2012 W Garden St · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$19,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio, you won’t want to miss out on this one! Package of 8 single family homes and 2 multi-family homes, centrally located in Peoria. Excellent CAP rate, great cash flow. This opportunity is only available as a 12-unit package, seller will not be offering individual properties for sale.
Key facts
- 6,350 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
- Listed 50 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $19k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $720 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $19k).
- Recommended offer: $18k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 51.8% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Manual High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #659 of 693 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,138/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($26k/yr) (locally 1385% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $251 of equity ($131 loan paydown + $120 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 2339% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 51.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 162.51%
- DSCR
- 8.23
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $45,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2324 W Wiswall St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-1%) | 10mo | $27,500 | $18 | 71 |
| 2107 W Wiswall St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (-7%) | 6mo | $33,000 | $23 | 68 |
| 2006 W Marquette St | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,638 (+8%) | 9mo | $48,500 | $30 | 67 |
| 1927 W Proctor St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-11%) | 8mo | $30,000 | $22 | 65 |
| 1509 S Arago St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-4%) | 8mo | $49,900 | $34 | 64 |
| 2005 W Antoinette St | 0.15mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,324 (-12%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $38 | 61 |
| 900 S Warren St | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,552 (+3%) | 6mo | $53,000 | $34 | 60 |
| 806 S Greenlawn Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-10%) | 3mo | $36,000 | $26 | 60 |
| 1910 W Howett St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,670 (+10%) | 2mo | $73,000 | $44 | 58 |
| 1802 Butler St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,611 (+6%) | 7mo | $17,000 | $11 | 55 |
| 1538 S Faraday Ave | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,632 (+8%) | 14mo | $35,500 | $22 | 54 |
| 2511 Martin Luther King Jr Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (+1%) | 10mo | $129,900 | $85 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.64×
- Total profit
- $45,948
- Equity at exit
- $6,126
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.26×
- Total profit
- $102,440
- Equity at exit
- $7,869
Cash invested: $5,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61605
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$100
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $850/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $720
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $731 | -5% $726 | +0% $720 | +5% $715 | +10% $710 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $631 | -5% $676 | +0% $720 | +5% $765 | +10% $810 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $730 | -0.5pp $725 | base $720 | +0.5pp $716 | +1.0pp $711 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,750
- Closing costs
- $570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2320 W Garden St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 928 S Matthew St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $748 | $0.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 945 S Shelley St Peoria, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $1,025 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2847 W Howett St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,150 | $0.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2807 W Howett St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $1,550 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2804 W Humboldt St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $995 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1214 W Butler St Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $795 | $0.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 102 N Cedar Ave West Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $995 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3031 W Wiswall St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1401 W Adrian G Hinton Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $775 | $0.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2916 W Meidroth St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,049 | $0.93 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 214 Pecan St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1816 W Callender Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1723 W Fredonia Ave Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1219 | $2,100 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17status $19,000 Pending 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $19,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $19,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $19,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $19,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $19,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $19,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $19,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $19,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-09$779
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-03-20$25,000 Active
-
2022-12-18historical
-
2021-04-08soldstatus $19,900 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
If you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio, you won’t want to miss out on this one! Package of 8 single family homes and 2 multi-family homes, centrally located in Peoria. Excellent CAP rate, great cash flow. This opportunity is only available as a 12-unit package, seller will not be offering individual properties for sale.
-
2021-04-08soldstatus $199,000
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
If you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio, you won’t want to miss out on this one! Package of 8 single family homes and 2 multi-family homes, centrally located in Peoria. Excellent CAP rate, great cash flow. This opportunity is only available as a 12-unit package, seller will not be offering individual properties for sale.
-
2021-03-05$22,990 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
If you’re looking to expand your rental portfolio, you won’t want to miss out on this one! Package of 8 single family homes and 2 multi-family homes, centrally located in Peoria. Excellent CAP rate, great cash flow. This opportunity is only available as a 12-unit package, seller will not be offering individual properties for sale.
-
2019-01-03soldstatus $123,000
-
2018-12-28soldstatus $12,300 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY! This property can be sold separately or in a great PACKAGE DEAL $126,000 for 10 Properties! See MLS numbers below for other properties: 1198230 / 1198231 / 1198232 / 1198233 / 1198234 / 1198235 / 1198236 / 1198238 / 1198239
-
2018-09-13$12,900 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY! This property can be sold separately or in a great PACKAGE DEAL $126,000 for 10 Properties! See MLS numbers below for other properties: 1198230 / 1198231 / 1198232 / 1198233 / 1198234 / 1198235 / 1198236 / 1198238 / 1198239
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $850 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $850 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,653
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,064
- − Property taxes
- −$850
- − Insurance
- −$95
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,092
- − Management
- −$1,092
- − Depreciation
- −$553
- Taxable income
- $8,907
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,138
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,424
- Household income
- $26,392
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1385.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Current HPI
- 170.5814
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+93.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Listed for Rent $779 Hemlane
- 2026-04-26 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Listed $25,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-18 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2021-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $199,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-08 Sold (MLS) $19,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-05 Listed $22,990 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
- 2018-12-28 Sold (MLS) $12,300 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-13 Listed $12,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2024): $850 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…