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210 Young St
B+ Composite 77.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

210 Young St · Tonawanda, NY 14150
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,023 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 304 Days on market
Built 1900 0.26 ac lot $122/sqft · 22% below area Est $160k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to a great and affordable opportunity in the City of Tonawanda! This charming home offers incredible value and versatility—perfect as a starter home, for downsizing, or as a smart investment property. Featuring a spacious kitchen and two generously sized bedrooms, all conveniently located on the first floor. The large yard provides plenty of room for your landscaping ideas, plus there's a shed for extra storage. Parking is a breeze with a dedicated parking pad in front, as well as a driveway on the left side of the home—offering plenty of off-street parking options. This is a very affordable opportunity for a great starter home, or to downsize for less space/maintenance, or even as a investment opportunity. Roof is about 14 years old. Just across the street is walkable distance to Eastern Park along Ellicott Creek, and a few blocks away from Ives Park, along with shopping, restaurants and other conveniences. Don't miss out on this one!

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Large yard
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHENLARGE YARDDEDICATED PARKING PADDRIVEWAY ON LEFT SIDE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 89/100 on livability (#8 in NY, #169 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
  • Tonawanda City School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #508 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $125k implies a 635% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.64%
Cash-on-cash
15.54%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,422
List price
$124,900
Delta
-22.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$15,131
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$79,248
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14150

Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,662 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,834/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$453

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,088
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
184 Sweeney St North Tonawanda, NY 2.0 2.0 1155 $2,000 $1.73 2d 1 0.52mi
330 E Niagara St Tonawanda, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,900 $1.95 2d 1 0.60mi
115 Klinger Ave Tonawanda, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 3d 1 0.94mi
166 Spruce St Unit 5 North Tonawanda, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 24d 1 1.02mi
705 Sandra Ln North Tonawanda, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,795 $2.48 2d 9 1.08mi
53 Winkler Dr Tonawanda, NY 3.0 1.0 1060 $2,100 $1.98 12d 1 1.13mi
103 Raintree Is Tonawanda, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,800 $2.57 2d 35 1.30mi
285 Crestmount Ave Tonawanda, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,905 $2.63 2d 9 1.38mi
399 Miller St North Tonawanda, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $1,250 $1.67 24d 1 1.43mi
4-18 Concord Ct Tonawanda, NY 1.0 1.0 730 $1,395 $1.91 3d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 304 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 303 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 302 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 301 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 299 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 298 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 296 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 295 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 294 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 293 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,900 Active 290 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 289 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 288 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 287 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 286 DOM
  16. 2026-01-26
    price $124,900 970-char remark
    Show marketing remark (970 chars)

    Welcome to a great and affordable opportunity in the City of Tonawanda! This charming home offers incredible value and versatility—perfect as a starter home, for downsizing, or as a smart investment property. Featuring a spacious kitchen and two generously sized bedrooms, all conveniently located on the first floor. The large yard provides plenty of room for your landscaping ideas, plus there's a shed for extra storage. Parking is a breeze with a dedicated parking pad in front, as well as a driveway on the left side of the home—offering plenty of off-street parking options. This is a very affordable opportunity for a great starter home, or to downsize for less space/maintenance, or even as a investment opportunity. Roof is about 14 years old. Just across the street is walkable distance to Eastern Park along Ellicott Creek, and a few blocks away from Ives Park, along with shopping, restaurants and other conveniences. Don't miss out on this one!

  17. 2025-11-01
    price $134,900 970-char remark
    Show marketing remark (970 chars)

    Welcome to a great and affordable opportunity in the City of Tonawanda! This charming home offers incredible value and versatility—perfect as a starter home, for downsizing, or as a smart investment property. Featuring a spacious kitchen and two generously sized bedrooms, all conveniently located on the first floor. The large yard provides plenty of room for your landscaping ideas, plus there's a shed for extra storage. Parking is a breeze with a dedicated parking pad in front, as well as a driveway on the left side of the home—offering plenty of off-street parking options. This is a very affordable opportunity for a great starter home, or to downsize for less space/maintenance, or even as a investment opportunity. Roof is about 14 years old. Just across the street is walkable distance to Eastern Park along Ellicott Creek, and a few blocks away from Ives Park, along with shopping, restaurants and other conveniences. Don't miss out on this one!

  18. 2025-09-18
    price $144,900 970-char remark
    Show marketing remark (970 chars)

    Welcome to a great and affordable opportunity in the City of Tonawanda! This charming home offers incredible value and versatility—perfect as a starter home, for downsizing, or as a smart investment property. Featuring a spacious kitchen and two generously sized bedrooms, all conveniently located on the first floor. The large yard provides plenty of room for your landscaping ideas, plus there's a shed for extra storage. Parking is a breeze with a dedicated parking pad in front, as well as a driveway on the left side of the home—offering plenty of off-street parking options. This is a very affordable opportunity for a great starter home, or to downsize for less space/maintenance, or even as a investment opportunity. Roof is about 14 years old. Just across the street is walkable distance to Eastern Park along Ellicott Creek, and a few blocks away from Ives Park, along with shopping, restaurants and other conveniences. Don't miss out on this one!

  19. 2025-08-18
    listed $149,900 Active 970-char remark
    Show marketing remark (970 chars)

    Welcome to a great and affordable opportunity in the City of Tonawanda! This charming home offers incredible value and versatility—perfect as a starter home, for downsizing, or as a smart investment property. Featuring a spacious kitchen and two generously sized bedrooms, all conveniently located on the first floor. The large yard provides plenty of room for your landscaping ideas, plus there's a shed for extra storage. Parking is a breeze with a dedicated parking pad in front, as well as a driveway on the left side of the home—offering plenty of off-street parking options. This is a very affordable opportunity for a great starter home, or to downsize for less space/maintenance, or even as a investment opportunity. Roof is about 14 years old. Just across the street is walkable distance to Eastern Park along Ellicott Creek, and a few blocks away from Ives Park, along with shopping, restaurants and other conveniences. Don't miss out on this one!

  20. 2010-05-12
    soldstatus $17,000 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! This cozy two bedroom Bungalow features a large living room with gas fireplace, a large eat-in kitchen, newly remodeled bath and a nice lot. Call today for an appointment.

  21. 2009-09-01
    listed $30,000 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! This cozy two bedroom Bungalow features a large living room with gas fireplace, a large eat-in kitchen, newly remodeled bath and a nice lot. Call today for an appointment.

  22. 2008-05-22
    soldstatus $21,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,834 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,972 · $164/mo
Expected delta
+$139/yr (+$12/mo · 7.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,939
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,834
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,595
− Management
−$1,595
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$3,661
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$879
After-tax cash flow
$4,555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tonawanda City School District
NCES district ID
3628740
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,061
Composite
35.03/100
National rank
#5041
State rank
#508 of 590 in NY

Livability — Tonawanda

Score
89/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#169

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tonawanda, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
41,260
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
41,260
Household income
$71,406
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1427.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -260.43%
Current HPI
334.5893
Rent YoY
▲ 6.75%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+480.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $124,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-01 Price Changed $134,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $144,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2010-05-12 Sold (MLS) $17,000 WNYREIS
  • 2009-09-01 Listed $30,000 WNYREIS
  • 2008-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,834 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…