44 Cross Hwy · East Hampton North, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$1,775,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
South of the highway exactly one mile to Indian Wells beach, is an old fishing shack in the Amagansett School District. Originally moved from the Amagansett Dunes, this was home of a Bonac legend who made a living on the water. This property allows you to build a 2,628 square foot primary structure above ground and with 100% clearing there is a boat load of opportunity!
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 63 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.77M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.74M (2.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.67M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,013 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Amagansett Union Free School District (town): math 70% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #106 of 755 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $17,402/mo this rent would consume 169% of the median local household income ($123k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $497k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$123k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.67M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.57%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $149,868
- Equity at exit
- $629,478
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $613,834
- Equity at exit
- $855,017
Cash invested: $497,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11930
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $17,402 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$9,308
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$2,219 /mo · $26,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$740
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,654
- Net cashflow
- $1,481
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $443,750
- Closing costs
- $53,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 # E Unit Beach Ave unit Amagansett, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $65,000 | $86.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-03-25$1,775,000 Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
South of the highway exactly one mile to Indian Wells beach, is an old fishing shack in the Amagansett School District. Originally moved from the Amagansett Dunes, this was home of a Bonac legend who made a living on the water. This property allows you to build a 2,628 square foot primary structure above ground and with 100% clearing there is a boat load of opportunity!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $208,819
- − Mortgage interest
- −$99,428
- − Property taxes
- −$26,625
- − Insurance
- −$8,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$16,706
- − Management
- −$16,706
- − Depreciation
- −$51,636
- Taxable loss
- −$11,156
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,677
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amagansett Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602880
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,077
- Composite
- 67.17/100
- National rank
- #848
- State rank
- #106 of 755 in NY
Livability — East Hampton North
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1013
- US rank
- #19706
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Hampton North, NY
- County
- Suffolk County · 679,920 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 842
- Household income
- $123,257
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 10% Slovene 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.25%
- Current HPI
- 541.254
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $1,775,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $338 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…