215 W Ainsworth St · Ypsilanti, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming bungalow offering 2 bedrooms plus an additional office space. Home features vinyl windows, aluminum siding, a detached 1-car garage, and a slab foundation with no reported issues. Interior is dated but in overall decent condition, with an updated tiled bathroom and functional layout. Upper-level bungalow area provides additional storage or flex space, accessed by a narrow stairway. Mechanical updates include a furnace estimated at 10-15 years old and an A/C unit estimated around 20 years. Home is being sold as-is,
Key facts
- Slab foundation
- Office space
- Vinyl windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $124k).
- Recommended offer: $120k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.0% in Ypsilanti — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#71 in MI, #1,539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Ypsilanti Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #501 of 540 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 996 units permitted in Washtenaw County in 2024 (492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washtenaw County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($120k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.97%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 457 Ainsworth Cir | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 768 (-4%) | 2mo | $188,000 | $245 | 84 |
| 412 Ainsworth Cir | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-4%) | 7mo | $174,900 | $228 | 75 |
| 435 Ainsworth Cir | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 768 (-4%) | 12mo | $194,500 | $253 | 73 |
| 436 Ainsworth Cir | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 872 (+9%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $166 | 67 |
| 350 Orchard St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 750 (-6%) | 22mo | $139,000 | $185 | 55 |
| 544 Monroe Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-12%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $179 | 54 |
| 432 Ainsworth Cir | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 882 (+10%) | 18mo | $200,000 | $227 | 54 |
| 429 Ainsworth Cir | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-12%) | 13mo | $181,900 | $260 | 53 |
| 827 Jefferson St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 768 (-4%) | 20mo | $175,000 | $228 | 50 |
| 338 Worden St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 696 (-13%) | 20mo | $130,000 | $187 | 48 |
| 938 Jefferson St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 701 (-12%) | 0mo | $189,900 | $271 | 46 |
| 173 Elder St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+8%) | 17mo | $186,500 | $216 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-6,724
- Equity at exit
- $18,489
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $12,838
- Equity at exit
- $10,721
Cash invested: $34,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48197
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,354 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$650
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,995/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $202
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,000
- Closing costs
- $3,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 727 W Michigan Ave Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 592 | $1,365 | $2.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 701 Pearl St Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 212 Ferris St Unit 214 Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 212 Ferris St Unit 212 Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,300 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 417 Pearl St Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,090 | $1.60 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 206 S Huron St Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,240 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1117 Lathers Ave Unit 15 Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,225 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 512 Washtenaw Ave Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2 N Huron St Unit 4-1 Ypsilanti, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,840 | $2.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 421 Emmet St Ypsilanti, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 676 | $1,400 | $2.07 | 18d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 125 Bell St Unit b Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 422 N Hamilton St Unit 2 Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 422 N Hamilton St Unit 2 Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 509 W Forest Ave Unit 210 Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $1,250 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 410 Olive St Unit 2 Ypsilanti, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,349 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1305 S Congress St Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,175 | $1.47 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1305 S Congress St Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,175 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 212 Stevens Dr Ypsilanti, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 693 | $1,359 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 329 Jarvis St Ypsilanti, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 44d | 5 | 0.90mi |
| 1304 Washtenaw Rd Ypsilanti, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,400 | $1.48 | 18d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 219 N Prospect Rd Unit 2 Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 208 N Prospect Rd Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1616 Washtenaw Rd Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1006 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 232 Miles St Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,400 | $2.01 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1000 N Huron River Dr Ypsilanti, MI | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 937 | $1,962 | $2.09 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 669 Woburn Dr Ypsilanti, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 911 | $1,600 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1932 Washtenaw Ave Ypsilanti, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,250 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 799 Green Rd Ypsilanti, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 787 | $1,350 | $1.71 | 3d | 28 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-02-12soldstatus $125,100
-
2026-01-06status Pending 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Charming bungalow offering 2 bedrooms plus an additional office space. Home features vinyl windows, aluminum siding, a detached 1-car garage, and a slab foundation with no reported issues. Interior is dated but in overall decent condition, with an updated tiled bathroom and functional layout. Upper-level bungalow area provides additional storage or flex space, accessed by a narrow stairway. Mechanical updates include a furnace estimated at 10-15 years old and an A/C unit estimated around 20 years. Home is being sold as-is,
-
2026-01-06status Pending
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Charming bungalow offering 2 bedrooms plus an additional office space. Home features vinyl windows, aluminum siding, a detached 1-car garage, and a slab foundation with no reported issues. Interior is dated but in overall decent condition, with an updated tiled bathroom and functional layout. Upper-level bungalow area provides additional storage or flex space, accessed by a narrow stairway. Mechanical updates include a furnace estimated at 10-15 years old and an A/C unit estimated around 20 years. Home is being sold as-is,
-
2025-12-18price $124,000 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Charming bungalow offering 2 bedrooms plus an additional office space. Home features vinyl windows, aluminum siding, a detached 1-car garage, and a slab foundation with no reported issues. Interior is dated but in overall decent condition, with an updated tiled bathroom and functional layout. Upper-level bungalow area provides additional storage or flex space, accessed by a narrow stairway. Mechanical updates include a furnace estimated at 10-15 years old and an A/C unit estimated around 20 years. Home is being sold as-is,
-
2025-12-17price $124,000
-
2025-12-05$129,000 Active
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Charming bungalow offering 2 bedrooms plus an additional office space. Home features vinyl windows, aluminum siding, a detached 1-car garage, and a slab foundation with no reported issues. Interior is dated but in overall decent condition, with an updated tiled bathroom and functional layout. Upper-level bungalow area provides additional storage or flex space, accessed by a narrow stairway. Mechanical updates include a furnace estimated at 10-15 years old and an A/C unit estimated around 20 years. Home is being sold as-is,
-
2025-12-05$129,000 Active 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Charming bungalow offering 2 bedrooms plus an additional office space. Home features vinyl windows, aluminum siding, a detached 1-car garage, and a slab foundation with no reported issues. Interior is dated but in overall decent condition, with an updated tiled bathroom and functional layout. Upper-level bungalow area provides additional storage or flex space, accessed by a narrow stairway. Mechanical updates include a furnace estimated at 10-15 years old and an A/C unit estimated around 20 years. Home is being sold as-is,
-
2010-05-26soldstatus $15,000 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
3 BEDROOM HOME IN YPSILANTI SCHOOLS WITH CENTRAL AIR AND 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE.
-
2010-03-12$18,500 79-char remark
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
3 BEDROOM HOME IN YPSILANTI SCHOOLS WITH CENTRAL AIR AND 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE.
-
2010-03-11historical
-
2010-02-20historical
-
2009-12-21$7,900
-
2009-11-18$7,900
-
2005-02-04soldstatus $69,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,995 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,995 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,946
- − Property taxes
- −$1,995
- − Insurance
- −$620
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,300
- − Management
- −$1,300
- − Depreciation
- −$3,607
- Taxable income
- $484
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$116
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,305/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ypsilanti Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2636630
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,759
- Composite
- 12.98/100
- National rank
- #9572
- State rank
- #501 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ypsilanti
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ypsilanti, MI
- County
- Washtenaw County · 306,860 people
- City population
- 105,769
- Metro
- Ann Arbor, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,525
- Household income
- $73,737
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3134.0
Population outlook (Washtenaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 402,878 people
- By 2030
- 424,104 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 464,633 · +15.3%
- By 2050
- 504,728 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 614,463 · +52.5%
- By 2100
- 676,181 · +67.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Washtenaw
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.4) · D 71.0% · R 26.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.4 2020: D+46.6 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+36.0 2008: D+41.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.94%
- Current HPI
- 217.0173
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.36%
- Metro
- Ann Arbor, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+81.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $125,100 Public Records
- 2026-01-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $124,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $124,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-05-26 Sold (MLS) $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-03-12 Listed $18,500 REALCOMP
- 2010-03-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-02-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-12-21 Listed $7,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-11-18 Listed $7,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,995 · -4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…