579 Harbor Rd · Point Pleasant, NJ
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$849,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
First time offered! This 5-bedroom, 3.5-bath home with water views is located in a highly sought-after neighborhood! Situated on a prime corner lot, this spacious residence offers flexible multi-generational living with a private first-floor suite featuring a bedroom, full bath, kitchenette, living room, and separate entrance. Could also be used as a large first-floor primary suite! Large room sizes provide plenty of space for entertaining & daily life. Enjoy outdoor living with a 20x40 in-ground pool & rear deck. Plenty of storage with many closets, full basement, & 2-car garage. Optional membership in the Midstreams Property Owners Assoc. (MPOA) provides access to a pri
Key facts
- In-ground pool
- Full basement
- Rear deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family property
- Construction: Full unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Fee simple ownership
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator; Microwave; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (some located on the first floor and others on the second floor); In-law suite on the first floor
- Flooring: Cement flooring
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with 2-zone heat; Central air conditioning with 2-zone AC
- Interior features: Outdoor lighting; Ceiling fan(s); Light fixtures; Window treatments and blinds/shades; Garage door opener; Gas cooking
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room on the first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $850k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($109k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $850k).
- Recommended offer: $837k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 2.8% in Point Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#136 in NJ, #3,574 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Brick Township Public School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #330 of 472 in NJ (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 284 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $238k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($837k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $265k; list at $850k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.94%
- DSCR
- 3.04
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,251,044
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 579 Harbor Rd | 0.00mi | 5/3.5 | 2,923 (0%) | 1mo | $849,900 | $291 | 97 |
| 598 Robinhood Rd | 0.02mi | 5/3.5 | 2,680 (-8%) | 5mo | $735,000 | $274 | 79 |
| 693 Harbor Rd | 0.32mi | 5/3.0 | 2,966 (+2%) | 4mo | $1,575,000 | $531 | 75 |
| 1549 Littlehill Rd | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,907 (-0%) | 6mo | $1,650,000 | $568 | 65 |
| 117 Joie Pl | 0.24mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,218 (+10%) | 6mo | $1,900,000 | $590 | 60 |
| 560 Midwood Dr | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 3,216 (+10%) | 9mo | $1,375,000 | $428 | 58 |
| 663 Harbor Rd | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 3,250 (+11%) | 0mo | $1,150,000 | $354 | 57 |
| 648 Point Ave | 0.51mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,634 (-10%) | 2mo | $990,000 | $376 | 49 |
| 1624 East Dr | 0.74mi | 5/3.0 | 2,788 (-5%) | 7mo | $999,999 | $359 | 48 |
| 149 Berkeley Dr | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,661 (-9%) | 1mo | $885,000 | $333 | 45 |
| 1328 Sleepy Hollow Rd | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,616 (-10%) | 5mo | $1,225,000 | $468 | 39 |
| 1663 East Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,627 (-10%) | 4mo | $1,200,000 | $457 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $442,882
- Equity at exit
- $126,723
- IRR
- 49.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.77×
- Total profit
- $1,134,111
- Equity at exit
- $73,484
Cash invested: $237,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08724
- Active inventory
- 284
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $19,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,457
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,088 /mo · $13,052/yr
- Insurance
- −$354
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,990
- Net cashflow
- $9,111
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $9,592 | -5% $9,352 | +0% $9,111 | +5% $8,871 | +10% $8,630 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $7,610 | -5% $8,361 | +0% $9,111 | +5% $9,862 | +10% $10,612 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $9,539 | -0.5pp $9,327 | base $9,111 | +0.5pp $8,891 | +1.0pp $8,667 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $212,475
- Closing costs
- $25,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1145 Roe Ave Point Pleasant, NJ | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2790 | $19,000 | $6.81 | 2d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-03-26$849,900 Active
-
1997-03-05soldstatus $265,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $13,052 · $1,088/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $17,107 · $1,426/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,055/yr (+$338/mo · 31.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $228,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,608
- − Property taxes
- −$13,052
- − Insurance
- −$4,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$18,240
- − Management
- −$18,240
- − Depreciation
- −$24,724
- Taxable income
- $101,887
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$24,453
- After-tax cash flow
- $84,882/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brick Township Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3402220
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,717
- Composite
- 28.31/100
- National rank
- #6785
- State rank
- #330 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Point Pleasant
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #136
- US rank
- #3574
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 25,732
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,573
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -524.30%
- Current HPI
- 380.6136
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+220.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — MOMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $849,900 MOMLS
- 1997-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $13,052 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…