6974 Shoreview · Grand Prairie, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Cash flow +4.2/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$499,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BEAUTIFUL UPDATED CARPET. NEW BOARD ON BOARD FENCE. Located in Grand Peninsula Community and Mansfield's exemplary schools. This home offers a bright open floor plan and is MOVE IN READY! The community offers 2 pools, gated playground, walking & biking trails. 24 7 fitness center and a club house. Walking distance to Anna Mae Daulton Elementary School.
Key facts
- Replaced windows
- Bonus storage room
- Modernized kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Some items excluded from sale: shelves, curtains, refrigerator, freezer, washer/dryer, wall-mounted TVs and mounts, security cameras and system
- Financial info: No second mortgage indicated; Loan type: Treat as clear
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; HOA fees include full use of facilities and maintenance of structures; HOA fee $385 semi-annually
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with 2-car double doors; 2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single family residence; Two stories; Attached property
- Construction: Built in 2004
- Exterior features: Subdivision: Harbour At Grand Peninsula; Less than 0.5-acre lot; Concrete, curbs and sidewalks; Underground utilities
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Kitchen island; Built-in cabinets
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level); Bedroom sizes include 12 x 10, 13 x 13, 13 x 11; Second-level living area 19 x 19
- Bathrooms: 3 bathrooms total (2 full, 1 half)
- Heating & cooling: Gas water heater
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings; Granite counters; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Cable TV available; High speed internet available; Walk-in closets; Two living areas; Ten total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Separate utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $500k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (47.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (40.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $262k (47.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#33 in TX, #1,660 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Mansfield ISD (suburban): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #125 of 826 in TX (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Anna May Daulton El (math 62% / reading 70%, grade B+, #229 of 4,322 statewide, top 5%, 673 students, 24% FRL); Danny Jones Middle (math 51% / reading 62%, grade B, #226 of 1,662 statewide, top 14%, 853 students, 32% FRL); Mansfield Lake Ridge H S (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B, #163 of 1,632 statewide, top 11%, 2,653 students, 28% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 63% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Mansfield ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $-2k appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($485k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.54%
- DSCR
- 0.49
- GRM
- 14.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $612,960
- List price
- $499,900
- Delta
- -18.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2619 Cove Dr | 0.22mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,931 (-5%) | 1mo | $455,000 | $155 | 72 |
| 2585 Shoreview Dr | 0.04mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,822 (-8%) | 5mo | $430,000 | $152 | 69 |
| 6932 Catamaran Dr | 0.26mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,983 (-3%) | 9mo | $499,000 | $167 | 65 |
| 6965 Westlake Dr | 0.02mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,410 (+11%) | 10mo | $614,900 | $180 | 62 |
| 7064 Sea Star Dr | 0.47mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,221 (+4%) | 2mo | $499,000 | $155 | 58 |
| 2537 Clearlake Dr | 0.23mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 3,537 (+15%) | 2mo | $530,000 | $150 | 50 |
| 7071 Surfside Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,736 (-11%) | 1mo | $469,990 | $172 | 48 |
| 2823 Mastil Rd | 0.68mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,223 (+4%) | 6mo | $530,000 | $164 | 45 |
| 6844 Ensenada | 0.69mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,962 (-4%) | 8mo | $499,993 | $169 | 44 |
| 6935 Sarria | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,914 (-6%) | 9mo | $455,000 | $156 | 41 |
| 2824 Mastil Rd | 0.69mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,314 (+8%) | 8mo | $585,000 | $177 | 38 |
| 2411 Lakewood Dr | 0.75mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,254 (+6%) | 10mo | $449,000 | $138 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.48% appreciation · 2.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-113,643
- Equity at exit
- $133,199
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.17×
- Total profit
- $-164,419
- Equity at exit
- $150,857
Cash invested: $139,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75054
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 14.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,958 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,622
- Tax from tax record
- −$789 /mo · $9,467/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$64
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $-1,346
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,063 | -5% $-1,205 | +0% $-1,346 | +5% $-1,488 | +10% $-1,629 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,580 | -5% $-1,463 | +0% $-1,346 | +5% $-1,230 | +10% $-1,113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,095 | -0.5pp $-1,219 | base $-1,346 | +0.5pp $-1,476 | +1.0pp $-1,608 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,975
- Closing costs
- $14,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7016 Capanna Trl Grand Prairie, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2182 | $3,195 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 7044 Bethlehem Dr Grand Prairie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2612 | $2,995 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2956 Benissa Grand Prairie, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2990 | $3,400 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2764 Fuente Grand Prairie, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2928 | $3,200 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7255 Rueda Grand Prairie, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2273 | $3,000 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2931 Bandera Grand Prairie, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3400 | $3,300 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2712 Columbus Grand Prairie, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3570 | $3,089 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2645 Villa Di Lago #4 Grand Prairie, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2430 | $3,200 | $1.32 | 9d | 1 | 1.26mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $64 · $768/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymsecurity
Listing history 32 events
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2026-06-21days on market $499,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $499,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $499,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $499,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16price $499,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $507,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $507,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $507,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $507,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $507,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $507,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $507,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $507,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $507,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $507,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $507,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-04-23$514,900 Active 1320-char remark
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2014-10-30soldstatus
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2014-10-29soldstatus Sold 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
BEAUTIFUL UPDATED CARPET. NEW BOARD ON BOARD FENCE. Located in Grand Peninsula Community and Mansfield's exemplary schools. This home offers a bright open floor plan and is MOVE IN READY! The community offers 2 pools, gated playground, walking & biking trails. 24 7 fitness center and a club house. Walking distance to Anna Mae Daulton Elementary School.
-
2014-10-16status Pending 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
BEAUTIFUL UPDATED CARPET. NEW BOARD ON BOARD FENCE. Located in Grand Peninsula Community and Mansfield's exemplary schools. This home offers a bright open floor plan and is MOVE IN READY! The community offers 2 pools, gated playground, walking & biking trails. 24 7 fitness center and a club house. Walking distance to Anna Mae Daulton Elementary School.
-
2014-10-01historical Active Option Contract 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
BEAUTIFUL UPDATED CARPET. NEW BOARD ON BOARD FENCE. Located in Grand Peninsula Community and Mansfield's exemplary schools. This home offers a bright open floor plan and is MOVE IN READY! The community offers 2 pools, gated playground, walking & biking trails. 24 7 fitness center and a club house. Walking distance to Anna Mae Daulton Elementary School.
-
2014-09-18price $229,000 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
BEAUTIFUL UPDATED CARPET. NEW BOARD ON BOARD FENCE. Located in Grand Peninsula Community and Mansfield's exemplary schools. This home offers a bright open floor plan and is MOVE IN READY! The community offers 2 pools, gated playground, walking & biking trails. 24 7 fitness center and a club house. Walking distance to Anna Mae Daulton Elementary School.
-
2014-09-09status Active 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
BEAUTIFUL UPDATED CARPET. NEW BOARD ON BOARD FENCE. Located in Grand Peninsula Community and Mansfield's exemplary schools. This home offers a bright open floor plan and is MOVE IN READY! The community offers 2 pools, gated playground, walking & biking trails. 24 7 fitness center and a club house. Walking distance to Anna Mae Daulton Elementary School.
-
2014-09-04historical Active Option Contract 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
BEAUTIFUL UPDATED CARPET. NEW BOARD ON BOARD FENCE. Located in Grand Peninsula Community and Mansfield's exemplary schools. This home offers a bright open floor plan and is MOVE IN READY! The community offers 2 pools, gated playground, walking & biking trails. 24 7 fitness center and a club house. Walking distance to Anna Mae Daulton Elementary School.
-
2014-08-25$234,900 Active 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
BEAUTIFUL UPDATED CARPET. NEW BOARD ON BOARD FENCE. Located in Grand Peninsula Community and Mansfield's exemplary schools. This home offers a bright open floor plan and is MOVE IN READY! The community offers 2 pools, gated playground, walking & biking trails. 24 7 fitness center and a club house. Walking distance to Anna Mae Daulton Elementary School.
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2014-07-31historical
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2014-07-09price $234,900
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2014-04-29price $239,900
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2014-04-22price $249,000
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2014-04-17$254,900 Active
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2004-04-17historical
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2004-03-04$221,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $9,467 · $789/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,467 · $789/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,490
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,002
- − Property taxes
- −$9,467
- − Insurance
- −$2,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,839
- − Management
- −$2,839
- − HOA
- −$768
- − Depreciation
- −$14,543
- Taxable loss
- −$25,468
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,112
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mansfield ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828920
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,934
- Composite
- 45.82/100
- National rank
- #2558
- State rank
- #125 of 826 in TX
Livability — Grand Prairie
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #33
- US rank
- #1660
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Prairie, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 201,439
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,388
- Household income
- $163,229
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 81.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 12% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Welsh 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.48%
- Current HPI
- 175.3166
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+125.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $499,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $507,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $514,900 NTREIS
- 2014-10-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-10-29 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2014-10-16 Pending — NTREIS
- 2014-10-01 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2014-09-18 Price Changed $229,000 NTREIS
- 2014-09-09 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2014-09-04 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2014-08-25 Listed $234,900 NTREIS
- 2014-07-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2014-07-09 Price Changed $234,900 NTREIS
- 2014-04-29 Price Changed $239,900 NTREIS
- 2014-04-22 Price Changed $249,000 NTREIS
- 2014-04-17 Listed $254,900 NTREIS
- 2004-04-17 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2004-03-04 Listed $221,500 NTREIS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $9,467 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…