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1518 County Road 35
C+ Composite 62.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$119,900

1518 County Road 35 · Midway, AL 36089
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,900 sqft · Manufactured · 212 Days on market
Built 2014 1.00 ac lot $63/sqft · at area comps Est $118k · at est. ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1518 CR 35 in Union Springs - an updated, 4 bed 2 bath home built in 2014. Tucked away on the large acre lot with mature, beautiful trees providing the perfect shade for enjoying the yard, this home offers ample space and an open concept for functional living and entertaining. Right inside you’ll find the living area which flows into the dining and kitchen. The kitchen opens up to the laundry room and from there you can step onto the back porch and enjoy views. The primary offers a nice en suite, & large closet. The three other bedrooms are generous in size with carpet. A shed is located on the property for even more storage or work space for hobbies. This is a great home at a great price, on a beautiful large acre lot!

Key facts

  • Shed
  • Open concept
  • En suite

Tags

LARGE ACRE LOTMATURE TREESOPEN CONCEPTBACK PORCHEN SUITESHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 41/100 on livability (#568 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bullock County (town): math 18% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #130 of 133 in AL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
  • Bullock County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.08%
Cash-on-cash
9.95%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$118,000
List price
$119,900
Delta
1.61%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1518 County Road 35 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,900 (0%) 1mo $118,000 $62 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$36,732
Equity at exit
$58,799
10-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$100,391
Equity at exit
$94,613

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36089

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,303 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $871/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $951
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $346 -5% $312 +0% $278 +5% $244 +10% $210
Rent -10% $175 -5% $227 +0% $278 +5% $330 +10% $381
Rate -1.0pp $339 -0.5pp $309 base $278 +0.5pp $247 +1.0pp $216

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    Welcome to 1518 CR 35 in Union Springs - an updated, 4 bed 2 bath home built in 2014. Tucked away on the large acre lot with mature, beautiful trees providing the perfect shade for enjoying the yard, this home offers ample space and an open concept for functional living and entertaining. Right inside you’ll find the living area which flows into the dining and kitchen. The kitchen opens up to the laundry room and from there you can step onto the back porch and enjoy views. The primary offers a nice en suite, & large closet. The three other bedrooms are generous in size with carpet. A shed is located on the property for even more storage or work space for hobbies. This is a great home at a great price, on a beautiful large acre lot!

  2. 2026-04-22
    price $119,900 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    Welcome to 1518 CR 35 in Union Springs - an updated, 4 bed 2 bath home built in 2014. Tucked away on the large acre lot with mature, beautiful trees providing the perfect shade for enjoying the yard, this home offers ample space and an open concept for functional living and entertaining. Right inside you’ll find the living area which flows into the dining and kitchen. The kitchen opens up to the laundry room and from there you can step onto the back porch and enjoy views. The primary offers a nice en suite, & large closet. The three other bedrooms are generous in size with carpet. A shed is located on the property for even more storage or work space for hobbies. This is a great home at a great price, on a beautiful large acre lot!

  3. 2026-03-05
    status Active 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    Welcome to 1518 CR 35 in Union Springs - an updated, 4 bed 2 bath home built in 2014. Tucked away on the large acre lot with mature, beautiful trees providing the perfect shade for enjoying the yard, this home offers ample space and an open concept for functional living and entertaining. Right inside you’ll find the living area which flows into the dining and kitchen. The kitchen opens up to the laundry room and from there you can step onto the back porch and enjoy views. The primary offers a nice en suite, & large closet. The three other bedrooms are generous in size with carpet. A shed is located on the property for even more storage or work space for hobbies. This is a great home at a great price, on a beautiful large acre lot!

  4. 2026-02-24
    status Pending 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    Welcome to 1518 CR 35 in Union Springs - an updated, 4 bed 2 bath home built in 2014. Tucked away on the large acre lot with mature, beautiful trees providing the perfect shade for enjoying the yard, this home offers ample space and an open concept for functional living and entertaining. Right inside you’ll find the living area which flows into the dining and kitchen. The kitchen opens up to the laundry room and from there you can step onto the back porch and enjoy views. The primary offers a nice en suite, & large closet. The three other bedrooms are generous in size with carpet. A shed is located on the property for even more storage or work space for hobbies. This is a great home at a great price, on a beautiful large acre lot!

  5. 2025-12-18
    price $129,900 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    Welcome to 1518 CR 35 in Union Springs - an updated, 4 bed 2 bath home built in 2014. Tucked away on the large acre lot with mature, beautiful trees providing the perfect shade for enjoying the yard, this home offers ample space and an open concept for functional living and entertaining. Right inside you’ll find the living area which flows into the dining and kitchen. The kitchen opens up to the laundry room and from there you can step onto the back porch and enjoy views. The primary offers a nice en suite, & large closet. The three other bedrooms are generous in size with carpet. A shed is located on the property for even more storage or work space for hobbies. This is a great home at a great price, on a beautiful large acre lot!

  6. 2025-12-01
    status Active 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    Welcome to 1518 CR 35 in Union Springs - an updated, 4 bed 2 bath home built in 2014. Tucked away on the large acre lot with mature, beautiful trees providing the perfect shade for enjoying the yard, this home offers ample space and an open concept for functional living and entertaining. Right inside you’ll find the living area which flows into the dining and kitchen. The kitchen opens up to the laundry room and from there you can step onto the back porch and enjoy views. The primary offers a nice en suite, & large closet. The three other bedrooms are generous in size with carpet. A shed is located on the property for even more storage or work space for hobbies. This is a great home at a great price, on a beautiful large acre lot!

  7. 2025-10-27
    historical Active Under Contract 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    Welcome to 1518 CR 35 in Union Springs - an updated, 4 bed 2 bath home built in 2014. Tucked away on the large acre lot with mature, beautiful trees providing the perfect shade for enjoying the yard, this home offers ample space and an open concept for functional living and entertaining. Right inside you’ll find the living area which flows into the dining and kitchen. The kitchen opens up to the laundry room and from there you can step onto the back porch and enjoy views. The primary offers a nice en suite, & large closet. The three other bedrooms are generous in size with carpet. A shed is located on the property for even more storage or work space for hobbies. This is a great home at a great price, on a beautiful large acre lot!

  8. 2025-09-19
    status Pending 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    Welcome to 1518 CR 35 in Union Springs - an updated, 4 bed 2 bath home built in 2014. Tucked away on the large acre lot with mature, beautiful trees providing the perfect shade for enjoying the yard, this home offers ample space and an open concept for functional living and entertaining. Right inside you’ll find the living area which flows into the dining and kitchen. The kitchen opens up to the laundry room and from there you can step onto the back porch and enjoy views. The primary offers a nice en suite, & large closet. The three other bedrooms are generous in size with carpet. A shed is located on the property for even more storage or work space for hobbies. This is a great home at a great price, on a beautiful large acre lot!

  9. 2025-08-20
    listed $139,900 Active 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    Welcome to 1518 CR 35 in Union Springs - an updated, 4 bed 2 bath home built in 2014. Tucked away on the large acre lot with mature, beautiful trees providing the perfect shade for enjoying the yard, this home offers ample space and an open concept for functional living and entertaining. Right inside you’ll find the living area which flows into the dining and kitchen. The kitchen opens up to the laundry room and from there you can step onto the back porch and enjoy views. The primary offers a nice en suite, & large closet. The three other bedrooms are generous in size with carpet. A shed is located on the property for even more storage or work space for hobbies. This is a great home at a great price, on a beautiful large acre lot!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$871 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$871 · $73/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,640
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$871
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,251
− Management
−$1,251
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,462
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$351
After-tax cash flow
$2,988/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bullock County
NCES district ID
0100480
Math proficiency
18% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$33,373
Composite
17.6/100
National rank
#14126
State rank
#130 of 133 in AL

Livability — Midway

Score
41/100
State rank
#568
US rank
#27116

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,401

Population outlook (Bullock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,799 people
By 2030
9,384 · -4.2%
By 2040
8,575 · -12.5%
By 2050
7,814 · -20.3%
By 2075
5,722 · -41.6%
By 2100
3,852 · -60.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Bullock

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.8) · D 72.7% · R 26.8%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 48.4pp · 2024: 45.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.8 2020: D+49.9 2016: D+50.9 2012: D+52.8 2008: D+48.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.71%
Current HPI
161.0444
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending LCMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $119,900 LCMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Relisted LCMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Pending LCMLS
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $129,900 LCMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Relisted LCMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Contingent LCMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Pending LCMLS
  • 2025-08-20 Listed $139,900 LCMLS

Property tax history

+31.6%/yr

Latest (2023): $871 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…