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2904 Vanness St
B Composite 70.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

2904 Vanness St · Port Huron, MI 48060
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 680 sqft · SingleFamily · 49 Days on market
Built 1898 5,227 sqft lot Est $106k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Whether you're looking for your next investment property or a cozy place to call home, this 2 bed, 1 bath property checks all the boxes. Situated on the south end of Port Huron near major conveniences such as expressways, shopping, restaurants, schools parks, etc. This home is rental certified and currently producing $1,000/month with utilities paid by the tenant. Appliances including a stackable washer/dryer, refrigerator, stove, and microwave are included. Tenant occupies the property on a month-to-month basis; 24-hour notice required for showings.

Key facts

  • Port huron location
  • Nearby parks
  • Nearby shopping

Tags

PORT HURON LOCATIONNEARBY PARKSNEARBY SCHOOLSNEARBY SHOPPINGNEARBY RESTAURANTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.3% in Port Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#445 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, schools F.
  • Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $62k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.62%
Cash-on-cash
11.88%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,080
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3118 Conner St St 0.34mi 2/1.0 675 (-1%) 7mo $47,000 $70 77
2902 JOHN PORTIS, PORT HU 2902 John L Portis, Port Huron 48060 Dr 0.14mi 2/1.0 748 (+10%) 10mo $53,000 $71 69
3020 Conner St 0.31mi 2/1.0 658 (-3%) 16mo $105,000 $160 66
3104 Sturges St 0.54mi 2/1.0 704 (+4%) 6mo $110,000 $156 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$1,938
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$23,915
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48060

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,669/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $784
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $283 -5% $259 +0% $235 +5% $211 +10% $187
Rent -10% $150 -5% $193 +0% $235 +5% $278 +10% $321
Rate -1.0pp $278 -0.5pp $257 base $235 +0.5pp $213 +1.0pp $191

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3345 Military St Port Huron, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 683 $1,035 $1.51 0d 9 0.62mi
3991 Brookstone Pl Port Huron, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 980 $1,302 $1.33 0d 10 1.22mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-03-09
    status Pending 556-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Whether you’re looking for your next investment property or a cozy place to call home, this 2 bed, 1 bath property checks all the boxes. Situated on the south end of Port Huron near major conveniences such as expressways, shopping, restaurants, schools parks, etc. This home is rental certified and currently producing $1,000/month with utilities paid by the tenant. Appliances including a stackable washer/dryer, refrigerator, stove, and microwave are included. Tenant occupies the property on a month-to-month basis; 24-hour notice required for showings.

  2. 2026-03-09
    status Pending 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Whether you’re looking for your next investment property or a cozy place to call home, this 2 bed, 1 bath property checks all the boxes. Situated on the south end of Port Huron near major conveniences such as expressways, shopping, restaurants, schools parks, etc. This home is rental certified and currently producing $1,000/month with utilities paid by the tenant. Appliances including a stackable washer/dryer, refrigerator, stove, and microwave are included. Tenant occupies the property on a month-to-month basis; 24-hour notice required for showings.

  3. 2026-02-14
    status Active 556-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Whether you’re looking for your next investment property or a cozy place to call home, this 2 bed, 1 bath property checks all the boxes. Situated on the south end of Port Huron near major conveniences such as expressways, shopping, restaurants, schools parks, etc. This home is rental certified and currently producing $1,000/month with utilities paid by the tenant. Appliances including a stackable washer/dryer, refrigerator, stove, and microwave are included. Tenant occupies the property on a month-to-month basis; 24-hour notice required for showings.

  4. 2026-02-14
    status Active 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Whether you’re looking for your next investment property or a cozy place to call home, this 2 bed, 1 bath property checks all the boxes. Situated on the south end of Port Huron near major conveniences such as expressways, shopping, restaurants, schools parks, etc. This home is rental certified and currently producing $1,000/month with utilities paid by the tenant. Appliances including a stackable washer/dryer, refrigerator, stove, and microwave are included. Tenant occupies the property on a month-to-month basis; 24-hour notice required for showings.

  5. 2026-02-09
    status Pending 556-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Whether you’re looking for your next investment property or a cozy place to call home, this 2 bed, 1 bath property checks all the boxes. Situated on the south end of Port Huron near major conveniences such as expressways, shopping, restaurants, schools parks, etc. This home is rental certified and currently producing $1,000/month with utilities paid by the tenant. Appliances including a stackable washer/dryer, refrigerator, stove, and microwave are included. Tenant occupies the property on a month-to-month basis; 24-hour notice required for showings.

  6. 2026-02-09
    status Pending 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Whether you’re looking for your next investment property or a cozy place to call home, this 2 bed, 1 bath property checks all the boxes. Situated on the south end of Port Huron near major conveniences such as expressways, shopping, restaurants, schools parks, etc. This home is rental certified and currently producing $1,000/month with utilities paid by the tenant. Appliances including a stackable washer/dryer, refrigerator, stove, and microwave are included. Tenant occupies the property on a month-to-month basis; 24-hour notice required for showings.

  7. 2026-01-15
    listed $84,900 Active 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    Whether you're looking for your next investment property or a cozy place to call home, this 2 bed, 1 bath property checks all the boxes. Situated on the south end of Port Huron near major conveniences such as expressways, shopping, restaurants, schools parks, etc. This home is rental certified and currently producing $1,000/month with utilities paid by the tenant. Appliances including a stackable washer/dryer, refrigerator, stove, and microwave are included. Tenant occupies the property on a month-to-month basis; 24-hour notice required for showings.

  8. 2026-01-15
    listed $84,900 Active 556-char remark
    Show marketing remark (556 chars)

    Whether you're looking for your next investment property or a cozy place to call home, this 2 bed, 1 bath property checks all the boxes. Situated on the south end of Port Huron near major conveniences such as expressways, shopping, restaurants, schools parks, etc. This home is rental certified and currently producing $1,000/month with utilities paid by the tenant. Appliances including a stackable washer/dryer, refrigerator, stove, and microwave are included. Tenant occupies the property on a month-to-month basis; 24-hour notice required for showings.

  9. 2024-03-28
    historical $850
  10. 2024-03-23
    listed $850
  11. 2023-12-12
    soldstatus $62,000
  12. 2023-11-03
    soldstatus $62,000 Closed
  13. 2023-11-03
    soldstatus $62,000
  14. 2023-10-31
    status Pending
  15. 2023-10-26
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  16. 2023-10-26
    status Active
  17. 2023-10-23
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  18. 2023-10-19
    price $69,900
  19. 2023-10-05
    price $74,900
  20. 2023-09-18
    price $79,900
  21. 2023-09-06
    listed $89,900 Active
  22. 2023-09-06
    listed $69,900
  23. 2017-10-02
    soldstatus $47,000
  24. 2015-10-19
    soldstatus $13,500 Sold
  25. 2015-10-19
    soldstatus $13,500 Closed
  26. 2015-10-02
    historical
  27. 2015-10-02
    status Pending
  28. 2015-10-02
    listed $14,900 Active
  29. 2015-10-01
    listed $14,900 Active
  30. 2015-06-19
    historical
  31. 2015-06-19
    historical
  32. 2015-05-29
    price $14,840
  33. 2015-05-21
    listed $12,223 Active
  34. 2015-05-21
    listed $14,840
  35. 2002-08-12
    soldstatus $60,000
  36. 2001-11-06
    listed $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,988
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,669
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,039
− Management
−$1,039
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$1,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$382
After-tax cash flow
$2,442/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Huron Area School District
NCES district ID
2628830
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$42,093
Composite
25.4/100
National rank
#7462
State rank
#368 of 540 in MI

Livability — Port Huron

Score
65/100
State rank
#445
US rank
#12478

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Huron, MI
County
Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
City population
39,342
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,342
Household income
$53,018
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
1808.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
154,587 people
By 2030
150,031 · -2.9%
By 2040
138,177 · -10.6%
By 2050
124,390 · -19.5%
By 2075
95,825 · -38.0%
By 2100
68,672 · -55.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.75%
Current HPI
177.2401
Rent YoY
▲ 3.61%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.5% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-14 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-03-28 Rental Removed $850 Avail
  • 2024-03-23 Listed for Rent $850 Avail
  • 2023-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2023-11-03 Sold (MLS) $62,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-11-03 Sold (MLS) $62,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-31 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-26 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-26 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-23 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-19 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-05 Price Changed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-09-18 Price Changed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-09-06 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-09-06 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
  • 2015-10-19 Sold (MLS) $13,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-10-19 Sold (MLS) $13,500 REALCOMP
  • 2015-10-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-10-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-10-02 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-10-01 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-06-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-06-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-05-29 Price Changed $14,840 REALCOMP
  • 2015-05-21 Listed $12,223 REALCOMP
  • 2015-05-21 Listed $14,840 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-08-12 Sold (MLS) $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2001-11-06 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+11.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,669 · +25.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…