311 Sequoia Dr · Ellijay, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOTIVATED SELLER – QUICK SALE & MOVE IN. Are you looking for a vacation or retirement home in the mountains? This beautiful cabin nestled in highly sought-after gated Coosawattee River Resort is perfect gem in the north Georgia mountains where owners/guests have access to a wide range of amenities and facilities; including indoor and outdoor swimming pools, a fitness center, tennis and basketball courts, and much more. A perfect retreat with family and friends looking to escape from everyday’ s hustle bustle OR make it income generating Airbnb. Inviting great room with striking cathedral ceilings and warm wood-burning stove is ideal for cold evenings. Kitchen is open with breakfast bar for entertaining and upstairs loft can be used for extra beds for guests or kids play area. Possibilities are countless. The best part of the cabin is large extended screened front porch, perfect for outdoor entertaining or simply relax to breath-in fresh mountain air and take-in the peaceful natural surroundings. Owner has made several upgrades and updates to the property; entire house inside and out repainted, new wood floors in entire house, converted game room to a bedroom on main, extended parking with pavers, installed outdoor Firepit and created a walkway from deck to firepit with pavers. As a bonus, it comes fully furnished! Beds, side table, outdoor patio furniture, pool table, chairs, TVs, outdoor swing, etc. is all included. Seller is motivated to make a deal! Special Note: Downstairs/Basement ceiling is low so be careful while entering.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Outdoor firepit
- Fully furnished
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-219 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (11.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (30.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $230k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 1.8% in Ellijay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#85 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Gilmer County (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #56 of 174 in GA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 971 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 176 units permitted in Gilmer County in 2024 (74 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gilmer County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($299k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.85%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $441,836
- List price
- $329,000
- Delta
- -25.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Rivoli Cir | 0.28mi | 3/3.0 | 2,016 (+2%) | 14mo | $452,000 | $224 | 67 |
| 219 Water Oak Dr #139 | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,937 (-2%) | 14mo | $430,000 | $222 | 67 |
| 219 Water Oak Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,937 (-2%) | 14mo | $430,000 | $222 | 67 |
| 492 Water Oak Dr | 0.20mi | 3/3.0 | 2,240 (+14%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $167 | 61 |
| 199 Sequoia Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,702 (-14%) | 14mo | $285,000 | $167 | 59 |
| 94 Ridgecrest Cir | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 | 1,872 (-5%) | 6mo | $400,000 | $214 | 56 |
| 68 Julie Ct | 0.53mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,887 (-4%) | 8mo | $410,000 | $217 | 53 |
| 68 Julie Ct #5185 | 0.53mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,887 (-4%) | 8mo | $410,000 | $217 | 53 |
| 208 Summit St | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 | 2,184 (+11%) | 8mo | $384,000 | $176 | 44 |
| 623 Summit Ln | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 | 2,250 (+14%) | 18mo | $365,000 | $162 | 36 |
| 179 Matrix Ln | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,742 (-12%) | 21mo | $339,000 | $195 | 32 |
| 351 Matrix Cir | 0.60mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,728 (-12%) | 22mo | $360,000 | $208 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-67,349
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-77,031
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30540
- Home prices YoY
- -11.0%
- Active inventory
- 971
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,079/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $-219
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 Ridgecrest Ct Ellijay, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,300 | $1.47 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $329,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $329,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $329,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $329,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $329,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $329,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $329,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $329,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-02-23$329,000 Active 1571-char remark
Show marketing remark (1571 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER – QUICK SALE & MOVE IN. Are you looking for a vacation or retirement home in the mountains? This beautiful cabin nestled in highly sought-after gated Coosawattee River Resort is perfect gem in the north Georgia mountains where owners/guests have access to a wide range of amenities and facilities; including indoor and outdoor swimming pools, a fitness center, tennis and basketball courts, and much more. A perfect retreat with family and friends looking to escape from everyday’ s hustle bustle OR make it income generating Airbnb. Inviting great room with striking cathedral ceilings and warm wood-burning stove is ideal for cold evenings. Kitchen is open with breakfast bar for entertaining and upstairs loft can be used for extra beds for guests or kids play area. Possibilities are countless. The best part of the cabin is large extended screened front porch, perfect for outdoor entertaining or simply relax to breath-in fresh mountain air and take-in the peaceful natural surroundings. Owner has made several upgrades and updates to the property; entire house inside and out repainted, new wood floors in entire house, converted game room to a bedroom on main, extended parking with pavers, installed outdoor Firepit and created a walkway from deck to firepit with pavers. As a bonus, it comes fully furnished! Beds, side table, outdoor patio furniture, pool table, chairs, TVs, outdoor swing, etc. is all included. Seller is motivated to make a deal! Special Note: Downstairs/Basement ceiling is low so be careful while entering.
-
2026-02-23historical $329,000 1571-char remark
Show marketing remark (1571 chars)
MOTIVATED SELLER – QUICK SALE & MOVE IN. Are you looking for a vacation or retirement home in the mountains? This beautiful cabin nestled in highly sought-after gated Coosawattee River Resort is perfect gem in the north Georgia mountains where owners/guests have access to a wide range of amenities and facilities; including indoor and outdoor swimming pools, a fitness center, tennis and basketball courts, and much more. A perfect retreat with family and friends looking to escape from everyday’ s hustle bustle OR make it income generating Airbnb. Inviting great room with striking cathedral ceilings and warm wood-burning stove is ideal for cold evenings. Kitchen is open with breakfast bar for entertaining and upstairs loft can be used for extra beds for guests or kids play area. Possibilities are countless. The best part of the cabin is large extended screened front porch, perfect for outdoor entertaining or simply relax to breath-in fresh mountain air and take-in the peaceful natural surroundings. Owner has made several upgrades and updates to the property; entire house inside and out repainted, new wood floors in entire house, converted game room to a bedroom on main, extended parking with pavers, installed outdoor Firepit and created a walkway from deck to firepit with pavers. As a bonus, it comes fully furnished! Beds, side table, outdoor patio furniture, pool table, chairs, TVs, outdoor swing, etc. is all included. Seller is motivated to make a deal! Special Note: Downstairs/Basement ceiling is low so be careful while entering.
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2025-03-31historical
-
2024-12-09$389,000 Active
-
2024-04-14historical
-
2024-04-14historical
-
2024-01-15price $395,000
-
2024-01-15$395,000 New
-
2024-01-15$385,000 Active
-
2023-07-06soldstatus $294,900
-
2023-06-30soldstatus $294,900 Sold
-
2023-06-30soldstatus $294,900 Sold
-
2023-06-04status Under Contract
-
2023-06-04status Pending
-
2023-06-02price $294,900
-
2023-06-01price $294,900
-
2023-04-25price $319,900
-
2023-04-25price $319,900
-
2023-04-06$324,900 Active
-
2023-04-05$324,900 New
-
2016-08-12soldstatus $108,000
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2016-08-05soldstatus $108,000
-
2015-07-15$110,000
-
2013-05-10soldstatus $86,000
-
2013-05-08soldstatus $86,000
-
2013-03-11$98,900
-
2005-04-26soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,079 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,027 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- +$948/yr (+$79/mo · 45.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$2,079
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,208
- − Management
- −$2,208
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$8,540
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,050
- After-tax cash flow
- $-574/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gilmer County
- NCES district ID
- 1302340
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,473
- Composite
- 31.53/100
- National rank
- #5961
- State rank
- #56 of 174 in GA
Livability — Ellijay
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #7087
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,145
Population outlook (Gilmer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,466 people
- By 2030
- 32,199 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 33,034 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 33,266 · +5.7%
- By 2075
- 33,686 · +7.1%
- By 2100
- 33,792 · +7.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gilmer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.6) · D 18.5% · R 81.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.0pp · 2024: -62.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.6 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+63.3 2008: R+52.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.49%
- Current HPI
- 270.796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+229.0% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Listed $329,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-23 Coming Soon $329,000 FMLS
- 2025-03-31 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-12-09 Listed $389,000 FMLS
- 2024-04-14 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-04-14 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-01-15 Price Changed $395,000 FMLS
- 2024-01-15 Listed $385,000 FMLS
- 2024-01-15 Listed $395,000 GAMLS
- 2023-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $294,900 Public Records
- 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) $294,900 NEGBOR
- 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) $294,900 GAMLS
- 2023-06-04 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-06-04 Pending — NEGBOR
- 2023-06-02 Price Changed $294,900 NEGBOR
- 2023-06-01 Price Changed $294,900 GAMLS
- 2023-04-25 Price Changed $319,900 NEGBOR
- 2023-04-25 Price Changed $319,900 GAMLS
- 2023-04-06 Listed $324,900 NEGBOR
- 2023-04-05 Listed $324,900 GAMLS
- 2016-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-05 Sold (MLS) $108,000 NEGBOR
- 2015-07-15 Listed $110,000 NEGBOR
- 2013-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2013-05-08 Sold (MLS) $86,000 NEGBOR
- 2013-03-11 Listed $98,900 NEGBOR
- 2005-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,079 · +13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…