903 S Manhattan St · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great starter home or investment property! This 2 bedroom 1 bath home has a great living and dining space, a remodeled 3/4 bath, and more! There's extra space off the main living area that would be great for a formal dining or an office! There's a spacious, covered deck out back, fully fenced yard, and storage building out back. This home is equipped with durable siding, updated windows, a metal roof, CH & A, updated electrical service panel, and a Generac generator. This home has amazing potential and is ready for its new owner! Propety to be sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Durable siding
- Updated windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($650 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (9.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.71%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $56,644
- Equity at exit
- $80,454
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.03×
- Total profit
- $158,602
- Equity at exit
- $169,191
Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79104
- Home prices YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,069 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$493
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,980/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $147
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,500
- Closing costs
- $2,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 901 S Roberts St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2405 Rule St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $850 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
Great starter home or investment property! This 2 bedroom 1 bath home has a great living and dining space, a remodeled 3/4 bath, and more! There's extra space off the main living area that would be great for a formal dining or an office! There's a spacious, covered deck out back, fully fenced yard, and storage building out back. This home is equipped with durable siding, updated windows, a metal roof, CH & A, updated electrical service panel, and a Generac generator. This home has amazing potential and is ready for its new owner! Propety to be sold AS-IS.
-
2026-04-29price $94,000 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
Great starter home or investment property! This 2 bedroom 1 bath home has a great living and dining space, a remodeled 3/4 bath, and more! There's extra space off the main living area that would be great for a formal dining or an office! There's a spacious, covered deck out back, fully fenced yard, and storage building out back. This home is equipped with durable siding, updated windows, a metal roof, CH & A, updated electrical service panel, and a Generac generator. This home has amazing potential and is ready for its new owner! Propety to be sold AS-IS.
-
2026-04-09$99,000 Active 568-char remark
Show marketing remark (568 chars)
Great starter home or investment property! This 2 bedroom 1 bath home has a great living and dining space, a remodeled 3/4 bath, and more! There's extra space off the main living area that would be great for a formal dining or an office! There's a spacious, covered deck out back, fully fenced yard, and storage building out back. This home is equipped with durable siding, updated windows, a metal roof, CH & A, updated electrical service panel, and a Generac generator. This home has amazing potential and is ready for its new owner! Propety to be sold AS-IS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,980 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,980 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,826
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,265
- − Property taxes
- −$1,980
- − Insurance
- −$470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,026
- − Management
- −$1,026
- − Depreciation
- −$2,735
- Taxable income
- $324
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$78
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- City population
- 185,802
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,236
Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,296 people
- By 2030
- 120,883 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 119,668 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 117,788 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 110,250 · -9.1%
- By 2100
- 92,923 · -23.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 33% White 22% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Potter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.38%
- Current HPI
- 217.4814
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-5.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — AARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $94,000 AARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $99,000 AARMLS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,980 · +45.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…