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825 Fowler Crk
C- Composite 50.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

825 Fowler Crk · Birmingham, AL 35215
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,608 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1954 0.40 ac lot $81/sqft · 6% below area Est $138k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming one-story home located at 825 Fowler Circle in Birmingham. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a functional layout with all living spaces on a single level, providing comfort and convenience. The home features spacious bedrooms, a practical floor plan, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, and major roadways, this property is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike.

Key facts

  • 0.4 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1954

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,209 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.54%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,819
List price
$129,900
Delta
-5.75%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
945 Nelson Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,563 (-3%) 6mo $170,000 $109 80
937 Hickory Dr 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,622 (+1%) 6mo $165,000 $102 72
909 Five Mile Rd 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,532 (-5%) 4mo $115,000 $75 69
173 Roebuck Dr 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,682 (+5%) 7mo $72,000 $43 67
600 Annie Laura Dr 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,617 (+1%) 6mo $129,995 $80 66
824 Hickory Dr 0.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,750 (+9%) 3mo $190,000 $109 64
932 Charles Ct 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,430 (-11%) 5mo $140,000 $98 63
321 Glynn Dr 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,401 (-13%) 1mo $140,000 $100 59
317 Westwood Dr 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,811 (+13%) 0mo $124,000 $68 57
201 Redstone Way 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,582 (-2%) 8mo $182,000 $115 56
216 Westwood Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,384 (-14%) 0mo $78,500 $57 51
205 Redstone Way 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,478 (-8%) 7mo $175,000 $118 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-12,194
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,029
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35215

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
334
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,337 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,203/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,163
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $211 -5% $174 +0% $138 +5% $101 +10% $64
Rent -10% $32 -5% $85 +0% $138 +5% $191 +10% $243
Rate -1.0pp $203 -0.5pp $171 base $138 +0.5pp $104 +1.0pp $70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
921 Charles Ct Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1529 $1,450 $0.95 44d 1 0.12mi
945 Elizabeth Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1227 $1,125 $0.92 4d 1 0.31mi
932 Five Mile Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,175 $0.98 20d 1 0.34mi
957 Hickory Cir Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,195 $0.88 4d 1 0.34mi
252 Westwood Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1124 $1,400 $1.25 2d 1 0.40mi
832 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,225 $1.00 24d 1 0.46mi
912 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1178 $1,100 $0.93 44d 1 0.47mi
221 Lawson Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1102 $1,325 $1.20 24d 1 0.50mi
940 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1149 $1,300 $1.13 44d 1 0.50mi
316 Pine St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,100 $0.89 44d 1 0.50mi
929 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1649 $1,200 $0.73 12d 1 0.51mi
417 Price Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1584 $1,395 $0.88 24d 1 0.57mi
216 Sanford Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1134 $1,200 $1.06 44d 1 0.59mi
241 Mamie Ln Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,495 $1.20 4d 1 0.66mi
1112 Violet Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1414 $1,600 $1.13 12d 1 0.83mi
520 Camellia Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1053 $1,100 $1.04 4d 1 0.83mi
426 Buckingham Cir Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,013 $0.94 44d 1 0.84mi
217 Killough Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,200 $0.99 15d 1 0.85mi
1177 Five Mile Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1636 $1,100 $0.67 44d 1 0.90mi
1128 Lay Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1700 $1,410 $0.83 12d 1 0.96mi
726 Orchard Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,095 $0.98 44d 1 0.99mi
433 Orchid Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,255 $1.08 16d 1 1.01mi
736 Gene Reed Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1353 $1,220 $0.90 44d 1 1.03mi
46 Sunscape Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1178 $1,450 $1.23 44d 1 1.07mi
9228 Brookhurst Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1146 $999 $0.87 44d 1 1.09mi
40 Sunscape Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1283 $1,555 $1.21 2d 1 1.10mi
120 Shawnee Ln NW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,075 $0.96 44d 1 1.25mi
617 Carson Crest Cir Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1528 $1,723 $1.13 16d 1 1.28mi
1153 Linwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,295 $1.04 3d 1 1.29mi
1232 Oakwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1301 $1,223 $0.94 24d 1 1.32mi
1301 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1170 $1,100 $0.94 4d 1 1.34mi
1225 Birchwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,175 $1.08 4d 1 1.34mi
400 13th Ave NW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $890 $0.81 44d 1 1.36mi
1305 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,200 $1.10 44d 1 1.36mi
1237 Linwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1066 $995 $0.93 44d 1 1.41mi
1328 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,050 $0.84 16d 1 1.41mi
1333 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,275 $1.21 44d 1 1.45mi
405 13th Ct NW Center Point, AL 4.0 1.5 1248 $1,415 $1.13 22d 1 1.46mi
1356 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,105 $1.04 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $129,900 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $134,900 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,900 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-05-03
    status Active 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Charming one-story home located at 825 Fowler Circle in Birmingham. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a functional layout with all living spaces on a single level, providing comfort and convenience. The home features spacious bedrooms, a practical floor plan, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, and major roadways, this property is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike.

  15. 2026-04-19
    status Pending 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Charming one-story home located at 825 Fowler Circle in Birmingham. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a functional layout with all living spaces on a single level, providing comfort and convenience. The home features spacious bedrooms, a practical floor plan, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, and major roadways, this property is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike.

  16. 2026-03-17
    status Active 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Charming one-story home located at 825 Fowler Circle in Birmingham. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a functional layout with all living spaces on a single level, providing comfort and convenience. The home features spacious bedrooms, a practical floor plan, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, and major roadways, this property is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike.

  17. 2026-02-20
    status Pending 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Charming one-story home located at 825 Fowler Circle in Birmingham. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a functional layout with all living spaces on a single level, providing comfort and convenience. The home features spacious bedrooms, a practical floor plan, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, and major roadways, this property is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike.

  18. 2026-02-06
    listed $144,900 Active 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Charming one-story home located at 825 Fowler Circle in Birmingham. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a functional layout with all living spaces on a single level, providing comfort and convenience. The home features spacious bedrooms, a practical floor plan, and plenty of potential to make it your own. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, and major roadways, this property is a great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike.

  19. 2016-04-06
    soldstatus $12,676,500
  20. 2015-08-31
    soldstatus $48,000
  21. 1987-03-27
    soldstatus $58,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,203 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,203 · $184/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,049
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$2,203
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,284
− Management
−$1,284
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$426
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$102
After-tax cash flow
$1,754/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
43,903
Household income
$52,793
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
1729.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.97%
Current HPI
215.0607
Rent YoY
▲ 3.04%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+146.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-19 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $144,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2016-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $12,676,500 Public Records
  • 2015-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 1987-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $58,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,203 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…