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1215 Ash St
B- Composite 67.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

1215 Ash St · Clovis, NM 88101
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Other · 5 Days on market
Built 1937 6,969 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look at this adorable home. This quaint 2 bedroom, 1 bath home is ready for its next owner. This home offers a primary bedroom with double closet space, a spacious secondary bedroom, a nice sized kitchen, washer/dryer hook-ups, and a large backyard with a concrete pad ready made for a storage shed to sit on. This home would be a great home for you or make it a rental property for additional monthly income. The possibilities are endless. Call today for a tour of this home.

Key facts

  • Updated flooring
  • Large parking area
  • 6,969 sq ft lot

Tags

UPDATED FLOORINGFULLY FENCED BACKYARDLARGE PARKING AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected / available; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on a 0.16-acre (approximately 6,970 sq ft) lot
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard with wire fencing; Irregular-shaped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Ceiling fan(s) and window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($939 rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
11.15%
Cash-on-cash
17.34%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$9,598
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$43,736
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88101

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
464
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$939 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$14 /mo · $165/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$197
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $555
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2101 Fred Daugherty Ave Unit 2B Clovis, NM 1.0 1.0 600 $695 $1.16 44d 1 0.67mi
2412 E 14th St Unit 2412-2 Clovis, NM 1.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 44d 1 0.92mi
2100 Mitchell St Unit 14 Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 743 $750 $1.01 44d 1 1.30mi
2100 Mitchell St Unit 8 Clovis, NM 1.0 1.0 689 $700 $1.02 44d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $75,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    remarks 681-char remark
  6. 2026-06-12
    listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$165 · $14/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$600 · $50/mo
Expected delta
+$435/yr (+$36/mo · 263.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,267
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$165
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$901
− Management
−$901
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$2,541
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$610
After-tax cash flow
$3,031/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3500570
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$40,532
Composite
33.52/100
National rank
#5435
State rank
#13 of 29 in NM

Livability — Clovis

Score
56/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#22374

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, NM
County
Curry County · 44,846 people
City population
44,846
Metro
Clovis, NM
Population (ZIP)
44,846
Household income
$56,587
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1724.0

Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,742 people
By 2030
47,759 · -2.0%
By 2040
45,444 · -6.8%
By 2050
42,403 · -13.0%
By 2075
33,878 · -30.5%
By 2100
22,414 · -54.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Curry

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.79%
Current HPI
121.1877
Rent YoY
▲ 5.54%
Metro
Clovis, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+50.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $75,000 NMMLS
  • 2022-06-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-05-23 Sold (MLS) NMMLS
  • 2022-05-17 Listed $50,000 NMMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $165 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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