5545 E M 36 · Whitmore Lake, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1976
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry at ground level
- Construction: Built with other/unspecified materials; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Private maintained road access; Private road frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 78 x 117 x 71 x 119; Lot size about 0.17 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Ground-level entry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 55.7% vs local median 2.8% in Whitmore Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#279 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Pinckney Community Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #135 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $25k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 55.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 176.61%
- DSCR
- 8.86
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,714
- List price
- $24,900
- Delta
- -91.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10136 Beechwood | 0.71mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 712 (+2%) | 14mo | $280,000 | $393 | 47 |
| 9952 Riverview | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 779 (+12%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $257 | 44 |
| 5778 Woodbine Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 760 (+9%) | 16mo | $20,000 | $26 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.80×
- Total profit
- $61,341
- Equity at exit
- $3,713
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.74×
- Total profit
- $137,660
- Equity at exit
- $2,153
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48169
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,517 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $374/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $1,026
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-13price $24,900 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is.
-
2026-05-13price $24,900 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is.
-
2026-05-07$34,900 Active 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is.
-
2026-05-07$34,900 Active 144-char remark
Show marketing remark (144 chars)
Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is.
-
1994-12-05soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$374
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,456
- − Management
- −$1,456
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $12,671
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,041
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,272/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinckney Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2628140
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,072
- Composite
- 39.21/100
- National rank
- #4016
- State rank
- #135 of 540 in MI
Livability — Whitmore Lake
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #279
- US rank
- #6864
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 13,893
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,080
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,920 people
- By 2030
- 209,173 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 216,878 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 217,485 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 217,590 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 197,095 · -2.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Italian 5% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -285.03%
- Current HPI
- 184.9602
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+107.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1994-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,458 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…