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30 N Walnut St Triplex
D+ Composite 48.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.5/10.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$475,000

30 N Walnut St · Waterbury, CT 06704
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,044 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1900 4,356 sqft lot Est $368k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS TAKE NOTICE! Don't miss this spacious 3-unit multifamily property. A great investment opportunity, this property features front porches and a roof fully replaced in 2021. Additionally, a new furnace was installed for the 1st-floor unit in 2023. Each unit is listed as a two-bedroom, but both the 1st and 2nd-floor units have been modified to offer three bedrooms for added rental value. All units include one full bathroom and washer/dryer hookups, ensuring convenience for tenants. There is off-street parking available in the vacant lot next door. Tenants who choose to use it pay a monthly fee of $25 to the lot owner. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS-IS. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Updated baths
  • Updated flooring
  • Completely renovated

Tags

THREE FAMILY PROPERTYCOMPLETELY RENOVATEDUPDATED FLOORINGUPDATED KITCHENSUPDATED BATHSSEPARATELY METERED UTILITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as Multi-Family For Sale

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Multi-family property (3-family); Frame construction; Tan exterior siding
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Masonry and stone foundation; Built with frame construction
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Front porch; Gutters; Exterior lighting; Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 8 total bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window units for cooling
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Has attic with crawl space and hatch access; Window air conditioning units
  • Laundry & utility: All units have laundry hook-ups; Hot water by natural gas and electric

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2×3bd/1.0ba + 1×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $475k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $735 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $245/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $475k).
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.6% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
  • Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,936/mo this rent would consume 122% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1981% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $133k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $312k; list at $475k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $475,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.63%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$368,324
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 Violet St 0.07mi 6/3.0 2,941 (-3%) 4mo $270,000 $92 87
245 Walnut St 0.24mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,970 (-2%) 0mo $210,000 $71 79
290 Orange St 0.26mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,050 (+0%) 7mo $435,000 $143 76
11 Putnam St 0.33mi 6/3.0 3,188 (+5%) 11mo $387,000 $121 67
32 Young St 0.32mi 6/3.0 3,024 (-1%) 21mo $330,000 $109 66
65 Brewster St 0.45mi 6/3.0 3,024 (-1%) 18mo $325,000 $107 63
64 Wood St 0.28mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,393 (+12%) 1mo $495,000 $146 62
78 Griggs St 0.20mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,456 (+14%) 2mo $470,000 $136 61
28 Wall St 0.54mi 6/3.0 3,280 (+8%) 16mo $292,500 $89 49
255 Hill St 0.69mi 6/3.0 2,750 (-10%) 6mo $500,000 $182 47
42 Platt St 0.45mi 6/2.0 2,798 (-8%) 23mo $340,000 $122 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-4,061
Equity at exit
$70,824
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$175,489
Equity at exit
$41,069

Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06704

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
23.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,936 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,491
Tax from tax record
$475 /mo · $5,705/yr
Insurance
$198
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,037
Net cashflow
$735

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,005
Max offer price $475,000
Occupancy floor 80%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,531
Total (3 units) $4,936

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$118,750
Closing costs
$14,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14 Niagara St Waterbury, CT 6.0 3.0 3156 $1,700 $0.54 3d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $475,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $475,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $475,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $475,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $475,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $475,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $475,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $475,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $475,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $475,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,705 · $475/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,935 · $661/mo
Expected delta
+$2,230/yr (+$186/mo · 39.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$59,232
− Mortgage interest
−$26,607
− Property taxes
−$5,705
− Insurance
−$2,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,739
− Management
−$4,739
− Depreciation
−$13,818
Taxable income
$1,249
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$300
After-tax cash flow
$8,522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterbury School District
NCES district ID
0904830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$40,040
Composite
14.85/100
National rank
#9380
State rank
#148 of 153 in CT

Livability — Waterbury

Score
79/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#2205

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterbury, CT
County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
115,012
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
31,713
Household income
$48,718
Rent vs Own
54.7% rent · 45.3% own
Severe rent burden
1981.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 48% Black 28% Two or more races 20% White 18% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 30% Dominican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.05%
Current HPI
340.0917
Rent YoY
▲ 8.02%
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+93.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $475,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-04-24 Sold (MLS) $312,500 Smart MLS
  • 2025-04-11 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2025-03-21 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2025-03-16 Listed $329,900 Smart MLS
  • 2023-01-04 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2022-10-18 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2022-09-13 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2022-09-03 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2022-08-30 Price Changed $230,000 Smart MLS
  • 2022-08-01 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2022-03-30 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2022-03-14 Listed $245,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,705 · +83.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…