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579 Harbor Rd
B+ Composite 76.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$849,900

579 Harbor Rd · Point Pleasant, NJ 08724
5 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,923 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1997 0.27 ac lot Est $1251k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

First time offered! This 5-bedroom, 3.5-bath home with water views is located in a highly sought-after neighborhood! Situated on a prime corner lot, this spacious residence offers flexible multi-generational living with a private first-floor suite featuring a bedroom, full bath, kitchenette, living room, and separate entrance. Could also be used as a large first-floor primary suite! Large room sizes provide plenty of space for entertaining & daily life. Enjoy outdoor living with a 20x40 in-ground pool & rear deck. Plenty of storage with many closets, full basement, & 2-car garage. Optional membership in the Midstreams Property Owners Assoc. (MPOA) provides access to a pri

Key facts

  • In-ground pool
  • Full basement
  • Rear deck

Tags

CORNER LOTPRIVATE FIRST-FLOOR SUITEIN-GROUND POOLREAR DECKFULL BASEMENTPRIVATE PARK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family property
  • Construction: Full unfinished basement
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Fee simple ownership

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator; Microwave; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (some located on the first floor and others on the second floor); In-law suite on the first floor
  • Flooring: Cement flooring
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with 2-zone heat; Central air conditioning with 2-zone AC
  • Interior features: Outdoor lighting; Ceiling fan(s); Light fixtures; Window treatments and blinds/shades; Garage door opener; Gas cooking
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room on the first floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $850k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($109k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $850k).
  • Recommended offer: $837k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 2.8% in Point Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#136 in NJ, #3,574 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Brick Township Public School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #330 of 472 in NJ (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 284 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $238k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($837k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $265k; list at $850k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $837,151 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.24%
Cap rate
19.16%
Cash-on-cash
45.94%
DSCR
3.04
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,251,044
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
579 Harbor Rd 0.00mi 5/3.5 2,923 (0%) 1mo $849,900 $291 97
598 Robinhood Rd 0.02mi 5/3.5 2,680 (-8%) 5mo $735,000 $274 79
693 Harbor Rd 0.32mi 5/3.0 2,966 (+2%) 4mo $1,575,000 $531 75
1549 Littlehill Rd 0.43mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,907 (-0%) 6mo $1,650,000 $568 65
117 Joie Pl 0.24mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,218 (+10%) 6mo $1,900,000 $590 60
560 Midwood Dr 0.19mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,216 (+10%) 9mo $1,375,000 $428 58
663 Harbor Rd 0.33mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,250 (+11%) 0mo $1,150,000 $354 57
648 Point Ave 0.51mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,634 (-10%) 2mo $990,000 $376 49
1624 East Dr 0.74mi 5/3.0 2,788 (-5%) 7mo $999,999 $359 48
149 Berkeley Dr 0.66mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,661 (-9%) 1mo $885,000 $333 45
1328 Sleepy Hollow Rd 0.60mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,616 (-10%) 5mo $1,225,000 $468 39
1663 East Dr 0.71mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,627 (-10%) 4mo $1,200,000 $457 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.2%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$442,882
Equity at exit
$126,723
10-year hold
IRR
49.2%
Equity multiple
5.77×
Total profit
$1,134,111
Equity at exit
$73,484

Cash invested: $237,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08724

Active inventory
284
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$19,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,457
Tax from tax record
$1,088 /mo · $13,052/yr
Insurance
$354
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,990
Net cashflow
$9,111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,467
Max offer price $849,900
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $9,592 -5% $9,352 +0% $9,111 +5% $8,871 +10% $8,630
Rent -10% $7,610 -5% $8,361 +0% $9,111 +5% $9,862 +10% $10,612
Rate -1.0pp $9,539 -0.5pp $9,327 base $9,111 +0.5pp $8,891 +1.0pp $8,667

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$212,475
Closing costs
$25,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1145 Roe Ave Point Pleasant, NJ 6.0 3.0 2790 $19,000 $6.81 2d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-26
    listed $849,900 Active
  3. 1997-03-05
    soldstatus $265,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$13,052 · $1,088/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$17,107 · $1,426/mo
Expected delta
+$4,055/yr (+$338/mo · 31.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$228,000
− Mortgage interest
−$47,608
− Property taxes
−$13,052
− Insurance
−$4,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$18,240
− Management
−$18,240
− Depreciation
−$24,724
Taxable income
$101,887
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$24,453
After-tax cash flow
$84,882/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brick Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3402220
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$68,717
Composite
28.31/100
National rank
#6785
State rank
#330 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Point Pleasant

Score
76/100
State rank
#136
US rank
#3574

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
25,732
Population (ZIP)
41,573

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -524.30%
Current HPI
380.6136
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+220.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending MOMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $849,900 MOMLS
  • 1997-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $13,052 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…