Duplex
502 S Bois D'arc Ave · Tyler, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Charming duplex on a brick street! Upstairs and downstairs units each have four bedrooms and 2 baths. Close proximity to downtown and medical district.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1930
- Listed 261 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $535/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $286k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.6% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
- Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,400/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 803% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.11%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,441
- List price
- $325,000
- Delta
- 31.34%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $12,441
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $86,281
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75702
- Home prices YoY
- -5.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,400 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$566 /mo · $6,795/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$924
- Net cashflow
- $1,070
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,254 | -5% $1,162 | +0% $1,070 | +5% $978 | +10% $886 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $722 | -5% $896 | +0% $1,070 | +5% $1,244 | +10% $1,418 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,234 | -0.5pp $1,153 | base $1,070 | +0.5pp $986 | +1.0pp $900 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 2 | $4,400 |
| #1 | 4 | 2 | $2,200 |
| #2 | 4 | 2 | $2,200 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,400 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $325,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $325,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $325,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $325,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $325,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $325,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-02-08price $325,000 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Charming duplex on a brick street! Upstairs and downstairs units each have four bedrooms and 2 baths. Close proximity to downtown and medical district.
-
2025-12-10price $349,000 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Charming duplex on a brick street! Upstairs and downstairs units each have four bedrooms and 2 baths. Close proximity to downtown and medical district.
-
2025-09-30$364,900 Active 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Charming duplex on a brick street! Upstairs and downstairs units each have four bedrooms and 2 baths. Close proximity to downtown and medical district.
-
2024-07-22historical $1,500
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2024-07-18$1,500
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2024-07-16historical $1,695
-
2024-06-14historical $1,695
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2024-06-07$1,695
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2024-05-16historical $1,695
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2024-05-16price $1,695
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2024-04-11price $1,795
-
2024-04-10$1,895
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2024-04-10historical $1,895
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2024-03-13$1,895
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2024-03-13$1,895
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2022-06-21soldstatus
-
2013-09-18soldstatus
-
1992-09-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,795 · $566/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,795 · $566/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$6,795
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,224
- − Management
- −$4,224
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $8,272
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,985
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,855/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tyler ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843470
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,090
- Composite
- 32.69/100
- National rank
- #5650
- State rank
- #449 of 826 in TX
Livability — Tyler
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #147
- US rank
- #4181
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tyler, TX
- County
- Smith County · 180,570 people
- City population
- 127,842
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,927
- Household income
- $51,564
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 803.0
Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,890 people
- By 2030
- 261,665 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 286,114 · +15.0%
- By 2050
- 308,006 · +23.8%
- By 2075
- 354,171 · +42.3%
- By 2100
- 372,828 · +49.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 37% White 12% Two or more races 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 47%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 44%
Political lean MEDSL · Smith
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.63%
- Current HPI
- 207.1573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.27%
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+17050.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-08 Price Changed $325,000 GTAR
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $349,000 GTAR
- 2025-09-30 Listed $364,900 GTAR
- 2024-07-22 Rental Removed $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-07-18 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2024-07-16 Rental Removed $1,695 GTAR
- 2024-06-14 Rental Removed $1,695 GTAR
- 2024-06-07 Listed for Rent $1,695 GTAR
- 2024-05-16 Rental Removed $1,695 APPFOLIO
- 2024-05-16 Price Changed $1,695 GTAR
- 2024-04-11 Price Changed $1,795 GTAR
- 2024-04-10 Listed for Rent $1,895 APPFOLIO
- 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,895 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,895 GTAR
- 2024-03-13 Listed for Rent $1,895 APPFOLIO
- 2022-06-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-09-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-09-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2024): $6,795 · +17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…