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2838 Bookert Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

2838 Bookert Dr · Baltimore, MD 21225
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 756 sqft · Townhouse public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1945 5,662 sqft lot $60/sqft · 45% below area Est $82k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 5/26/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 5/28/2026 @ 12:40 PM. The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $10,000. 2-story townhouse located in the Cherry Hill neighborhood of Baltimore. JUST MINUTES from MedStar Harbor Hospital and Middle Branch Park. Easy access to major traffic artery Baltimore-Washington Parkway. Property is tenant occupied.

Key facts

  • 2 story townhouse
  • Built 1945
  • Listed 90 days

Tags

2 STORY TOWNHOUSECHERRY HILL NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $45,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$82,460) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $898 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.2% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $42,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.57%
Cap rate
30.24%
Cash-on-cash
85.52%
DSCR
4.81
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$82,460
List price
$45,000
Delta
-45.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2820 Bookert Dr 0.03mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 6mo $85,000 $112 94
2737 Bookert Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 4mo $90,000 $119 93
2715 Bookert Dr 0.12mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 3mo $125,000 $165 92
2856 Bookert Dr 0.03mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 12mo $105,000 $139 89
2805 Bookert Dr 0.05mi 2/2.0 756 (0%) 12mo $164,900 $218 84
3040 Ascension St 0.47mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 1mo $75,000 $99 78
3051 Ascension St 0.51mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 6mo $100,000 $132 71
2712 Woodview Rd 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 774 (+2%) 17mo $150,000 $194 70
443 Roundview Rd 0.45mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 14mo $90,000 $119 67
462 Roundview Rd 0.41mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 17mo $71,000 $94 66
504 Bridgeview Rd 0.42mi 2/1.0 756 (0%) 18mo $100,000 $132 66
403 Seagull Ave 0.54mi 2/1.5 756 (0%) 14mo $170,000 $225 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
87.3%
Equity multiple
5.11×
Total profit
$51,728
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
90.6%
Equity multiple
11.03×
Total profit
$126,348
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21225

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,608 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,412/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$898

Break-even live

Break-even rent $471
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2745 Round Rd Brooklyn, MD 2.0 2.0 756 $1,800 $2.38 43d 1 0.06mi
2454 Terra Firma Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,650 $1.61 15d 1 0.33mi
511 Seagull Ave Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 756 $1,550 $2.05 24d 1 0.50mi
2868 Potee St Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 720 $1,392 $1.93 2d 22 0.64mi
3010 Alabama Ave Halethorpe, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 18d 1 0.65mi
217 W Edgevale Rd Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 992 $1,800 $1.81 24d 1 0.98mi
2200 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 890 $1,569 $1.76 43d 1 1.09mi
205 Arundel Rd W Brooklyn, MD 1.0 1.0 608 $1,200 $1.97 43d 1 1.12mi
2500 Insulator Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 988 $3,816 $3.86 2d 152 1.27mi
3513 Horton Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,600 $1.57 18d 1 1.29mi
2600 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 856 $1,309 $1.53 2d 24 1.41mi
3004 Elizabeth Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,395 $1.36 4d 1 1.42mi
4207 3rd St Unit 3 Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 850 $1,595 $1.88 5d 1 1.43mi
902 Catawba Ct Halethorpe, MD 3.0 1.0 906 $1,495 $1.65 22d 1 1.43mi
3017 Janice Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,995 $1.95 24d 1 1.45mi
520 Baltic Ave Unit B Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 43d 1 1.46mi
3528 6th St Brooklyn, MD 2.0 2.5 1060 $1,500 $1.42 18d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 80 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 72 DOM
  14. 2026-03-20
    listed $45,000 Active 463-char remark
    Show marketing remark (463 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 5/26/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 5/28/2026 @ 12:40 PM. The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $10,000. 2-story townhouse located in the Cherry Hill neighborhood of Baltimore. JUST MINUTES from MedStar Harbor Hospital and Middle Branch Park. Easy access to major traffic artery Baltimore-Washington Parkway. Property is tenant occupied.

  15. 2025-07-22
    historical
  16. 2025-06-24
    listed $105,000 Active
  17. 2025-06-17
    historical
  18. 2022-11-28
    soldstatus $214,500
  19. 2022-10-14
    soldstatus $71,500 Closed
  20. 2022-08-04
    status Pending
  21. 2022-07-26
    listed $30,000 Active
  22. 2007-03-27
    soldstatus $75,000
  23. 2006-04-05
    historical
  24. 2006-03-28
    listed
  25. 2002-04-17
    soldstatus $5,000
  26. 2001-12-28
    historical
  27. 2001-11-07
    listed $7,500
  28. 1997-10-13
    historical
  29. 1997-04-15
    listed
  30. 1997-04-13
    historical
  31. 1996-10-14
    listed
  32. 1995-01-17
    soldstatus $42,000
  33. 1992-01-29
    soldstatus $7,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,412 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,412 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,296
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$1,412
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,544
− Management
−$1,544
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$10,742
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,578
After-tax cash flow
$8,197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
34,062
Household income
$54,020
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
1440.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.44%
Current HPI
254.5089
Rent YoY
▲ 4.08%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+542.9% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-17 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $214,500 Public Records
  • 2022-10-14 Sold (MLS) $71,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-08-04 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-26 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-05 Delisted MRIS
  • 2006-03-28 Listed MRIS
  • 2002-04-17 Sold (MLS) $5,000 MRIS
  • 2001-12-28 Delisted MRIS
  • 2001-11-07 Listed $7,500 MRIS
  • 1997-10-13 Delisted MRIS
  • 1997-04-15 Listed MRIS
  • 1997-04-13 Delisted MRIS
  • 1996-10-14 Listed MRIS
  • 1995-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 1992-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,412 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…