Freshly painted throughout. Available immediately. NOT a short sale! Come see and make an offer!

Key facts

  • Remodeled bathroom
  • 15 x 9 patio
  • Wood cabinetry

Tags

REMODELED BATHROOMFENCED REAR YARD15 X 9 PATIOLOW MAINTENANCE ASTROTURFREPLACEMENT WINDOWSWOOD CABINETRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Property listed in very good condition

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers; Above-ground utilities
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Middle-of-block location; Fronting on Broadway/Bergen area
  • Construction: Frame construction with aluminum siding and stone accents; Flat roof; Crawl space foundation; Double-hung, double-pane vinyl-clad replacement windows; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Patio; Awnings; Open, level front and rear yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven/range
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units (electric)
  • Interior features: Tub/shower; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Drywall walls and ceilings; Not furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry; Water heater (natural gas)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $88 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (7.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#215 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Gloucester City Public School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #413 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cold Springs School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,172 of 1,303 statewide, top 91%, 842 students, 68% FRL); Gloucester City Middle School (math 8% / reading 36%, grade F, #383 of 431 statewide, top 90%, 779 students, 65% FRL); Gloucester City High School (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #275 of 399 statewide, top 69%, 702 students, 59% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $57k; list at $215k implies a 277% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,639 (7.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.76%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,768
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
407 Bergen St 0.01mi 3/1.0 1,224 (0%) 1mo $221,800 $181 99
404 Hudson St 0.02mi 3/1.0 1,224 (0%) 3mo $212,000 $173 97
319 Bergen St 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+2%) 3mo $245,140 $196 92
508 Essex St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-2%) 2mo $230,000 $192 84
313 Hudson St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,128 (-8%) 4mo $205,000 $182 80
414 Middlesex St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,078 (-12%) 1mo $199,900 $185 76
530 Bergen St 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,126 (-8%) 1mo $225,000 $200 76
108 S Sussex St 0.16mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,302 (+6%) 1mo $235,000 $180 74
500 Essex St 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,288 (+5%) 5mo $212,900 $165 74
601 Hunter St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,164 (-5%) 3mo $235,000 $202 72
323 Morris St 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,326 (+8%) 5mo $220,000 $166 71
3028 Fenwick Rd 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,272 (+4%) 3mo $200,000 $157 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-29,179
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-18,031
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08030

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,996 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$272 /mo · $3,260/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,885
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $210 -5% $149 +0% $88 +5% $28 +10% $-33
Rent -10% $-69 -5% $10 +0% $88 +5% $167 +10% $246
Rate -1.0pp $197 -0.5pp $143 base $88 +0.5pp $33 +1.0pp $-24

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
334 Middlesex St Gloucester City, NJ 3.0 1.0 896 $1,800 $2.01 26d 1 0.08mi
534 Bergen St Gloucester City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1246 $2,000 $1.61 20d 1 0.19mi
231 3rd St Gloucester City, NJ 3.0 2.0 1376 $2,150 $1.56 26d 1 0.33mi
602 Powell St Gloucester City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1170 $1,850 $1.58 26d 1 0.33mi
604 Hunter St Gloucester City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1066 $1,900 $1.78 6d 1 0.38mi
227 S Broadway Gloucester City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1123 $1,775 $1.58 26d 1 0.43mi
917 Koehler St Gloucester City, NJ 3.0 1.0 916 $1,800 $1.97 20d 1 0.75mi
1063 S Merrimac Rd Camden, NJ 4.0 1.0 1024 $1,900 $1.86 26d 1 0.79mi
3136 Tuckahoe Rd Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 26d 1 0.79mi
1021 Monitor Rd Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,710 $1.69 26d 1 0.83mi
2829 Idaho Rd Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1048 $1,700 $1.62 26d 1 1.00mi
3079 Alabama Rd Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 832 $1,700 $2.04 26d 1 1.13mi
5 Meadow Ln Gloucester City, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 833 $2,385 $2.86 26d 8 1.15mi
2892 N Constitution Rd Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1040 $2,000 $1.92 26d 1 1.16mi
3132 Independence Rd Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1168 $1,595 $1.37 24d 1 1.21mi
108 New Broadway Unit 120 Brooklawn, NJ 2.0 1.0 800 $1,800 $2.25 26d 1 1.30mi
3255 Crescent Dr Unit 03-3220 Camden, NJ 2.0 1.0 700 $1,350 $1.93 26d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-21
    listed $215,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,260 · $272/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,307 · $359/mo
Expected delta
+$1,047/yr (+$87/mo · 32.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 40% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,957
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$3,260
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,917
− Management
−$1,917
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$2,510
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$602
After-tax cash flow
$1,663/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gloucester City Public School District
NCES district ID
3406000
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$51,231
Composite
20.01/100
National rank
#8664
State rank
#413 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Gloucester City

Score
72/100
State rank
#215
US rank
#5984

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gloucester City, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
13,217
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
13,217
Household income
$63,384
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
431.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 7% Asian 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.59%
Current HPI
298.9139
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+115.2% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2014-12-05 Delisted TREND
  • 2014-12-05 Sold (MLS) $57,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-12-05 Sold (MLS) $57,000 TREND
  • 2014-12-02 Pending TREND
  • 2014-11-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-10-27 Listed $70,000 TREND
  • 2014-10-27 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-09-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-06-22 Listed $72,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2011-09-15 Sold (MLS) $48,000 TREND
  • 2011-09-15 Sold (MLS) $48,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-07-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-05-06 Listed $50,000 TREND
  • 2011-05-06 Listed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-03-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-06-26 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,260 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…