317 Myrtle St · Endwell, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- 1% rule +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ready to be home? Take a look at 317 and 313 Myrtle Street in Vestal, NY. Combined parcels area 1/3 of an acre. Ranch style home with 3 bedrooms & 1 bath. Fully applianced with a detached two bay garage with a one bedroom apartment on the second level plus a fenced lawn and oversized carport with access from Maple St. 4 Bedrooms & two baths when you consider BOTH living spaces. Prelisting inspection available to review. Enter into the front porch and relax in the hammocks. Hardwood floors. Spacious living room open to the dining area and kitchen with pantry. Three bedrooms and one full bath with shower. Basement and back room with storage and the laundry. Go out back to the cov
Key facts
- Oversized carport
- Front porch
- Fenced lawn
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached oversized garage; 2 garage spaces; Carport; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Residential property
- Construction: Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed porch; Patio; Fenced yard; Shed(s); Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Free-standing range; Oven; Portable dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: See property for bedroom count and room-level details
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Range; Dryer; Free-Standing Range; Gas Water Heater; Oven; Portable Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Washer; Partial basement; Total of 9 rooms; Hardwood flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-268 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (21.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (36.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $139k (36.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 4.0% in Endwell — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#303 in NY, #4,992 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Vestal Central School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #168 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Vestal Hills Elementary School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #314 of 2,108 statewide, top 17%, 380 students, 31% FRL); Vestal Middle School (math 45% / reading 64%, grade B-, #214 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 781 students, 31% FRL); Vestal Senior High School (math 100%, 1,000 students, 26% FRL).
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $220k implies a 529% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.63% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.23%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 13.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,760
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 Vestal Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,162 (+8%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $133 | 79 |
| 1700 King St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,146 (+6%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $79 | 72 |
| 316 Maple St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,116 (+3%) | 21mo | $170,000 | $152 | 72 |
| 1101 Vestal Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,063 (-2%) | 3mo | $164,948 | $155 | 67 |
| 309 Maple St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,216 (+13%) | 13mo | $149,000 | $123 | 61 |
| 2712 William St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-7%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $169 | 55 |
| 3102 Buckingham Rd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 970 (-10%) | 2mo | $162,000 | $167 | 48 |
| 1613 Vestal Rd | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 920 (-15%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $147 | 44 |
| 932 Vestal Rd | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,117 (+3%) | 22mo | $96,000 | $86 | 39 |
| 3113 Malverne Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+12%) | 17mo | $198,000 | $163 | 38 |
| 3119 Andover Rd | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+7%) | 18mo | $125,000 | $109 | 37 |
| 1216 Vestal Rd | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 930 (-14%) | 17mo | $60,000 | $65 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-52,819
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-68,306
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13850
- Home prices YoY
- -33.5%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,390 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $-268
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-144 | -5% $-206 | +0% $-268 | +5% $-331 | +10% $-393 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-378 | -5% $-323 | +0% $-268 | +5% $-214 | +10% $-159 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-158 | -0.5pp $-212 | base $-268 | +0.5pp $-325 | +1.0pp $-383 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1807 Riverview Dr #1 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1266 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2602 North St Unit 3W Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2007 Tracy St Unit 1st Floor Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $1,250 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1901 Tracy St Fl Ea Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5 Colorado Ave Unit 1 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5 Colorado Ave Unit 2 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 305 Adams Ave Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,450 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 212 Rano Blvd Unit 3 Vestal, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 300 Rano Blvd Unit 3 Vestal, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3105 Burris Rd Unit 4 Vestal, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3127 Burris Rd Vestal, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,600 | $2.08 | 15d | 12 | 1.15mi |
| 107 N Jackson Ave Apt 2 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 53 Washington Ave Unit 2 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,300 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 106 Madison Ave Unit 1 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 112 N Roosevelt Ave Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $220,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $220,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $220,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $220,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 691-char remark
-
2026-06-07$220,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,450 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,584 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,134/yr (+$94/mo · 78.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,675
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$1,450
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,334
- − Management
- −$1,334
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$7,266
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,744
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,477/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vestal Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629610
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,143
- Composite
- 56.97/100
- National rank
- #1111
- State rank
- #168 of 590 in NY
Livability — Endwell
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #303
- US rank
- #4992
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,675
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Asian 12% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Chinese 6% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.14%
- Current HPI
- 282.4645
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $220,000 GBAOR
- 2012-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,450 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…