1973 Glenn Rd · Pine Ridge, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.9/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
One-story home offering 1,520 square feet with 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms situated on a generous 0.49-acre lot with no HOA. New water heater March 2026! Zoned for Lexington Two schools and conveniently located less than 25 minutes from Main Street Lexington and downtown Columbia. The home features a functional floor plan with multiple living and bedroom options to accommodate a variety of needs. The nearly half-acre lot provides ample space for parking, outdoor use, or future improvements. With no HOA restrictions, there is added flexibility for how the property may be used and enjoyed. This property presents an opportunity for a buyer seeking space, location, and potential in a growin
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Zoned for schools
- One story home
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking for 4 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single‑story property
- Construction: Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior finish; Paved road access; Approximately 0.49 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat‑in kitchen with bar; Formica countertops; Painted cabinets; Vinyl flooring in the kitchen
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with garden tub, private bath, separate shower and walk‑in closet; Bedrooms 2–4 on main level with shared baths and private closets
- Flooring: Carpet and vinyl flooring throughout; some tile in bedroom 3
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Molding in formal dining room and great room; Ceiling fans in master bedroom, bedrooms 2–4, and great room; Electric water heater; Free‑standing range
- Laundry & utility: Mud room laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.7% in Pine Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#116 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lexington 02 (suburban): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #45 of 80 in SC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Herbert A. Wood Elementary (math 26% / reading 28%, grade F, #421 of 597 statewide, top 73%, 967 students, 100% FRL); Airport High (math 40% / reading 79%, grade C+, #110 of 196 statewide, top 58%, 1,428 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 59% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.77%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-10,537
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,101
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29053
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,025 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $369/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $193 | -5% $161 | +0% $128 | +5% $95 | +10% $63 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $47 | -5% $87 | +0% $128 | +5% $168 | +10% $209 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $186 | -0.5pp $157 | base $128 | +0.5pp $98 | +1.0pp $68 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1515 Busbee Rd Gaston, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,025 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $115,000
-
2026-03-06price $125,000
-
2026-03-02status Active
-
2026-02-09status Pending
-
2026-01-14$135,000 Active
-
2004-11-18soldstatus $80,000
-
2002-07-09soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $369 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $656 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$286/yr (+$24/mo · 77.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$369
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$984
- − Management
- −$984
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$400
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$96
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,632/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lexington 02
- NCES district ID
- 4502730
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,532
- Composite
- 28.78/100
- National rank
- #6669
- State rank
- #45 of 80 in SC
Livability — Pine Ridge
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #11691
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,818
Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 322,999 people
- By 2030
- 342,356 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 377,715 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 406,984 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 465,447 · +44.1%
- By 2100
- 485,674 · +50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Lexington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.19%
- Current HPI
- 272.1711
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+505.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $115,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $125,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-02-09 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $135,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2004-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2002-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2024): $369 · -6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…