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111 South St
B Composite 72.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$89,900

111 South St · Bismarck, IL 61814
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,076 sqft · Other · 630 Days on market
Built 1867 8,276 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Do you love history and want a renovation project? Take a look at this 1867 historically Victorian home located in Bismarck. Endless possibilities and room design with project waiting to be completed. New Roof in December of 2023, Concrete flooring ready for completion of wrap around porch. House repainted with primer coat in November of 2023. Windows repaired with new glass. New foundation and footings for new bedroom, bathroom, utility room, and entryway. Newer aeration sewer system in North yard. Installation of new A/C with electric heat for the upstairs. Call listing agent for a private tour.

Key facts

  • Wrap around porch
  • New foundation
  • Victorian home

Tags

VICTORIAN HOMENEW ROOFWRAP AROUND PORCHNEW FOUNDATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story home; Wood siding exterior; R-1 zoning
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Chip-and-seal road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms and living spaces combined)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliance details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#844 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Bismarck Henning CUSD (rural): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #287 of 620 in IL (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 630 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $90k implies a 260% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1867 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 630 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1867 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
10.55%
Cash-on-cash
15.21%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$31,598
Equity at exit
$40,849
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
4.32×
Total profit
$83,577
Equity at exit
$63,285

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61814

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,239 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,811/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $835
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,900 Active 630 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 629 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 628 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 627 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 626 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 624 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 623 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 620 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 619 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 618 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 615 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 613 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 612 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 611 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 610 DOM
  16. 2025-11-20
    price $89,900
  17. 2025-05-01
    price $117,000
  18. 2024-09-26
    listed $119,000 Active
  19. 2002-07-29
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,811 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,926 · $160/mo
Expected delta
+$115/yr (+$10/mo · 6.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,870
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,811
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,190
− Management
−$1,190
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$2,579
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$619
After-tax cash flow
$3,211/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bismarck Henning CUSD
NCES district ID
1706390
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$61,494
Composite
23.54/100
National rank
#7862
State rank
#287 of 620 in IL

Livability — Bismarck

Score
62/100
State rank
#844
US rank
#16640

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bismarck, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,207

Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
72,775 people
By 2030
69,235 · -4.9%
By 2040
62,360 · -14.3%
By 2050
55,539 · -23.7%
By 2075
40,606 · -44.2%
By 2100
26,985 · -62.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.4% · R 67.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-36.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -35.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+15.7 2008: D+0.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.08%
Current HPI
137.9851
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+259.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $89,900 CIBR
  • 2025-05-01 Price Changed $117,000 CIBR
  • 2024-09-26 Listed $119,000 CIBR
  • 2002-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,811 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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