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3860 Midland Dr Unit C10
C- Composite 51.67
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

3860 Midland Dr Unit C10 · Roy, UT 84067
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 318 Days on market
Built 1999 4,356 sqft lot $890/mo HOA · 54% of rent ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * Updated Price! * * This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Roy is move-in ready and filled with updates you'll love - new carpet, appliances included, and an open layout. Enjoy community amenities like a pool, playground, and RV parking for all your summer toys. Plus, its convenient location near highways, schools, and the FrontRunner Station makes daily life that much easier. Schedule your private tour today! Please note: Photos have been virtually staged to show potential.

Key facts

  • Rv parking
  • New carpet
  • Park amenities

Tags

NEW CARPETSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESPARK AMENITIESPOOLPLAYGROUNDRV PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential current use
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Association fee covers sewer, trash and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, management, snow removal and storage

Exterior

  • Utilities: Sewer service included in association; Water service included in association; Trash service included in association
  • Home design: Mobile home; Built and currently standing; Zoned for multi-family
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: 0.1-acre lot; Clubhouse within the community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Blinds on windows; Carpet flooring; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($421/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#32 in UT, #1,449 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F.
  • Weber District (suburban): math 36% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #56 of 80 in UT (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Midland School (math 37% / reading 28%, grade F, #416 of 585 statewide, top 71%, 568 students, 29% FRL); Sand Ridge Jr High (math 26% / reading 26%, grade F, #119 of 138 statewide, top 87%, 857 students, 40% FRL); Roy High (math 15% / reading 39%, grade F, #131 of 171 statewide, top 79%, 1,834 students, 28% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 54% of rent.
Recommended offer $48,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.00%
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.73%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.5%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-10,948
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-0.50×
Total profit
$-23,045
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Utah
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 84067

Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,652 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$890
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,608
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2405 Hinckley Dr Unit L203 West Haven, UT 2.0 2.0 988 $1,416 $1.43 23d 1 0.18mi
3560 Midland Dr West Haven, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 932 $1,599 $1.71 14d 22 0.43mi
3405 S 2400 W West Haven, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 978 $1,800 $1.84 23d 5 0.55mi
3330 S Midland Dr West Haven, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1000 $1,750 $1.75 14d 3 0.77mi
2112 W 3300 S West Haven, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,772 $1.82 14d 15 0.87mi
4449 S 1900 W Roy, UT 2.0 1.0 620 $999 $1.61 14d 3 0.97mi
4449 S 1900 W Unit 4 Roy, UT 2.0 1.0 900 $999 $1.11 23d 1 0.97mi
4499 S 1930 W Roy, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1106 $2,162 $1.95 14d 11 1.02mi
3330 W 4000 S West Haven, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1048 $2,072 $1.98 14d 22 1.18mi
2002 W 4700 S Apt 2 Roy, UT 2.0 1.0 837 $1,185 $1.42 23d 1 1.19mi
90 West Roy, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1075 $1,635 $1.52 14d 11 1.34mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$890 · $10,680/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 318 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 317 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 316 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 315 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,000 Active 313 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $55,000 Active 310 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 309 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 308 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 307 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $55,000 Active 304 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 303 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 302 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 301 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 300 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 299 DOM
  16. 2026-04-11
    price $59,000
  17. 2026-03-01
    price $64,000
  18. 2025-12-30
    price $65,000
  19. 2025-12-26
    status Active
  20. 2025-12-23
    status Under Contract
  21. 2025-11-09
    price $70,000
  22. 2025-09-13
    price $75,000
  23. 2025-08-16
    price $80,000
  24. 2025-08-01
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,825
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,586
− Management
−$1,586
− HOA
−$10,680
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$192
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$46
After-tax cash flow
$375/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weber District
NCES district ID
4901200
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$65,750
Composite
32.28/100
National rank
#5757
State rank
#56 of 80 in UT

Livability — Roy

Score
81/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#1449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living B+ Crime A- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roy, UT
County
Weber County · 260,557 people
City population
38,794
Metro
Ogden-Clearfield, UT
Population (ZIP)
38,794
Household income
$91,115
Rent vs Own
16.0% rent · 84.0% own
Severe rent burden
216.0

Population outlook (Weber County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
274,329 people
By 2030
288,577 · +5.2%
By 2040
314,848 · +14.8%
By 2050
338,710 · +23.5%
By 2075
384,412 · +40.1%
By 2100
409,305 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 4% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Weber

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 36.8% · R 60.3% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+4.1pp toward D · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+27.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -284.84%
Current HPI
323.642
Rent YoY
▼ -0.45%
Metro
Ogden-Clearfield, UT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.54%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $59,000 WFRMLS
  • 2026-03-01 Price Changed $64,000 WFRMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Price Changed $65,000 WFRMLS
  • 2025-12-26 Relisted WFRMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Pending WFRMLS
  • 2025-11-09 Price Changed $70,000 WFRMLS
  • 2025-09-13 Price Changed $75,000 WFRMLS
  • 2025-08-16 Price Changed $80,000 WFRMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $85,000 WFRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…