210 Young St · Tonawanda, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to a great and affordable opportunity in the City of Tonawanda! This charming home offers incredible value and versatility—perfect as a starter home, for downsizing, or as a smart investment property. Featuring a spacious kitchen and two generously sized bedrooms, all conveniently located on the first floor. The large yard provides plenty of room for your landscaping ideas, plus there's a shed for extra storage. Parking is a breeze with a dedicated parking pad in front, as well as a driveway on the left side of the home—offering plenty of off-street parking options. This is a very affordable opportunity for a great starter home, or to downsize for less space/maintenance, or even as a investment opportunity. Roof is about 14 years old. Just across the street is walkable distance to Eastern Park along Ellicott Creek, and a few blocks away from Ives Park, along with shopping, restaurants and other conveniences. Don't miss out on this one!
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Large yard
- 0.26 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 89/100 on livability (#8 in NY, #169 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
- Tonawanda City School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #508 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $125k implies a 635% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.54%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,422
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -22.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $15,131
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $79,248
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14150
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,662 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,834/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $453
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184 Sweeney St North Tonawanda, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $2,000 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 330 E Niagara St Tonawanda, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,900 | $1.95 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 115 Klinger Ave Tonawanda, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 166 Spruce St Unit 5 North Tonawanda, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 705 Sandra Ln North Tonawanda, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,795 | $2.48 | 2d | 9 | 1.08mi |
| 53 Winkler Dr Tonawanda, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,100 | $1.98 | 12d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 103 Raintree Is Tonawanda, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 2d | 35 | 1.30mi |
| 285 Crestmount Ave Tonawanda, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,905 | $2.63 | 2d | 9 | 1.38mi |
| 399 Miller St North Tonawanda, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,250 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4-18 Concord Ct Tonawanda, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,395 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $124,900 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $124,900 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-01-26price $124,900 970-char remark
Show marketing remark (970 chars)
Welcome to a great and affordable opportunity in the City of Tonawanda! This charming home offers incredible value and versatility—perfect as a starter home, for downsizing, or as a smart investment property. Featuring a spacious kitchen and two generously sized bedrooms, all conveniently located on the first floor. The large yard provides plenty of room for your landscaping ideas, plus there's a shed for extra storage. Parking is a breeze with a dedicated parking pad in front, as well as a driveway on the left side of the home—offering plenty of off-street parking options. This is a very affordable opportunity for a great starter home, or to downsize for less space/maintenance, or even as a investment opportunity. Roof is about 14 years old. Just across the street is walkable distance to Eastern Park along Ellicott Creek, and a few blocks away from Ives Park, along with shopping, restaurants and other conveniences. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2025-11-01price $134,900 970-char remark
Show marketing remark (970 chars)
Welcome to a great and affordable opportunity in the City of Tonawanda! This charming home offers incredible value and versatility—perfect as a starter home, for downsizing, or as a smart investment property. Featuring a spacious kitchen and two generously sized bedrooms, all conveniently located on the first floor. The large yard provides plenty of room for your landscaping ideas, plus there's a shed for extra storage. Parking is a breeze with a dedicated parking pad in front, as well as a driveway on the left side of the home—offering plenty of off-street parking options. This is a very affordable opportunity for a great starter home, or to downsize for less space/maintenance, or even as a investment opportunity. Roof is about 14 years old. Just across the street is walkable distance to Eastern Park along Ellicott Creek, and a few blocks away from Ives Park, along with shopping, restaurants and other conveniences. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2025-09-18price $144,900 970-char remark
Show marketing remark (970 chars)
Welcome to a great and affordable opportunity in the City of Tonawanda! This charming home offers incredible value and versatility—perfect as a starter home, for downsizing, or as a smart investment property. Featuring a spacious kitchen and two generously sized bedrooms, all conveniently located on the first floor. The large yard provides plenty of room for your landscaping ideas, plus there's a shed for extra storage. Parking is a breeze with a dedicated parking pad in front, as well as a driveway on the left side of the home—offering plenty of off-street parking options. This is a very affordable opportunity for a great starter home, or to downsize for less space/maintenance, or even as a investment opportunity. Roof is about 14 years old. Just across the street is walkable distance to Eastern Park along Ellicott Creek, and a few blocks away from Ives Park, along with shopping, restaurants and other conveniences. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2025-08-18$149,900 Active 970-char remark
Show marketing remark (970 chars)
Welcome to a great and affordable opportunity in the City of Tonawanda! This charming home offers incredible value and versatility—perfect as a starter home, for downsizing, or as a smart investment property. Featuring a spacious kitchen and two generously sized bedrooms, all conveniently located on the first floor. The large yard provides plenty of room for your landscaping ideas, plus there's a shed for extra storage. Parking is a breeze with a dedicated parking pad in front, as well as a driveway on the left side of the home—offering plenty of off-street parking options. This is a very affordable opportunity for a great starter home, or to downsize for less space/maintenance, or even as a investment opportunity. Roof is about 14 years old. Just across the street is walkable distance to Eastern Park along Ellicott Creek, and a few blocks away from Ives Park, along with shopping, restaurants and other conveniences. Don't miss out on this one!
-
2010-05-12soldstatus $17,000 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This cozy two bedroom Bungalow features a large living room with gas fireplace, a large eat-in kitchen, newly remodeled bath and a nice lot. Call today for an appointment.
-
2009-09-01$30,000 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This cozy two bedroom Bungalow features a large living room with gas fireplace, a large eat-in kitchen, newly remodeled bath and a nice lot. Call today for an appointment.
-
2008-05-22soldstatus $21,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,834 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,972 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- +$139/yr (+$12/mo · 7.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,939
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,834
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,595
- − Management
- −$1,595
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $3,661
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$879
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tonawanda City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628740
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,061
- Composite
- 35.03/100
- National rank
- #5041
- State rank
- #508 of 590 in NY
Livability — Tonawanda
- Score
- 89/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #169
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tonawanda, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 41,260
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,260
- Household income
- $71,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1427.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -260.43%
- Current HPI
- 334.5893
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.75%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+480.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $124,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-01 Price Changed $134,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $144,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-18 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
- 2010-05-12 Sold (MLS) $17,000 WNYREIS
- 2009-09-01 Listed $30,000 WNYREIS
- 2008-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,834 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…