1325 Buckhorn Dr · Suffolk, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- 1% rule +0.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-story home situated on a quiet rural lot offering privacy and potential. The property features historic character with practical updates, including a newer roof (approx. 5 years old). Ideal opportunity for investors or buyers seeking a renovation project with upside. Approved reverse mortgage short sale. Sold strictly AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Seller will make no repairs. Cash sale only. Property condition reflected in price. Per the city personnel, the house was a church that was built in 1754.
Key facts
- 0.6 acre lot
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-693 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (35.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (47.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (47.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in VA, #2,896 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
- Suffolk City Public School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #72 of 131 in VA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Oakland Elementary (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 469 students, 64% FRL); King'S Fork Middle (math 33% / reading 61%, grade D+, #257 of 342 statewide, top 77%, 1,031 students, 63% FRL); King'S Fork High (math 44% / reading 77%, grade C+, #244 of 319 statewide, top 77%, 1,697 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 39% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 680 units permitted in Suffolk city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $350k implies a 309% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.53% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.49%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 15.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $487,414
- List price
- $349,900
- Delta
- -24.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1325 Buckhorn Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,632 (-1%) | 3mo | $85,541 | $52 | 96 |
| 4937 Deer Path Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (+12%) | 10mo | $520,000 | $281 | 52 |
| 1647 Buckhorn Dr | 0.76mi | 3/2.5 | 1,792 (+9%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $215 | 44 |
| 785 Chappell Dr | 1.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-22%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $184 | 29 |
| 568 Chappell Dr | 1.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,261 (-24%) | 15mo | $298,000 | $236 | 24 |
| 4650 Deer Path Rd | 1.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,010 (+22%) | 11mo | $635,000 | $316 | 22 |
| 4600 Deerpath Rd | 1.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+21%) | 13mo | $635,000 | $318 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-100,973
- Equity at exit
- $52,171
- IRR
- -35.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.48×
- Total profit
- $-145,314
- Equity at exit
- $30,253
Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.0 mo (33%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $434,500 ($216/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 53 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +37.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 23437
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 15.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,846 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,047/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $-693
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-495 | -5% $-594 | +0% $-693 | +5% $-792 | +10% $-891 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-839 | -5% $-766 | +0% $-693 | +5% $-620 | +10% $-547 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-517 | -0.5pp $-604 | base $-693 | +0.5pp $-784 | +1.0pp $-876 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,475
- Closing costs
- $10,497
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- No HOA fees
Exterior
- Parking
- Multiple-car parkingDriveway spaces
- Utilities
- Well waterSeptic (on waiver)Electric water heater
- Home design
- Detached ranchSingle-story
- Construction
- Metal roofCrawl space foundation
- Exterior features
- Vinyl sidingStorage shedPorch
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric rangeMicrowaveDishwasherRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Master bedroom with ensuiteBedroom on first floor
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminate
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatCentral air
- Interior features
- Ceiling fanElectric fireplaceWalk-in closetOne fireplace
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupDryer hookupUtility room
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $349,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-09-22pricedays on market $349,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $369,800 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $369,800 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $369,800 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $369,800 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $369,800 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-09-16pricedays on market $369,800 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $369,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $369,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $369,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $369,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $369,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $369,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $369,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $369,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $369,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $369,900 Active 3 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $369,900 Active 2 DOM
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2026-08-26remarks 627-char remark
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2026-08-26pricestatusdays on market $369,900 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-16status $100,000 Under Contract 52 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 52 DOM
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-story home situated on a quiet rural lot offering privacy and potential. The property features historic character with practical updates, including a newer roof (approx. 5 years old). Ideal opportunity for investors or buyers seeking a renovation project with upside. Approved reverse mortgage short sale. Sold strictly AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Seller will make no repairs. Cash sale only. Property condition reflected in price. Per the city personnel, the house was a church that was built in 1754.
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2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
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2026-04-29historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-story home situated on a quiet rural lot offering privacy and potential. The property features historic character with practical updates, including a newer roof (approx. 5 years old). Ideal opportunity for investors or buyers seeking a renovation project with upside. Approved reverse mortgage short sale. Sold strictly AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Seller will make no repairs. Cash sale only. Property condition reflected in price. Per the city personnel, the house was a church that was built in 1754.
-
2026-04-24$100,000 Active
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-story home situated on a quiet rural lot offering privacy and potential. The property features historic character with practical updates, including a newer roof (approx. 5 years old). Ideal opportunity for investors or buyers seeking a renovation project with upside. Approved reverse mortgage short sale. Sold strictly AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Seller will make no repairs. Cash sale only. Property condition reflected in price. Per the city personnel, the house was a church that was built in 1754.
-
2026-02-19status Under Contract
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2026-02-19historical
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2026-02-16price $125,000
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2025-12-06price $175,000
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2025-09-03$200,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,047 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,869 · $239/mo
- Expected delta
- +$822/yr (+$69/mo · 40.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,600
- − Property taxes
- −$2,047
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,772
- − Management
- −$1,772
- − Depreciation
- −$10,179
- Taxable loss
- −$14,968
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,592
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,724/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This single-story home requires significant repairs and updates to its roof, siding, flooring, interior walls, and HVAC system. While it has potential, the extensive work needed would make it a moderate renovation project.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant damage and potential leaks.
- Moderate siding — Weathered and in need of replacement.
- Major flooring — Old and may need replacement.
- Major interior walls/paint — Worn and may need repainting.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — Outdated and may need replacement or repair.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's curb appeal and reduce maintenance costs. ↑
- Resale Siding replacement — New siding would improve the home's appearance and increase its market value. ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and increase its market value. ↑
- Resale Interior painting — Fresh paint would improve the home's appearance and increase its market value. ↑
- Both HVAC upgrade — A new HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Suffolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,573
- Composite
- 48.31/100
- National rank
- #2151
- State rank
- #72 of 131 in VA
Livability — Suffolk
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #2896
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suffolk, VA
- County
- Suffolk · 95,269 people
- City population
- 88,108
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Chesapeake-Norfolk, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,088
- Household income
- $74,513
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,269 people
- By 2030
- 98,269 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 103,177 · +8.3%
- By 2050
- 105,777 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 110,963 · +16.5%
- By 2100
- 103,711 · +8.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.9) · D 57.4% · R 41.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.9 2020: D+17.3 2016: D+13.8 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.52%
- Current HPI
- 190.0935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+85.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-08-26 Listed $369,900 REINMLS
- 2026-06-22 Sold (MLS) $85,541 REINMLS
- 2026-06-15 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-04-29 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $100,000 REINMLS
- 2026-02-19 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-02-19 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $125,000 REINMLS
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $175,000 REINMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listed $200,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,047 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…