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6991 S Clark Hills Dr NE
C+ Composite 63.26
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,900

6991 S Clark Hills Dr NE · Rio Rancho, NM 87144
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,281 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1999 9,583 sqft lot Est $288k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

For sale. 3 bedroom 2 bath home with garage on 0.21 acre lot. Close to schools and shopping. Home does have smoke damage.

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1999

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R-1; Lot approximately 0.22 acres with paved city street frontage

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Pitched shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by unknown builder
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Back yard fencing; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Refrigerated (central) cooling
  • Interior features: Main-level primary bedroom; Single-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (2.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (2.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.6% in Rio Rancho — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#17 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, commute F.
  • Rio Rancho Public Schools (suburban): math 48% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #4 of 29 in NM (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 1315 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,278 units permitted in Sandoval County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sandoval County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $205,557 (2.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.03%
Cash-on-cash
6.20%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$288,225
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6904 Glen Hills Dr NE 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,281 (0%) 7mo $295,000 $230 84
7019 Clark Hills Dr NE 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,254 (-2%) 21mo $315,000 $251 74
4748 Delaina Dr NE 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,381 (+8%) 7mo $299,000 $217 74
7005 Christopher Ct NE 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,267 (-1%) 1mo $275,000 $217 73
7023 Clark Hills Dr NE 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,473 (+15%) 8mo $319,000 $217 63
6920 Glen Hills Dr NE 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,427 (+11%) 10mo $315,000 $221 63
7152 Labrador Dr NE 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,394 (+9%) 1mo $325,000 $233 63
4705 Trenton Hills Dr NE 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,130 (-12%) 1mo $318,000 $281 63
6924 Angela Dr NE 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,170 (-9%) 19mo $250,000 $214 62
5250 Aztec Ct NE 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,379 (+8%) 16mo $310,000 $225 52
7160 Labrador Dr NE 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-10%) 21mo $279,900 $243 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-6,384
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$56,207
Equity at exit
$18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87144

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Rents YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
1315
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,056 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,585/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,671
Max offer price $209,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4401 Safelite Blvd NE Rio Rancho, NM 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,810 $2.01 1d 4 0.83mi
4401 Safelite Blvd NE Rio Rancho, NM 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,810 $2.01 43d 4 0.83mi
3941 North Pole Loop NE Rio Rancho, NM 3.0 2.0 1864 $2,409 $1.29 10d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $209,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    remarks 121-char remark
  3. 2026-06-07
    listing id $209,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $209,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,900 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-05-23
    listed $209,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,585 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,679 · $140/mo
Expected delta
+$95/yr (+$8/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,667
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$1,585
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,973
− Management
−$1,973
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable income
$222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$53
After-tax cash flow
$3,591/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rio Rancho Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500010
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 38.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▲ 48.00%
Median HH income
$59,410
Composite
52.29/100
National rank
#1595
State rank
#4 of 29 in NM

Livability — Rio Rancho

Score
71/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#7253

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A Crime C+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rio Rancho, NM
County
Sandoval County · 110,336 people
City population
110,336
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
Population (ZIP)
51,837
Household income
$94,550
Rent vs Own
13.8% rent · 86.2% own
Severe rent burden
528.0

Population outlook (Sandoval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
155,072 people
By 2030
161,714 · +4.3%
By 2040
171,831 · +10.8%
By 2050
178,536 · +15.1%
By 2075
192,517 · +24.1%
By 2100
197,952 · +27.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 24% Native American 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 16%

Political lean MEDSL · Sandoval

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.8) · D 51.8% · R 46.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 5.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+2.7 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.68%
Current HPI
215.124
Rent YoY
▲ 6.88%
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $209,900 Southwest MLS

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,585 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…