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1374 Kenilworth Dr
B- Composite 68.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

1374 Kenilworth Dr · Calumet City, IL 60409
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,111 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1950 4,625 sqft lot Est $152k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Estate Sale! Constructed for Convenient Living! Brick 1 1/2 Story Style Home with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, updated eat-in kitchen with dining combo. Full basement ready for a great family room. Newer base board central heating boiler, newer windows, nice back yard and a 2.5 car garage. Open this Door to Rent NO More! Sold as is!

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Newer windows
  • Nice back yard

Tags

UPDATED EAT-IN KITCHENFULL BASEMENTNEWER WINDOWSNICE BACK YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number 30202040310000
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Owned garage providing 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan / public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Estimated age: 71–80 years
  • Exterior features: Outdoor grill

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen/dining combo (approx. 23 x 11)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (approx. 12 x 11); Two additional bedrooms on the second level (approx. 12 x 12 and 12 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Separate shower and soaking tub
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: First-floor full bath; Dining/kitchen combo; Partially finished full basement; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,490 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
10.32%
Cash-on-cash
14.38%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$152,207
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1374 Kenilworth Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,111 (0%) 0mo $138,000 $124 100
116 163rd St 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,125 (+1%) 1mo $61,500 $55 90
43 162nd Pl 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,135 (+2%) 0mo $159,000 $140 90
1394 Forest Pl 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,147 (+3%) 2mo $81,000 $71 80
1531 Lincoln Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,109 (-0%) 1mo $170,000 $153 76
6516 Lyman Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,095 (-1%) 1mo $150,000 $137 69
1382 Burnham Ave 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,147 (+3%) 1mo $105,000 $92 65
1263 Mackinaw Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,102 (-1%) 1mo $175,900 $160 63
1636 State Line Rd 0.68mi 3/3.0 1,084 (-2%) 2mo $241,000 $222 59
35 166th Pl 0.52mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,217 (+10%) 1mo $149,500 $123 50
3351 171st St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,231 (+11%) 1mo $219,900 $179 44
1554 Burnham Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 945 (-15%) 2mo $125,000 $132 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$12,538
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$72,659
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60409

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,645 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $559/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$466

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,055
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1338 Wentworth Ave Unit 1338 Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,430 $1.79 25d 1 0.08mi
1312 Gordon Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1134 $1,600 $1.41 7d 1 0.39mi
1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 12d 1 0.43mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 17d 1 0.64mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 25d 1 0.64mi
34 Elizabeth St Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1246 $2,400 $1.93 1d 1 0.72mi
3 Waltham St Hammond, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,095 $0.91 25d 1 0.80mi
5 Ruth St Unit 2W Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 13d 1 0.85mi
3 Ruth St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 25d 1 0.85mi
115 157th St Unit 3 Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 25d 1 1.05mi
3649 173rd Ct Lansing, IL 2.0 2.0 972 $1,357 $1.40 25d 1 1.08mi
3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,535 $1.62 21d 1 1.30mi
3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,535 $1.62 3d 1 1.30mi
3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 1d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  2. 2026-02-16
    listed $139,000 Active
  3. 2026-02-16
    historical
  4. 2026-01-06
    price
  5. 2025-11-18
    price
  6. 2025-10-17
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$559 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,857 · $155/mo
Expected delta
+$1,298/yr (+$108/mo · 232.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,743
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$559
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,579
− Management
−$1,579
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$3,500
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$840
After-tax cash flow
$4,756/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
NCES district ID
1738940
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,207
Composite
10.27/100
National rank
#9793
State rank
#563 of 620 in IL

Livability — Calumet City

Score
71/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#6552

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet City, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
35,100
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
35,100
Household income
$55,369
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
2415.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.01%
Current HPI
197.2137
Rent YoY
▲ 6.17%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-16 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $139,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-17 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-9.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $559 · +239.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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